Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Mar 22 2026 · 17:30 Elindus Arena, Waregem
First leg2–1 1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.82 – 0.96
  • Jeppe Erenbjerg 41’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Erenbjerg goal decides it for Zulte Waregem

Zulte Waregem entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Erenbjerg goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.82 and 0.96. On the chances created, Charleroi deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Zulte Waregem ✓41%
Draw26%
Charleroi33%

Model vs reality

Zulte Waregem goals
1
Model 1.55 · xG 0.82
Charleroi goals
0
Model 1.35 · xG 0.96
Total goals
1
Model 2.90 · xG 1.78
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. GabriëlZulte Waregem
8.2
  • RefereeBram Van Driessche
  • VenueElindus Arena
  • Table before kick-offZulte Waregem 14th · Charleroi 11th

Timeline

  1. C. KeitaYellow card
    27’
  2. Jeppe Erenbjerg 1–0Assist J. Opoku
    41’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ E. LofolomoFor T. Claes
    56’
  5. ⇄ F. SzymczakFor É. Camara
    66’
  6. A. OusouYellow card
    71’
  7. ⇄ M. MbayeFor J. Opoku
    79’
  8. ⇄ B. De JaegereFor Benoit Nyssen
    80’
  9. ⇄ A. ColassinFor P. Pflücke
    80’
  10. ⇄ M. NzitaFor Jules Gaudin
    80’
  11. B. GabriëlYellow card
    85’
  12. ⇄ Y. CisseFor A. Bernier
    86’
  13. ⇄ W. PaugainFor L. Lemoine
    90’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Zulte Waregem9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
Charleroi11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
Zulte WaregemCharleroi
38% Possession 62%
0.82 Expected goals (xG) 0.96
1.22 Expected points (xPts) 1.45
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 3
323 Passes 521
77% Pass accuracy 84%
4 Corners 10
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.19 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

Zulte Waregem 3-4-1-2

138.2★ B. Gabriël(G)
317.2 L. Willen 56.3 Jakob Kiilerich 46.9 L. Lemoine ↓90’
397.9 M. Aké 87.2 T. Claes ↓56’ 406.9 D. Asare 196.7 Benoit Nyssen ↓80’
108.0 Jeppe Erenbjerg
227.0 J. Opoku A↓79’ 186.9 A. Ementa
  • 13B. Gabriël (G) ★8.2
  • 31L. Willen7.2
  • 5Jakob Kiilerich6.3
  • 4L. Lemoine↓90’6.9
  • 39M. Aké7.9
  • 8T. Claes↓56’7.2
  • 40D. Asare6.9
  • 19Benoit Nyssen↓80’6.7
  • 10Jeppe Erenbjerg8.0
  • 22J. OpokuA↓79’7.0
  • 18A. Ementa6.9

Substitutes used

  • 12W. Paugain↑90’
  • 30M. Mbaye↑79’6.7
  • 6E. Lofolomo↑56’6.9

Unused: L. Bostyn, Y. Cappelle, Anton Tanghe, Benoit De Jaegere, S. Gavriel, J. Vossen

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

307.3 M. Koné(G)
236.7 Jules Gaudin ↓80’ 956.7 C. Keita 46.9 A. Ousou 277.0 L. Blum
56.2 É. Camara ↓66’ 227.0 Y. Titraoui
177.2 A. Bernier ↓86’ 86.6 J. Romsaas 146.7 P. Pflücke ↓80’
215.9 A. Scheidler
  • 30M. Koné (G)7.3
  • 23Jules Gaudin↓80’6.7
  • 95C. Keita6.7
  • 4A. Ousou6.9
  • 27L. Blum7.0
  • 5É. Camara↓66’6.2
  • 22Y. Titraoui7.0
  • 17A. Bernier↓86’7.2
  • 8J. Romsaas6.6
  • 14P. Pflücke↓80’6.7
  • 21A. Scheidler5.9

Substitutes used

  • 24M. Nzita↑80’7.2
  • 45Y. Cisse↑86’
  • 25A. Colassin↑80’6.5
  • 9F. Szymczak↑66’6.2

Unused: M. Delavallée, M. Boukamir, A. Boukamir, Y. Khalifi, Q. Benaets

Player stats

Top rated
B. GabriëlZulte Waregem8.2
2nd
Jeppe ErenbjergZulte Waregem8.0
3rd
M. AkéZulte Waregem7.9

Zulte Waregem

Charleroi

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.