Premier League Gameweek 5 Sat, Sep 20 2025 · 15:00 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
Wolves
1–3 Full time · HT 1–3 xG 1.78 – 0.48
Leeds
  • L. Krejčí 8’
  • 31’ D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 39’ A. Stach
  • 45’ N. Okafor
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leeds come from behind to beat Wolves

Wolves led 1–0 after 8 minutes through a Krejčí goal. But Calvert-Lewin, Stach and Okafor scored to turn it around for Leeds, who won 3–1. Leeds won despite the lower xG; Wolves created the better chances (1.78 vs 0.48). On the chances created, Wolves deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Wolves36%
Draw26%
Leeds ✓38%

Model vs reality

Wolves goals
1
Model 1.41 · xG 1.78
Leeds goals
3
Model 1.45 · xG 0.48
Total goals
4
Model 2.85 · xG 2.26
Score 1–3
4%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. StachLeeds · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.5
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueMolineux Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWolves 20th · Leeds 16th

Timeline

  1. L. Krejčí 1–0Assist Fer López
    8’
  2. Fer LópezYellow card · Foul
    12’
  3. D. Calvert-Lewin 1–1
    31’
  4. A. Stach 1–2
    39’
  5. J. BogleYellow card · Foul
    41’
  6. N. Okafor 1–3Assist A. Stach
    45’
  7. Half time · 1–3
  8. ⇄ Hugo BuenoFor R. Gomes
    46’
  9. ⇄ M. MunetsiFor J. Bellegarde
    46’
  10. ⇄ J. Strand LarsenFor Fer López
    46’
  11. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor N. Okafor
    70’
  12. ⇄ AndréFor Y. Mosquera
    72’
  13. ⇄ J. AriasFor Toti Gomes
    72’
  14. ⇄ J. JustinFor J. Bogle
    83’
  15. ⇄ A. TanakaFor S. Longstaff
    83’
  16. ⇄ I. GruevFor B. Aaronson
    90+2’
  17. ⇄ L. NmechaFor D. Calvert-Lewin
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Wolves16 shots · 13 in box, 3 outside
Leeds6 shots · 2 in box, 4 outside
WolvesLeeds
56% Possession 44%
1.78 Expected goals (xG) 0.48
2.29 Expected points (xPts) 0.49
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
13 Shots inside the box 2
3 Shots outside the box 4
507 Passes 416
84% Pass accuracy 84%
4 Corners 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.74 Team rating 7.05

Line-ups

Wolves 3-4-2-1

15.7 José Sá(G)
246.7 Toti Gomes ↓72’ 156.2 Y. Mosquera ↓72’ 127.3 E. Agbadou
216.7 R. Gomes ↓46’ 377.7 L. Krejčí 86.9 João Gomes 386.9 J. Tchatchoua
276.2 J. Bellegarde ↓46’ 286.9 Fer López A↓46’
146.6 T. Arokodare
  • 1José Sá (G)5.7
  • 24Toti Gomes↓72’6.7
  • 15Y. Mosquera↓72’6.2
  • 12E. Agbadou7.3
  • 21R. Gomes↓46’6.7
  • 37L. Krejčí7.7
  • 8João Gomes6.9
  • 38J. Tchatchoua6.9
  • 27J. Bellegarde↓46’6.2
  • 28Fer LópezA↓46’6.9
  • 14T. Arokodare6.6

Substitutes used

  • 3Hugo Bueno↑46’7.0
  • 5M. Munetsi↑46’6.3
  • 7André↑72’7.0
  • 9J. Strand Larsen↑46’6.9
  • 10J. Arias↑72’6.7

Unused: S. Johnstone, S. Bueno, H. Hwang, K. Hoever

Leeds 4-3-3

267.3 K. Darlow(G)
36.7 G. Gudmundsson 56.7 P. Struijk 66.9 J. Rodon 26.0 J. Bogle ↓83’
87.2 S. Longstaff ↓83’ 47.2 E. Ampadu 188.5★ A. Stach A
197.3 N. Okafor ↓70’ 97.3 D. Calvert-Lewin ↓90’ 116.7 B. Aaronson ↓90’
  • 26K. Darlow (G)7.3
  • 3G. Gudmundsson6.7
  • 5P. Struijk6.7
  • 6J. Rodon6.9
  • 2J. Bogle↓83’6.0
  • 8S. Longstaff↓83’7.2
  • 4E. Ampadu7.2
  • 18A. Stach ★A8.5
  • 19N. Okafor↓70’7.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin↓90’7.3
  • 11B. Aaronson↓90’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 24J. Justin↑83’6.6
  • 44I. Gruev↑90’
  • 22A. Tanaka↑83’6.3
  • 20J. Harrison↑70’6.5
  • 14L. Nmecha↑90’

Unused: I. Meslier, J. Bijol, J. Piroe, H. Gray

Player stats

Top rated
A. StachLeeds8.5
2nd
L. KrejčíWolves7.7
3rd
E. AgbadouWolves7.3

Wolves

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
José Sá G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 70% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.7
Toti Gomes D 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 53 0 0 2/2 0/2 6.7
Y. Mosquera D 72 0 0 2 (1) 0 93% 46 2 0 0/0 2/4 6.2
E. Agbadou D 90 0 0 2 (2) 1 82% 87 7 0 1/1 1/1 7.3
R. Gomes F 46 0 0 1 (0) 1 89% 9 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
L. Krejčí D 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 90% 58 5 1 0/1 5/0 7.7
João Gomes M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 57 4 1 0/1 1/0 6.9
J. Tchatchoua D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 77% 35 4 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
J. Bellegarde M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 13 0 0 2/3 0/0 6.2
Fer López M 46 0 1 0 (0) 2 78% 23 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.9
T. Arokodare F 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 38% 13 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
Hugo Bueno D 44 0 0 0 (0) 3 82% 22 1 0 1/3 0/0 7.0
M. Munetsi M 44 0 0 2 (1) 0 67% 9 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
André M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 33 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
J. Strand Larsen F 44 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
J. Arias M 18 0 0 0 (0) 2 77% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Darlow G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 51% 35 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
G. Gudmundsson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 52 0 2 1/2 0/0 6.7
P. Struijk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 63 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Rodon D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 52 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Bogle D 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 24 3 1 0/1 2/0 6.0
S. Longstaff M 83 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 26 6 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
E. Ampadu D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 56 4 0 1/2 1/0 7.2
A. Stach M 90 1 1 1 (1) 1 73% 44 3 1 0/1 0/2 8.5
N. Okafor F 70 1 0 1 (1) 0 43% 14 0 1 6/14 1/2 7.3
D. Calvert-Lewin F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 73% 15 1 0 0/1 3/3 7.3
B. Aaronson M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 25 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.7
J. Justin D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
I. Gruev M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Tanaka M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Harrison F 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Nmecha F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.