Premier League Gameweek 29 Tue, Mar 3 2026 · 20:15 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.44 – 1.83
  • R. Gomes 78’
  • André 90’
  • 83’ Mohamed Salah
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

André’s late goal settles it for Wolves

Liverpool entered as clear favourites, but Wolves won 2–1 through goals from Gomes and André. Liverpool replied through a Salah goal. Wolves won despite the lower xG; Liverpool created the better chances (1.83 vs 0.44). On the chances created, Liverpool deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Wolves ✓16%
Draw20%
Liverpool64%

Model vs reality

Wolves goals
2
Model 1.06 · xG 0.44
Liverpool goals
1
Model 2.27 · xG 1.83
Total goals
3
Model 3.33 · xG 2.27
Score 2–1
5%
Most likely 1–2 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 65%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchAndréWolves · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueMolineux Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWolves 20th · Liverpool 5th

Timeline

  1. R. GravenberchYellow card · Foul
    22’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ C. JonesFor R. Gravenberch
    46’
  4. ⇄ Y. MosqueraFor M. Doherty
    59’
  5. ⇄ J. BellegardeFor A. Gomes
    60’
  6. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor A. Armstrong
    60’
  7. ⇄ A. RobertsonFor M. Kerkez
    65’
  8. ⇄ R. NgumohaFor C. Gakpo
    65’
  9. João GomesYellow card · Foul
    69’
  10. ⇄ R. GomesFor Mateus Mané
    70’
  11. ⇄ J. GomezFor J. Frimpong
    72’
  12. R. Gomes 1–0Assist T. Arokodare
    78’
  13. ⇄ Hugo BuenoFor D. Møller Wolfe
    79’
  14. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor I. Konaté
    79’
  15. Mohamed Salah 1–1
    83’
  16. S. BuenoYellow card · Foul
    90’
  17. André 2–1Assist J. Tchatchoua
    90’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Wolves4 shots · 2 in box, 2 outside
Liverpool19 shots · 13 in box, 6 outside
WolvesLiverpool
34% Possession 66%
0.44 Expected goals (xG) 1.83
0.45 Expected points (xPts) 2.35
4 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 7
1 Shots off target 9
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Shots inside the box 13
2 Shots outside the box 6
315 Passes 609
79% Pass accuracy 89%
2 Corners 11
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.03 Team rating 6.72

Line-ups

Wolves 3-5-1-1

16.9 José Sá(G)
377.2 L. Krejčí 47.5 S. Bueno 26.6 M. Doherty ↓59’
66.6 D. Møller Wolfe ↓79’ 87.2 João Gomes 78.7★ André 366.3 Mateus Mané ↓70’ 387.2 J. Tchatchoua A
476.7 A. Gomes ↓60’
96.3 A. Armstrong ↓60’
  • 1José Sá (G)6.9
  • 37L. Krejčí7.2
  • 4S. Bueno7.5
  • 2M. Doherty↓59’6.6
  • 6D. Møller Wolfe↓79’6.6
  • 8João Gomes7.2
  • 7André ★8.7
  • 36Mateus Mané↓70’6.3
  • 38J. TchatchouaA7.2
  • 47A. Gomes↓60’6.7
  • 9A. Armstrong↓60’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 27J. Bellegarde↑60’6.0
  • 14T. ArokodareA↑60’6.9
  • 21R. Gomes↑70’7.3
  • 15Y. Mosquera↑59’6.5
  • 3Hugo Bueno↑79’6.5

Unused: S. Johnstone, H. Hwang, Toti Gomes, Pedro Lima

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

15.9 A. Becker(G)
66.7 M. Kerkez ↓65’ 46.9 V. van Dijk 57.2 I. Konaté ↓79’ 306.9 J. Frimpong ↓72’
106.7 A. Mac Allister 386.2 R. Gravenberch ↓46’
186.6 C. Gakpo ↓65’ 87.2 D. Szoboszlai 117.5 Mohamed Salah
226.3 H. Ekitiké
  • 1A. Becker (G)5.9
  • 6M. Kerkez↓65’6.7
  • 4V. van Dijk6.9
  • 5I. Konaté↓79’7.2
  • 30J. Frimpong↓72’6.9
  • 10A. Mac Allister6.7
  • 38R. Gravenberch↓46’6.2
  • 18C. Gakpo↓65’6.6
  • 8D. Szoboszlai7.2
  • 11Mohamed Salah7.5
  • 22H. Ekitiké6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑79’6.5
  • 17C. Jones↑46’6.2
  • 26A. Robertson↑65’6.3
  • 2J. Gomez↑72’6.0
  • 73R. Ngumoha↑65’7.5

Unused: G. Mamardashvili, Kieran Morrison, C. Ramsay, T. Nyoni

Player stats

Top rated
AndréWolves8.7
2nd
S. BuenoWolves7.5
3rd
Mohamed SalahLiverpool7.5

Wolves

Liverpool

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.