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Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Bundesliga · 4 signals · 1 clubs in this view

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No supported compound story in this view yet. Individual signals remain available below.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals4 signals · 1 clubs

Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

1899 Hoffenheim Points below expected −6.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast68

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 6; xPts 12.2. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
71.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
6.0
xPts
12.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim Both teams scored 88% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores66

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-291.FC KölnA2–3LYes
2026-09-05Borussia DortmundH2–3LYes
2026-09-12VfB StuttgartH2–1WYes
2026-09-17OFIA0–2LNo
2026-09-20SC Paderborn 07A1–3LYes
2026-10-10Hamburger SVH2–3LYes
2026-10-15BesiktasH2–3LYes
2026-10-18Borussia MönchengladbachA2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-291.FC KölnA2–3L
2026-09-05Borussia DortmundH2–3L
2026-09-12VfB StuttgartH2–1W
2026-09-17OFIA0–2L
2026-09-20SC Paderborn 07A1–3L
2026-10-10Hamburger SVH2–3L
2026-10-15BesiktasH2–3L
2026-10-18Borussia MönchengladbachA2–1W
Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-291.FC KölnA2–3L
2026-09-05Borussia DortmundH2–3L
2026-09-12VfB StuttgartH2–1W
2026-09-17OFIA0–2L
2026-09-20SC Paderborn 07A1–3L
2026-10-10Hamburger SVH2–3L
2026-10-15BesiktasH2–3L
2026-10-18Borussia MönchengladbachA2–1W
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–4 of 4 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

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