Bundesliga Gameweek 6 Sat, Oct 4 2025 · 14:30 wohninvest WESERSTADION, Bremen
Werder Bremen
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.44 – 0.67
FC St. Pauli
  • S. Mbangula 2’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Mbangula goal decides it for Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Mbangula goal. Werder Bremen finished with the higher xG (1.44 vs 0.67). On the chances created, FC St. Pauli deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Werder Bremen ✓58%
Draw22%
FC St. Pauli19%

Model vs reality

Werder Bremen goals
1
Model 1.99 · xG 1.44
FC St. Pauli goals
0
Model 1.06 · xG 0.67
Total goals
1
Model 3.05 · xG 2.11
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. MbangulaWerder Bremen · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeSören Storks
  • Coaches— · A. Blessin
  • Venuewohninvest WESERSTADION
  • Table before kick-offWerder Bremen 15th · FC St. Pauli 9th

Timeline

  1. S. Mbangula 1–0
    2’
  2. ⇄ I. SchmidtFor F. Agu
    45’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ M. GrüllFor J. Njinmah
    60’
  5. Cameron PuertasYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    68’
  6. ⇄ E. SaliakasFor Arkadiusz Pyrka
    71’
  7. ⇄ A. CeesayFor L. Ritzka
    71’
  8. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor J. Sands
    71’
  9. J. StageYellow card · Holding
    73’
  10. ⇄ Patrice ČovićFor Cameron Puertas
    81’
  11. ⇄ V. BonifaceFor S. Mbangula
    81’
  12. M. GrüllYellow card · Roughing
    90’
  13. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Werder Bremen15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
FC St. Pauli13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
Werder BremenFC St. Pauli
41% Possession 59%
1.44 Expected goals (xG) 0.67
1.94 Expected points (xPts) 0.79
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 6
7 Blocked shots 4
10 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 7
460 Passes 641
79% Pass accuracy 83%
5 Corners 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.05 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Werder Bremen 4-3-3

137.3 K. Hein(G)
277.2 F. Agu ↓45’ 317.0 Karim Coulibaly 327.2 M. Friedl 37.3 Y. Sugawara
186.5 Cameron Puertas ↓81’ 147.0 S. Lynen 66.9 J. Stage
77.9★ S. Mbangula ↓81’ 207.0 R. Schmid 116.6 J. Njinmah ↓60’
  • 13K. Hein (G)7.3
  • 27F. Agu↓45’7.2
  • 31Karim Coulibaly7.0
  • 32M. Friedl7.2
  • 3Y. Sugawara7.3
  • 18Cameron Puertas↓81’6.5
  • 14S. Lynen7.0
  • 6J. Stage6.9
  • 7S. Mbangula ★↓81’7.9
  • 20R. Schmid7.0
  • 11J. Njinmah↓60’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 23I. Schmidt↑45’7.0
  • 24Patrice Čović↑81’6.5
  • 17M. Grüll↑60’6.2
  • 44V. Boniface↑81’6.6

Unused: M. Kolke, A. Pieper, S. Alvero, L. Bittencourt, K. Topp

FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2

227.2 N. Vasilj(G)
216.3 L. Ritzka ↓71’ 87.3 E. Smith 57.2 H. Wahl
236.6 Louis Oppie 166.7 J. Fujita 66.6 J. Sands ↓71’ 116.3 Arkadiusz Pyrka ↓71’
106.6 D. Sinani
286.3 M. Pereira Lage 196.5 M. Kaars
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)7.2
  • 21L. Ritzka↓71’6.3
  • 8E. Smith7.3
  • 5H. Wahl7.2
  • 23Louis Oppie6.6
  • 16J. Fujita6.7
  • 6J. Sands↓71’6.6
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka↓71’6.3
  • 10D. Sinani6.6
  • 28M. Pereira Lage6.3
  • 19M. Kaars6.5

Substitutes used

  • 24C. Metcalfe↑71’6.5
  • 2E. Saliakas↑71’6.9
  • 9A. Ceesay↑71’6.6

Unused: B. Voll, F. Stevens, K. Mets, A. Dźwigała, E. Ahlstrand, O. Afolayan

Coach: A. Blessin

Player stats

Top rated
S. MbangulaWerder Bremen7.9
2nd
K. HeinWerder Bremen7.3
3rd
Y. SugawaraWerder Bremen7.3

Werder Bremen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Hein G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 80% 56 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
F. Agu D 45 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 22 0 2 0/0 0/1 7.2
Karim Coulibaly D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 60 2 1 1/1 1/0 7.0
M. Friedl D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 61 1 2 0/0 0/0 7.2
Y. Sugawara D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 74% 39 2 1 1/1 1/0 7.3
Cameron Puertas M 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 30 5 1 0/4 1/2 6.5
S. Lynen M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 40 2 2 0/0 1/0 7.0
J. Stage M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 55% 40 1 1 2/3 2/2 6.9
S. Mbangula F 81 1 0 1 (1) 0 79% 28 3 0 0/2 0/2 7.9
R. Schmid M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 82% 28 1 2 1/3 1/0 7.0
J. Njinmah F 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 19 2 0 0/3 0/0 6.6
I. Schmidt D 45 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 22 4 1 1/1 0/0 7.0
Patrice Čović M 9 0 0 1 (1) 0 25% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Grüll F 30 0 0 1 (1) 0 57% 7 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
V. Boniface F 9 0 0 1 (0) 0 25% 4 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.6

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Vasilj G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 72% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
L. Ritzka D 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 43 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
E. Smith M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 89 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.3
H. Wahl D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 109 4 1 0/1 0/1 7.2
Louis Oppie D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 89% 38 3 2 1/1 1/0 6.6
J. Fujita M 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 86% 65 2 1 2/2 3/0 6.7
J. Sands M 71 0 0 1 (1) 0 84% 45 2 2 1/1 3/0 6.6
Arkadiusz Pyrka M 71 0 0 2 (1) 0 80% 49 1 0 0/2 0/1 6.3
D. Sinani M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 81% 78 2 1 1/1 1/3 6.6
M. Pereira Lage M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 72% 25 2 0 1/3 0/1 6.3
M. Kaars F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 18 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.5
C. Metcalfe M 19 0 0 2 (0) 0 88% 17 0 1 1/2 0/0 6.5
E. Saliakas D 19 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 29 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Ceesay F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.