Heerenveen

8th · Eredivisie · 12 points · Matches played: 9

11 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+6.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
30.8+6.9
World Rank 208th Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank 8th L90 Strength

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Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Heerenveen lean on a top-third defence, with a mid-table attack behind it. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. D. Proper is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Feyenoord.

Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation <1%Likely 8th · 48 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest vs Feyenoord · , 26% to win
  • 1 key player outD. Proper · 6% of squad weight missing · Last match: 16 Oct
  • 12 pts vs 11.7 expected+0.3 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Heerenveen. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions9 Played
33.3%Win %
Wins3
Draws3
Losses3

Expected metrics · 6 of 9 matches covered

Goals For
151.67 / game
xG 7.68 1.32 more goals than expected. vs 9 goals
Goals Against
111.22 / game
xGA 9.27 1.27 fewer conceded than expected. vs 8 conceded
Goal Difference
+4+0.44 / game
xGD -1.59 Goal difference is 2.59 higher than expected. vs +1 GD
Clean Sheets
444% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 29 players · this season, all competitions · 1 out

Absences reported for the last match: 16 Oct 2026

Top scorer
J. Trenskow4 goals
Most assists
L. Smans3 assists
Best rated
J. Trenskow7.49 avg rating
Most minutes
B. Klaverboer810 min
Key to the model
M. WillemsenStarter · weight 1.96

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to ADO Den Haag: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Eredivisie · 18 clubs

L90 Strength8th of 18
31 Elo 1525 · World #208
Current Strength
31 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack8th of 18
36 Scores 1.35 per match against an average top-five side
Defence6th of 18
40 Concedes 1.69 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Feyenoord: attack 76, defence 61, L90 Strength 61 AZ Alkmaar: attack 52, defence 49, L90 Strength 47 PSV Eindhoven: attack 60, defence 64, L90 Strength 74 Ajax: attack 66, defence 55, L90 Strength 53 Twente: attack 41, defence 49, L90 Strength 45 Fortuna Sittard: attack 19, defence 19, L90 Strength 21 Groningen: attack 41, defence 21, L90 Strength 30 Heerenveen: attack 36, defence 40, L90 Strength 31 GO Ahead Eagles: attack 29, defence 17, L90 Strength 24 Excelsior: attack 21, defence 18, L90 Strength 21 Utrecht: attack 32, defence 31, L90 Strength 34 NEC Nijmegen: attack 37, defence 33, L90 Strength 32 Sparta Rotterdam: attack 32, defence 17, L90 Strength 18 Cambuur: attack 22, defence 23, L90 Strength 23 PEC Zwolle: attack 17, defence 14, L90 Strength 16 Telstar: attack 24, defence 13, L90 Strength 22 ADO Den Haag: attack 15, defence 18, L90 Strength 15 Willem II: attack 10, defence 9, L90 Strength 10
Every Eredivisie club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

39
Form index · 9th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
7
Median top-5 club
8.2
Own forecasts
5.9 +1.1
Table8th L90 Strength8th Form9th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W16 OctH · Excelsior4–01.9 xPts
  • L9 OctA · PSV Eindhoven0–20.4 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Sparta Rotterdam4–01.2 xPts
  • D13 SepH · Telstar0–01.7 xPts
  • L6 SepH · AZ Alkmaar2–30.9 xPts
  • D30 AugA · Willem II2–21.7 xPts
  • L22 AugH · PEC Zwolle0–22.1 xPts
  • D16 AugA · Ajax2–20.8 xPts
  • W9 AugH · Twente1–01.3 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 6/9
Clean sheet 4/9
Conceded 2+ 5/9
Over 2.5 5/9
Both teams scored 3/9

Playing style vs Eredivisie average

HEELeagueRank
Goals scored 1.67 1.92 12th
Goals conceded 1.22 1.92 4th
xG 1.28 1.71 13th
xG allowed 1.55 1.70 7th
Scored in 67% 85% 16th
Clean sheets 44% 15% 1st
HEELeagueRank
Shots 15.11 14.96 7th
Shots on target 6.00 5.36 8th
On target share 40% 35% 2nd
Box share 66% 66% 11th
Conversion 11% 13% 12th
HEELeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.56 14.96 7th
On target allowed 4.00 5.33 4th
Blocks 4.44 4.25 8th
Save rate 73% 65% 2nd
HEELeagueRank
Possession 53% 50% 8th
Passes 493 443 5th
Pass accuracy 85% 82% 6th
HEELeagueRank
Fouls 8.67 10.67 2nd
Fouls suffered 10.78 10.67 8th
Yellow cards 1.00 1.37 3rd
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
HEELeagueRank
Goals scored 1.70 1.82 11th
Goals conceded 1.40 1.94 5th
xG 1.27 1.61 14th
xG allowed 1.58 1.71 7th
Scored in 70% 82% 14th
Clean sheets 40% 13% 1st
HEELeagueRank
Shots 14.90 14.49 6th
Shots on target 5.90 5.15 7th
On target share 40% 35% 3rd
Box share 66% 65% 8th
Conversion 11% 12% 11th
HEELeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.20 15.14 9th
On target allowed 4.22 5.39 5th
Blocks 4.70 4.29 5th
Save rate 69% 65% 5th
HEELeagueRank
Possession 54% 50% 6th
Passes 498 438 5th
Pass accuracy 85% 82% 6th
HEELeagueRank
Fouls 8.40 10.90 2nd
Fouls suffered 10.80 10.88 9th
Yellow cards 1.00 1.44 2nd
Red cards 0.00 0.03 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.40pts per game2-1-2 · 1.4–1.0 goals · 5 games
Away1.25pts per game1-2-1 · 2.0–1.5 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

1 2 0-15
3 1 16-30
2 1 31-45
3 1 46-60
2 4 61-75
4 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Eredivisie · 9 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 15 12th / 18
GF/G 1.67 12th / 18
xG/G 1.28 13th / 18
G − xG +0.39 8th / 18

Defence

GA 11 4th / 18
GA/G 1.22 4th / 18
xGA/G 1.55 7th / 18
xGA − GA +0.33 3rd / 18

Overall

Pts 12 8th / 18
xPts 11.7 9th / 18
PPG 1.33 8th / 18
TR 6.92 6th / 18
GD +4 6th / 18
xGD -2.4 9th / 18
W 3 8th / 18
L 3 8th / 18

Scorelines

  • 2–2×2
  • 0–2×2
  • 4–0×2
  • 1–0×1
  • 2–3×1
  • 0–0×1

Goals per game both teams

11% 0
11% 1
22% 2
0% 3
44% 4
11% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
78%91%
Over 2.5
56%75%
Over 3.5
56%63%
Both scored
33%72%
Clean sheet
44%15%
Failed to score
33%15%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.