La Liga Gameweek 7 Sat, Sep 27 2025 · 20:00 Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.07 – 1.46
  • Alberto Moleiro 77’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Moleiro goal decides it for Villarreal

Villarreal entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Moleiro goal. Villarreal won despite the lower xG; Athletic Club created the better chances (1.46 vs 1.07). On the chances created, Athletic Club deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Villarreal ✓47%
Draw27%
Athletic Club26%

Model vs reality

Villarreal goals
1
Model 1.50 · xG 1.07
Athletic Club goals
0
Model 1.04 · xG 1.46
Total goals
1
Model 2.54 · xG 2.53
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRafa MarínVillarreal
7.9
  • RefereeMiguel Sesma Espinosa
  • VenueEstadio de la Cerámica
  • Table before kick-offVillarreal 3rd · Athletic Club 8th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ T. BuchananFor I. Akhomach
    46’
  3. ⇄ Robert NavarroFor Unai Gómez
    57’
  4. ⇄ Mikel VesgaFor Ruíz de Galarreta
    67’
  5. ⇄ Jesús AresoFor Gorka Guruzeta
    67’
  6. ⇄ Dani ParejoFor T. Partey
    72’
  7. ⇄ Alberto MoleiroFor M. Solomon
    72’
  8. ⇄ T. OluwaseyiFor G. Mikautadze
    72’
  9. ⇄ Alejandro Rego MoraFor Mikel Vesga
    75’
  10. ⇄ Maroan SannadiFor I. Williams
    75’
  11. Alberto Moleiro 1–0
    77’
  12. T. BuchananYellow card · Roughing
    84’
  13. ⇄ A. Pedraza SagFor N. Pépé
    90’
  14. Dani ParejoYellow card · Roughing
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Villarreal14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Athletic Club16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
VillarrealAthletic Club
42% Possession 58%
1.07 Expected goals (xG) 1.46
1.09 Expected points (xPts) 1.64
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
10 Shots inside the box 10
4 Shots outside the box 6
371 Passes 506
81% Pass accuracy 86%
6 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Fouls 11
7 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.06 Team rating 6.69

Line-ups

Villarreal 4-4-2

17.2 Luíz Júnior(G)
236.9 Sergi Cardona 127.2 Renato Veiga 47.9★ Rafa Marín 157.3 S. Mouriño
66.5 M. Solomon ↓72’ 186.7 P. Gueye 166.5 T. Partey ↓72’ 116.9 I. Akhomach ↓46’
96.3 G. Mikautadze ↓72’ 197.7 N. Pépé ↓90’
  • 1Luíz Júnior (G)7.2
  • 23Sergi Cardona6.9
  • 12Renato Veiga7.2
  • 4Rafa Marín ★7.9
  • 15S. Mouriño7.3
  • 6M. Solomon↓72’6.5
  • 18P. Gueye6.7
  • 16T. Partey↓72’6.5
  • 11I. Akhomach↓46’6.9
  • 9G. Mikautadze↓72’6.3
  • 19N. Pépé↓90’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 17T. Buchanan↑46’7.2
  • 20Alberto Moleiro↑72’7.9
  • 10Dani Parejo↑72’6.6
  • 21T. Oluwaseyi↑72’6.7
  • 24A. Pedraza Sag↑90’

Unused: Diego Conde, Arnau Tenas, Adrià Alti, J. Valou, Santi Comesaña

Athletic Club 4-2-3-1

17.2 Unai Simón(G)
176.6 Yuri 147.9 A. Laporte 37.0 Dani Vivian 156.2 Lekue
186.5 Mikel Jauregizar 167.0 Ruíz de Galarreta ↓67’
206.2 Unai Gómez ↓57’ 86.3 Oihan Sancet 96.3 I. Williams ↓75’
116.5 Gorka Guruzeta ↓67’
  • 1Unai Simón (G)7.2
  • 17Yuri6.6
  • 14A. Laporte7.9
  • 3Dani Vivian7.0
  • 15Lekue6.2
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar6.5
  • 16Ruíz de Galarreta↓67’7.0
  • 20Unai Gómez↓57’6.2
  • 8Oihan Sancet6.3
  • 9I. Williams↓75’6.3
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta↓67’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 23Robert Navarro↑57’6.5
  • 6Mikel Vesga
  • 12Jesús Areso↑67’6.3
  • 30Alejandro Rego Mora↑75’6.3
  • 21Maroan Sannadi↑75’6.2

Unused: Á. Padilla, Aitor Paredes, Adama Boiro, Andoni Gorosabel, Nico Serrano, Urko Izeta

Player stats

Top rated
Rafa MarínVillarreal7.9
2nd
A. LaporteAthletic Club7.9
3rd
N. PépéVillarreal7.7

Villarreal

Athletic Club

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.