10th · Eredivisie · 11 points · Matches played: 9
12 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →
DLDLL
L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.
-2.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -4.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 21.4-2.8
-2.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -4.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 21.4-2.8
World Rank
365th
Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank
13th
L90 Strength
An average side on a poor run.
Excelsior are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. N. Naujoks is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Twente.
They are clinical in front of goal (16% of shots scored). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.
- Relegation 4%Likely 12th · 40 projected points
-
Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest vs
Twente · , 26% to win
- 1 key player outN. Naujoks · 7% of squad weight missing · Last match: 16 Oct
- 11 pts vs 11.7 expected-0.7 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Excelsior. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Trend
Excelsior
67%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Alert
Excelsior
1.6
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Excelsior
1.8
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Excelsior
−0.42
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.47xG against1.89
-
Alert
Excelsior
2.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
Defence
-
Alert
Excelsior
1.6
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Excelsior
2.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Excelsior
−0.42
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.47xG against1.89
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027EredivisieView table →
Position
10th/ 18
Points
111.22 PPG
Played
9
League gap
12pts behind leader
33.3%Win %
Wins3
Draws2
Losses4
Expected metrics · 4 of 9 matches covered
Goals For
161.78 / game
xG
6.40
0.40 fewer goals than expected.
vs 6 goals
Goals Against
182.00 / game
xGA
7.72
3.28 more conceded than expected.
vs 11 conceded
Goal Difference
-2-0.22 / game
xGD
-1.32
Goal difference is 3.68 lower than expected.
vs -5 GD
Clean Sheets
222% of games
All competitions9 Played
33.3%Win %
Wins3
Draws2
Losses4
Expected metrics · 4 of 9 matches covered
Goals For
161.78 / game
xG
6.40
0.40 fewer goals than expected.
vs 6 goals
Goals Against
182.00 / game
xGA
7.72
3.28 more conceded than expected.
vs 11 conceded
Goal Difference
-2-0.22 / game
xGD
-1.32
Goal difference is 3.68 lower than expected.
vs -5 GD
Clean Sheets
222% of games
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
Eredivisie · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– |  Feyenoord |
61 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2▲ |  AZ Alkmaar |
47 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 3▼ |  PSV Eindhoven |
74 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 | WWLWL |
| 4▲ |  Ajax |
53 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 18 | WWDDW |
| 5▼ | Twente |
45 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | WWWDL |
| 6▲ |  Fortuna Sittard |
21 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 | WLWDD |
| 7▼ |  Groningen |
30 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 8▲ |  Heerenveen |
31 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 | LDWLW |
| 9▼ |  GO Ahead Eagles |
24 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 10▼ | Excelsior |
21 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | DLDLL |
| 11▲ |  Utrecht |
34 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 12▼ |  NEC Nijmegen |
32 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | DLDDD |
| 13▲ |  Sparta Rotterdam |
18 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 14▼ |  Cambuur |
23 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 | DWDWD |
| 15▲ |  PEC Zwolle |
16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 16▼ |  Telstar |
22 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
| 17– |  ADO Den Haag |
15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 | LLDDW |
| 18– |  Willem II |
10 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 2 | DLLLL |
18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 Aug 2026 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 16 Aug 2026 | 9 | 3 | 2 |
| 3 · Partial | 23 Aug 2026 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | 30 Aug 2026 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 Sep 2026 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 6 | 15 Sep 2026 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 7 | 20 Sep 2026 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 Oct 2026 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | 18 Oct 2026 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 35 players · this season, all competitions · 1 out
Absences reported for the last match: 16 Oct 2026
Top scorer
I. Yegoian3 goals (1 pen)
I. Yegoian3 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
I. Yegoian5 assists
I. Yegoian5 assists
Best rated
I. Yegoian7.32 avg rating
I. Yegoian7.32 avg rating
Most minutes
S. van Gassel810 min
S. van Gassel810 min
Key to the model
S. van GasselStarter · weight 2.00
S. van GasselStarter · weight 2.00| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| S. van Gassel |
30 | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | 6.69 | starter |
 Celton Biai |
26 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Tijmen Holla |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Defenders | |||||||
 R. Meissen |
24 | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 0 | 6.58 | starter |
 J. Plug |
21 | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 6.79 | starter |
 C. Widell |
23 | 9 (8) | 735 | 1 | 0 | 6.78 | starter |
 Simon Janssen |
26 | 8 (7) | 537 | 0 | 3 | 6.58 | rotation |
 Giuliano Cairo |
20 | 2 (0) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6.04 | depth |
 S. Henderikx |
23 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 M. van de Wetering |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
| I. Yegoian |
22 | 9 (9) | 795 | 3 | 5 | 7.32 | starter |
 L. Hartjes |
23 | 9 (9) | 789 | 1 | 0 | 6.67 | starter |
 Á. Þorsteinsson |
21 | 7 (7) | 487 | 0 | 1 | 6.37 | starter |
| ?D. Garden | — | 7 (7) | 481 | 2 | 0 | 6.70 | starter |
 D. van Vianen |
23 | 5 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | 6.60 | rotation |
 I. Silva Timas |
24 | 7 (2) | 224 | 0 | 1 | 6.47 | rotation |
 Nolan Martens |
22 | 2 (1) | 119 | 0 | 0 | 6.15 | — |
 N. Naujoks injured |
24 | 2 (1) | 103 | 2 | 0 | 6.99 | starter |
 V. Sulzbacher |
21 | 4 (0) | 88 | 1 | 0 | 6.20 | rotation |
 Y. Finey |
23 | 1 (0) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6.30 | depth |
 J. Fortes Rocha |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Q. Kraaijvanger |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Mika Luijendijk |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Fedde Raats |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 M. Tielemans |
24 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Forwards | |||||||
 Aymen Sliti |
20 | 9 (7) | 515 | 3 | 1 | 7.06 | starter |
 E. da Silva Moreira |
20 | 7 (6) | 444 | 0 | 0 | 6.27 | starter |
 K. Bos |
22 | 4 (1) | 165 | 0 | 0 | 6.63 | rotation |
 D. Garden |
— | 2 (2) | 142 | 1 | 0 | — | — |
 Mario Domínguez |
22 | 5 (0) | 105 | 0 | 0 | 6.23 | rotation |
 N. Groen |
22 | 5 (0) | 103 | 1 | 0 | 6.70 | rotation |
 A. Jahanbakhsh |
33 | 6 (0) | 94 | 0 | 0 | 6.29 | rotation |
 G. de Regt |
23 | 1 (1) | 85 | 0 | 1 | 6.90 | — |
 O. Turay |
17 | 3 (0) | 77 | 0 | 0 | 6.20 | depth |
 Niels Kuppen |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Fortuna Sittard: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength Eredivisie · 18 clubs
L90 Strength13th of 18
21
Elo 1451 · World #365
Current Strength
21
With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack14th of 18
21
Scores 1.13 per match against an average top-five side
Defence13th of 18
18
Concedes 2.21 per match against an average top-five side
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed
11
DLDLL Form index · 17th of 18 in league
- Points, last 5
- 2
- Median top-5 club
- 7.9
- Own forecasts
- 6.1 -4.1
Table10th
L90 Strength13th
Form17th
Higher in the table than their strength suggests.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- L16 OctA · Heerenveen0–40.9 xPts
- L11 OctH · Groningen1–51.7 xPts
- D19 SepA · Ajax2–20.7 xPts
- L13 SepH · Utrecht1–21.9 xPts
- D8 SepA · NEC Nijmegen2–21.0 xPts
- W5 SepA · Willem II3–01.7 xPts
- W29 AugH · Sparta Rotterdam2–11.8 xPts
- L15 AugH · PSV Eindhoven1–21.0 xPts
- W7 AugA · Cambuur4–01.1 xPts
Trends last 9, all competitions
Scored
8/9
Clean sheet
2/9
Conceded 2+
6/9
Over 2.5
9/9
Both teams scored
6/9
Playing style vs Eredivisie average
EXCLeagueRank
Goals scored
1.78
1.92
8th
Goals conceded
2.00
1.92
9th
xG
1.60
1.71
11th
xG allowed
1.93
1.70
12th
Scored in
89%
85%
6th
Clean sheets
22%
15%
4th
EXCLeagueRank
Shots
10.78
14.96
17th
Shots on target
3.78
5.36
15th
On target share
35%
35%
11th
Box share
70%
66%
5th
Conversion
17%
13%
2nd
EXCLeagueRank
Shots allowed
15.67
14.96
10th
On target allowed
5.22
5.33
8th
Blocks
4.22
4.25
11th
Save rate
64%
65%
11th
EXCLeagueRank
Possession
43%
50%
15th
Passes
390
443
13th
Pass accuracy
79%
82%
15th
EXCLeagueRank
Fouls
11.56
10.67
14th
Fouls suffered
7.33
10.67
18th
Yellow cards
1.22
1.37
5th
Red cards
0.00
0.02
1st
EXCLeagueRank
Goals scored
1.90
1.82
7th
Goals conceded
2.00
1.94
9th
xG
1.47
1.61
11th
xG allowed
1.89
1.71
10th
Scored in
90%
82%
4th
Clean sheets
20%
13%
4th
EXCLeagueRank
Shots
11.30
14.49
17th
Shots on target
3.80
5.15
14th
On target share
34%
35%
13th
Box share
66%
65%
9th
Conversion
17%
12%
2nd
EXCLeagueRank
Shots allowed
15.80
15.14
10th
On target allowed
5.10
5.39
7th
Blocks
4.50
4.29
9th
Save rate
65%
65%
10th
EXCLeagueRank
Possession
43%
50%
15th
Passes
389
438
13th
Pass accuracy
79%
82%
15th
EXCLeagueRank
Fouls
11.80
10.90
14th
Fouls suffered
7.60
10.88
18th
Yellow cards
1.10
1.44
4th
Red cards
0.00
0.03
1st
Home and away this league season
Home0.75pts per game1-0-3 · 1.2–2.5 goals · 4 games
Away1.60pts per game2-2-1 · 2.2–1.6 goals · 5 games
Goal timing this league season · 9 games
1
4
0-15
2
16-30
6
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
5
76-90
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings Eredivisie · 9 games · rank of 18
Attack
GF
16
8th / 18
GF/G
1.78
8th / 18
xG/G
1.60
11th / 18
G − xG
+0.18
12th / 18
Defence
GA
18
9th / 18
GA/G
2.00
9th / 18
xGA/G
1.93
12th / 18
xGA − GA
-0.07
8th / 18
Overall
Pts
11
9th / 18
xPts
11.7
10th / 18
PPG
1.22
9th / 18
TR
6.73
11th / 18
GD
-2
11th / 18
xGD
-3.0
10th / 18
W
3
8th / 18
L
4
11th / 18
Scorelines
- 1–2×2
- 2–2×2
- 4–0×1
- 2–1×1
- 3–0×1
- 1–5×1
Goals per game both teams
0%
0
0%
1
0%
2
44%
3
44%
4
11%
5+
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 100%91%
- Over 2.5
- 100%75%
- Over 3.5
- 56%63%
- Both scored
- 67%72%
- Clean sheet
- 22%15%
- Failed to score
- 11%15%
ClubLeague average
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.