Bundesliga Gameweek 27 Sat, Mar 21 2026 · 14:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.76 – 0.37
  • M. Jenz 90+2’
  • 68’ J. Njinmah
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Njinmah goal decides it for Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Njinmah goal. VfL Wolfsburg played with ten men from the 90th minute after Jenz was sent off. Werder Bremen won despite the lower xG; VfL Wolfsburg created the better chances (0.76 vs 0.37). On the chances created, VfL Wolfsburg deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfL Wolfsburg31%
Draw26%
Werder Bremen ✓43%

Model vs reality

VfL Wolfsburg goals
0
Model 1.33 · xG 0.76
Werder Bremen goals
1
Model 1.59 · xG 0.37
Total goals
1
Model 2.92 · xG 1.13
Score 0–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. NjinmahWerder Bremen · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeBenjamin Brand
  • CoachesDieter Hecking · —
  • VenueVolkswagen Arena
  • Table before kick-offVfL Wolfsburg 17th · Werder Bremen 15th

Timeline

  1. M. JenzYellow card · Holding
    39’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ F. AguFor S. Mbangula
    61’
  4. ⇄ Karim CoulibalyFor N. Stark
    61’
  5. ⇄ P. WimmerFor J. Lindstrøm
    65’
  6. J. Njinmah 0–1
    68’
  7. ⇄ K. ShiogaiFor J. Wind
    73’
  8. ⇄ L. MajerFor M. Amoura
    73’
  9. ⇄ A. DaghimFor J. Mæhle
    79’
  10. ⇄ M. ArnoldFor Vinicius Souza
    79’
  11. ⇄ Salim MusahFor J. Njinmah
    85’
  12. M. JenzSecond yellow · Holding
    90+2’
  13. L. MajerYellow card
    90+5’
  14. ⇄ Mick SchmetgensFor L. Bittencourt
    90+6’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

VfL Wolfsburg11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
Werder Bremen8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
VfL WolfsburgWerder Bremen
57% Possession 43%
0.76 Expected goals (xG) 0.37
1.67 Expected points (xPts) 0.91
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 3
510 Passes 396
83% Pass accuracy 81%
8 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 6.94

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 3-4-2-1

16.9 K. Grabara(G)
47.2 K. Koulierakis 156.5 M. Jenz 66.9 J. Belocian
217.2 J. Mæhle ↓79’ 57.2 Vinicius Souza ↓79’ 247.0 C. Eriksen 267.2 S. Kumbedi
96.9 M. Amoura ↓73’ 195.9 J. Lindstrøm ↓65’
236.5 J. Wind ↓73’
  • 1K. Grabara (G)6.9
  • 4K. Koulierakis7.2
  • 15M. Jenz6.5
  • 6J. Belocian6.9
  • 21J. Mæhle↓79’7.2
  • 5Vinicius Souza↓79’7.2
  • 24C. Eriksen7.0
  • 26S. Kumbedi7.2
  • 9M. Amoura↓73’6.9
  • 19J. Lindstrøm↓65’5.9
  • 23J. Wind↓73’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 39P. Wimmer↑65’6.5
  • 27M. Arnold↑79’6.9
  • 10L. Majer↑73’6.2
  • 11A. Daghim↑79’6.6
  • 7K. Shiogai↑73’6.7

Unused: M. Müller, D. Vavro, Y. Gerhardt, D. Pejčinović

Coach: Dieter Hecking

Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1

307.3 M. Backhaus(G)
26.5 O. Deman 327.3 M. Friedl 47.0 N. Stark ↓61’ 36.9 Y. Sugawara
187.2 Cameron Puertas 107.0 L. Bittencourt ↓90’
76.5 S. Mbangula ↓61’ 206.0 R. Schmid 176.9 M. Grüll
117.9★ J. Njinmah ↓85’
  • 30M. Backhaus (G)7.3
  • 2O. Deman6.5
  • 32M. Friedl7.3
  • 4N. Stark↓61’7.0
  • 3Y. Sugawara6.9
  • 18Cameron Puertas7.2
  • 10L. Bittencourt↓90’7.0
  • 7S. Mbangula↓61’6.5
  • 20R. Schmid6.0
  • 17M. Grüll6.9
  • 11J. Njinmah ★↓85’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 33Mick Schmetgens↑90’
  • 31Karim Coulibaly↑61’6.5
  • 27F. Agu↑61’6.6
  • 29Salim Musah↑85’

Unused: M. Kolke, I. Schmidt, Patrice Čović, K. Topp

Player stats

Top rated
J. NjinmahWerder Bremen7.9
2nd
M. BackhausWerder Bremen7.3
3rd
M. FriedlWerder Bremen7.3

VfL Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.