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Primeira Liga · 16 signals · 9 clubs in this view
BenficaGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score70/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.7
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.26
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 84.0
- Recency
- 43.5
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.77. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Sporting CPGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score56/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.5
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.67
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 46.6
- Recency
- 40.7
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.71; xG against 1.04. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
EstrelaGoals at both endsInsight Score53/100
Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.8
- Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.9
- Both teams scoredLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 75%
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.66
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 44.0
- Recency
- 38.1
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Both teams scored — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.09; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
AlvercaA winning run, a limited chance advantageInsight Score48/100
Consecutive wins stand out, while the separate observed xG profile shows little or no positive balance. That contrast invites a closer look, without predicting when the run will end.
- Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.05
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.6
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 39.4
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
Attack16 signals · 9 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Benfica
Scoring in a row
10+
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak85
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 87.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | AarhusH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | AarhusA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | EstorilH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | MaritimoA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | MoreirenseA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GIL VicenteH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | AC MilanA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | FC PortoA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | GuimaraesH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | CelticH | 4–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP
Scoring in a row
10+
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak83
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 81.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | EstrelaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | GuimaraesH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | AlvercaH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Rio AveA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NacionalH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | GalatasarayH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | FamalicaoA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AroucaH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | SC BragaA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | LensA | 2–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Benfica
Goals scored per match
2.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores69
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 54.9
- Recency
- 87.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | AarhusH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-27 | AarhusA | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-31 | EstorilH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | MaritimoA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-09 | MoreirenseA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | GIL VicenteH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-16 | AC MilanA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | FC PortoA | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-11 | GuimaraesH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | CelticH | 4–1W |
Sporting CP
Goals scored per match
2.5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores65
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 46.6
- Recency
- 81.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | EstrelaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-14 | GuimaraesH | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-22 | AlvercaH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-28 | Rio AveA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | NacionalH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-09 | GalatasarayH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-13 | FamalicaoA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-19 | AroucaH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-09 | SC BragaA | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | LensA | 2–0W |
FC Porto
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores61
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.2
- Recency
- 84.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | AlvercaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-15 | Rio AveA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | AroucaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | Academico ViseuA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-04 | MoreirenseH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-08 | Manchester CityH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | Casa PiaA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | BenficaH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | MaritimoA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-14 | Real BetisA | 2–3L |
Alverca
Scoring in a row
7
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak66
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 64.6
- Recency
- 78.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FC PortoA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | EstrelaH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | Santa ClaraH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | SC BragaH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NacionalA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Rio AveH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | FamalicaoA | 4–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Estrela
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 76.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Sporting CPH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | AlvercaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | NacionalA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FamalicaoH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | SC BragaH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | Rio AveA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Academico ViseuH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | AroucaA | 0–1L | No |
Maritimo
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 73.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Maritimo’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Casa PiaH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-16 | FamalicaoA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Academico ViseuH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | AroucaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | BenficaH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-14 | MoreirenseA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | GIL VicenteA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FC PortoH | 1–2L | Yes |
Alverca
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 78.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FC PortoA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | EstrelaH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | Santa ClaraH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | SC BragaH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NacionalA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Rio AveH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-10-12 | FamalicaoA | 4–1W | Yes |
Sporting CP
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores61
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 37.2
- Recency
- 81.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | EstrelaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | GuimaraesH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | AlvercaH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Rio AveA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | NacionalH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | GalatasarayH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | FamalicaoA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AroucaH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | SC BragaA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | LensA | 2–0W | No |
SC Braga
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.5
- Recency
- 99.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SC Braga’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | MoreirenseA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | GuimaraesH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | AlvercaA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | EstrelaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | EstorilH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | Santa ClaraA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-10-09 | Sporting CPH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | GIL VicenteH | 1–2L | Yes |
Famalicao
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.5
- Recency
- 78.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Famalicao’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | EstorilA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | MaritimoH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | Santa ClaraA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | GIL VicenteH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | EstrelaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Sporting CPH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | NacionalA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-10-12 | AlvercaH | 1–4L | Yes |
Estrela
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.3
- Recency
- 76.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Sporting CPH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-15 | AlvercaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-30 | NacionalA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-05 | FamalicaoH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-10 | SC BragaH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-14 | Rio AveA | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-20 | Academico ViseuH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | AroucaA | 0–1L |
Benfica
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.2
- Recency
- 87.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | AarhusH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | AarhusA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | EstorilH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | MaritimoA | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | MoreirenseA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-13 | GIL VicenteH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | AC MilanA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | FC PortoA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | GuimaraesH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | CelticH | 4–1W | Yes |
Alverca
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.6
- Recency
- 78.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FC PortoA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-15 | EstrelaH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-22 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | Santa ClaraH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-05 | SC BragaH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | NacionalA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | Rio AveH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-12 | FamalicaoA | 4–1W |
Santa Clara
Goals scored per match
1.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores44
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.8
- Recency
- 73.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | NacionalH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-15 | Academico ViseuA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | FamalicaoH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | AlvercaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-06 | Rio AveH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | AroucaA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | SC BragaH | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-10 | Casa PiaA | 1–0W |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →