Kocaelispor

8th · Süper Lig · 12 points · Matches played: 8

7 points behind Galatasaray · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
21.7+0.8
World Rank 360th Global, by Elo
Süper Lig Rank 14th L90 Strength

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Our take

Up against it.

Kocaelispor rely on a mid-table defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. A. Dijksteel and M. Haïdara are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Alanyaspor.

They give up a lot of shots (16 a game). Home is where they earn their points: 2.2 per game there against 0.8 away.

  • Relegation 2%Likely 11th · 44 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Alanyaspor · , 32% to win
  • 4 key players outA. Dijksteel, M. Haïdara · 28% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 12 pts vs 8.6 expected+3.4 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Kocaelispor. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions8 Played
50.0%Win %
Wins4
Draws0
Losses4

Expected metrics · 7 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
91.13 / game
xG 6.34 1.66 more goals than expected. vs 8 goals
Goals Against
81.00 / game
xGA 9.81 1.81 fewer conceded than expected. vs 8 conceded
Goal Difference
+1+0.12 / game
xGD -3.47 Goal difference is 3.47 higher than expected. vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
338% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 34 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
B. Kutlu3 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
Show1 assists
Best rated
E. Ortakaya7.28 avg rating
Most minutes
S. Öztaşdelen720 min
Key to the model
S. ÖztaşdelenStarter · weight 2.00

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Alanyaspor: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Süper Lig · 18 clubs

L90 Strength14th of 18
22 Elo 1454 · World #360
Current Strength
22 With absences before 23 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack13th of 18
16 Scores 1.05 per match against an average top-five side
Defence12th of 18
32 Concedes 1.84 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Galatasaray: attack 57, defence 55, L90 Strength 64 Amed: attack 38, defence 46, L90 Strength 34 Fenerbahce: attack 75, defence 53, L90 Strength 64 Trabzonspor: attack 54, defence 48, L90 Strength 46 Besiktas: attack 60, defence 48, L90 Strength 50 Çorum FK: attack 31, defence 36, L90 Strength 32 Kasimpasa: attack 21, defence 32, L90 Strength 23 Kocaelispor: attack 16, defence 32, L90 Strength 22 Alanyaspor: attack 18, defence 24, L90 Strength 24 Istanbul Basaksehir: attack 32, defence 35, L90 Strength 36 Erzurumspor FK: attack 17, defence 38, L90 Strength 27 Rizespor: attack 22, defence 35, L90 Strength 22 Goztepe: attack 39, defence 36, L90 Strength 29 Gazişehir Gaziantep: attack 15, defence 18, L90 Strength 16 Genclerbirligi: attack 13, defence 16, L90 Strength 15 Konyaspor: attack 13, defence 31, L90 Strength 18 Samsunspor: attack 15, defence 18, L90 Strength 23 Eyüpspor: attack 9, defence 10, L90 Strength 13
Every Süper Lig club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

33
Form index · 11th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
6
Median top-5 club
8.0
Own forecasts
5.5 +0.5
Table8th L90 Strength14th Form11th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L18 OctH · Goztepe1–21.4 xPts
  • L11 OctA · Besiktas1–20.6 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–01.6 xPts
  • L13 SepA · Galatasaray0–10.5 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Samsunspor1–01.5 xPts
  • W29 AugA · Konyaspor2–11.2 xPts
  • W24 AugH · Amed2–01.2 xPts
  • L16 AugA · Istanbul Basaksehir0–20.7 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 6/8
Clean sheet 3/8
Conceded 2+ 3/8
Over 2.5 3/8
Both teams scored 3/8

Playing style vs Süper Lig average

KOCLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.13 1.45 10th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.45 3rd
xG 0.91 1.34 15th
xG allowed 1.40 1.32 10th
Scored in 75% 69% 8th
Clean sheets 38% 31% 4th
KOCLeagueRank
Shots 11.25 13.41 14th
Shots on target 4.14 4.71 10th
On target share 32% 34% 10th
Box share 55% 60% 14th
Conversion 10% 11% 9th
KOCLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.50 13.34 16th
On target allowed 4.29 4.72 7th
Blocks 2.88 3.71 16th
Save rate 80% 72% 2nd
KOCLeagueRank
Possession 48% 50% 12th
Passes 401 410 11th
Pass accuracy 81% 83% 15th
KOCLeagueRank
Fouls 12.00 12.35 9th
Fouls suffered 13.88 12.36 5th
Yellow cards 1.50 1.95 6th
Red cards 0.00 0.07 1st
This league season, per match · 8 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
KOCLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.90 1.46 15th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.52 1st
xG 0.76 1.36 17th
xG allowed 1.27 1.36 7th
Scored in 60% 69% 13th
Clean sheets 30% 28% 6th
KOCLeagueRank
Shots 10.40 13.09 16th
Shots on target 3.75 4.65 12th
On target share 29% 34% 15th
Box share 56% 61% 14th
Conversion 9% 11% 13th
KOCLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.60 13.45 14th
On target allowed 4.00 4.87 3rd
Blocks 2.60 3.60 17th
Save rate 80% 71% 2nd
KOCLeagueRank
Possession 51% 50% 8th
Passes 415 403 10th
Pass accuracy 82% 83% 15th
KOCLeagueRank
Fouls 12.80 12.28 12th
Fouls suffered 14.40 12.44 5th
Yellow cards 1.90 2.01 7th
Red cards 0.00 0.08 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.25pts per game3-0-1 · 1.5–0.5 goals · 4 games
Away0.75pts per game1-0-3 · 0.8–1.5 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 8 games

1 0-15
3 2 16-30
2 31-45
1 46-60
1 2 61-75
4 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Süper Lig · 8 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 9 10th / 18
GF/G 1.13 10th / 18
xG/G 0.91 15th / 18
G − xG +0.21 7th / 18

Defence

GA 8 3rd / 18
GA/G 1.00 3rd / 18
xGA/G 1.40 10th / 18
xGA − GA +0.40 4th / 18

Overall

Pts 12 8th / 18
xPts 8.6 16th / 18
PPG 1.50 8th / 18
TR 6.86 10th / 18
GD +1 8th / 18
xGD -3.9 14th / 18
W 4 6th / 18
L 4 12th / 18

Scorelines

  • 2–0×2
  • 1–2×2
  • 0–2×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 0–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
25% 1
38% 2
38% 3
0% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
75%75%
Over 2.5
38%58%
Over 3.5
0%31%
Both scored
38%44%
Clean sheet
38%31%
Failed to score
25%31%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.