Kocaelispor

8th · Süper Lig · 12 points · Matches played: 8

7 points behind Galatasaray · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 21.7+0.8
World Rank 360th Global, by Elo
Süper Lig Rank 14th L90 Strength
Last GoztepeH xG 0.7–0.9 1–2 Next AlanyasporA 32%

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Upcoming fixtures

Kocaelispor · All competitions

Forecast
AlanyasporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away 32% win 1.21 xPts RizesporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home 40% win 1.48 xPts EyüpsporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away 44% win 1.59 xPts FenerbahceSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Çorum FKSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GenclerbirligiSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TrabzonsporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts KasimpasaSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Istanbul BasaksehirSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AmedSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts KonyasporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SamsunsporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GalatasaraySüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Gazişehir GaziantepSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BesiktasSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GoztepeSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlanyasporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RizesporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EyüpsporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FenerbahceSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Çorum FKSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GenclerbirligiSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TrabzonsporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts KasimpasaSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Kocaelispor · All competitions

Full time
GoztepeSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 0.7–0.9 xG -1.4 Δpts BesiktasSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 1.5–2.2 xG -0.6 Δpts Gazişehir GaziantepSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 1.0–0.9 xG +1.4 Δpts GalatasaraySüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.7–2.4 xG -0.4 Δpts SamsunsporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 — xG +1.5 Δpts KonyasporSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 0.8–0.9 xG +1.8 Δpts AmedSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 1.3–0.6 xG +1.8 Δpts Istanbul BasaksehirSüper Lig 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.4–2.0 xG -0.7 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Kocaelispor first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 6

Rest profile5.2 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load521 km to venue, 394 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availability6 out, 4 key: A. Dijksteel, M. Haïdara · Last match: 18 Oct
28%

Load before the next match, at Alanyaspor, 23 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 16 Aug at Istanbul Basaksehir: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100
L
 Aug 24 Aug vs Amed: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100
W
 29 Aug at Konyaspor: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 45/100
W
 6 Sep vs Samsunspor: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100
W
 Sep 13 Sep at Galatasaray: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100
L
 19 Sep vs Gazişehir Gaziantep: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100
W
 11 Oct at Besiktas: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100
L
 Oct 18 Oct vs Goztepe: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100
L
 23 Oct at Alanyaspor: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100 31 Oct vs Rizespor: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 7 Nov at Eyüpspor: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 Nov 21 Nov vs Fenerbahce: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100 29 Nov at Çorum FK: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 61/100 6 Dec at Erzurumspor FK: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 56/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Genclerbirligi: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 40/100 21 Dec at Trabzonspor: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 73/100 17 Jan vs Kasimpasa: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 Jan 24 Jan vs Istanbul Basaksehir: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 31 Jan at Amed: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 63/100 7 Feb vs Konyaspor: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 45/100 Feb 14 Feb at Samsunspor: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 52/100 21 Feb vs Galatasaray: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 83/100 28 Feb at Gazişehir Gaziantep: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 42/100 7 Mar vs Besiktas: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 75/100 Mar 14 Mar at Goztepe: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 59/100 21 Mar vs Alanyaspor: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 4 Apr at Rizespor: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 50/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Eyüpspor: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 37/100 18 Apr at Fenerbahce: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 83/100 25 Apr vs Çorum FK: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 2 May vs Erzurumspor FK: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 May 9 May at Genclerbirligi: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 40/100 16 May vs Trabzonspor: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 23 May at Kasimpasa: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest5.2 daysbefore ALA
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d394 kmaway trips
Schedule load6%Low
at AlanyasporFri 23 Oct, 18:00 Süper Lig 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 24 32%win27%draw42%loss Low load · 5.2 d rest vs RizesporSat 31 Oct, 13:00 Süper Lig 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 22 40%win27%draw33%loss Low load · 7.8 d rest at EyüpsporSat 7 Nov, 10:30 Süper Lig 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 13 44%win26%draw30%loss Low load · 6.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Alanyaspor, 23 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+3%

Baseline 2.58 → Forecast 2.67 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−10%

Baseline 3.03 → Forecast 2.73 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Alanyaspor23 Oct · Süper Lig 2026-2027 +9% −13% 1.14 → 1.24
vs Rizespor31 Oct · Süper Lig 2026-2027 −1% −6% 1.44 → 1.43
at Eyüpspor7 Nov · Süper Lig 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Kocaelispor

Baseline: average Süper Lig opponent

Attack Uplift +9% Expected goals Baseline1.14Forecast1.24
Conceding Risk −13% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.68Forecast1.46
Clean Sheet +4.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline18.6%Forecast23.3%