Monaco

5th · Ligue 1 · 14 points · Matches played: 7

Level on points with Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-5.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 56.3-5.6
World Rank 64th Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 4th L90 Strength
Last LorientA xG 0.7–1.7 0–1 Next LilleH 44%

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Upcoming fixtures

Monaco · All competitions

Forecast
LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 44% win 1.57 xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 36% win 1.34 xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 52% win 1.80 xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Monaco · All competitions

Full time
LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.7–1.7 xG -1.6 Δpts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 1.3–1.5 xG -1.0 Δpts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 — xG +1.5 Δpts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 — xG -0.4 Δpts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 — xG +2.5 Δpts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 1.5–1.2 xG +1.5 Δpts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 1.4–0.6 xG +1.4 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Monaco first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 5

Rest profile6.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 1,895 km in 14 days
17%
Squad availability4 out, 1 key: L. Camara · Last match: 18 Oct
11%

Load before the next match, vs Lille, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug at LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 20/100
W
 Aug 30 Aug vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100
W
 4 Sep at Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 84/100
W
 Sep 12 Sep at Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 40/100
D
 18 Sep vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 51/100
W
 10 Oct vs Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100
D
 Oct 18 Oct at Lorient: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 31/100
L
 25 Oct vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 49/100 1 Nov at Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 31/100 Nov 8 Nov at Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 24/100 21 Nov vs Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 29 Nov at Lyon: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 5 Dec vs Angers: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100 Dec 12 Dec at Rennes: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 46/100 2 Jan vs Nice: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 25/100 Jan 16 Jan vs Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 23 Jan at Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 12/100 30 Jan vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 84/100 6 Feb at Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 27/100 Feb 13 Feb at Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 35/100 20 Feb vs Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 24/100 27 Feb at Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 31/100 6 Mar vs Lyon: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 54/100 Mar 13 Mar at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100 20 Mar vs LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100 3 Apr at Angers: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 19/100 Apr 10 Apr vs Rennes: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 17 Apr vs Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 24 Apr at Lille: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 49/100 1 May vs Lorient: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 31/100 May 8 May at Lens: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 51/100 16 May vs Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 31/100 22 May at Nice: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 25/100 29 May vs Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest6.9 daysbefore LIL
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d1,895 kmaway trips
Schedule load5%Low
vs LilleSun 25 Oct, 14:00 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 56 44%win26%draw30%loss Low load · 6.9 d rest at Paris FCSun 1 Nov, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 36%win25%draw39%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest at Le MansSun 8 Nov, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 26 52%win24%draw24%loss Low load · 7 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Lille, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−8%

Baseline 3.33 → Forecast 3.05 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+3%

Baseline 2.72 → Forecast 2.80 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Lille25 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 −17% +2% 1.85 → 1.53
at Paris FC1 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +3% +3% 1.48 → 1.52
at Le Mans8 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Monaco

Baseline: average Ligue 1 opponent

Attack Downlift −17% Expected goals Baseline1.85Forecast1.53
Conceding Risk +2% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.21Forecast1.23
Clean Sheet −0.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline29.9%Forecast29.1%