Bundesliga Gameweek 3 Sat, Sep 12 2026 · 14:30 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.76 – 2.16
  • A. Hložek 13’, 67’
  • 48’ M. Mittelstädt
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

1899 Hoffenheim beat VfB Stuttgart

1899 Hoffenheim won 2–1 through two Hložek goals. VfB Stuttgart replied through a Mittelstädt goal. 1899 Hoffenheim finished with the higher xG (2.76 vs 2.16). On the chances created, VfB Stuttgart deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1899 Hoffenheim ✓39%
Draw23%
VfB Stuttgart38%

Model vs reality

1899 Hoffenheim goals
2
Model 1.63 · xG 2.76
VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 1.61 · xG 2.16
Total goals
3
Model 3.24 · xG 4.92
Score 2–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 63%
Both scored
Yes
Model 64%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. BredlowVfB Stuttgart
8.9
  • RefereeSven Jablonski
  • CoachesC. Ilzer · S. Hoeneb
  • VenuePreZero Arena
  • Table before kick-off1899 Hoffenheim 16th · VfB Stuttgart 10th
  • Weather at kick-off25°C · Overcast · wind 11 km/h

Timeline

  1. A. Hložek 1–0Assist B. Conté
    13’
  2. ⇄ Yanik SpaltFor A. Stiller
    34’
  3. VAR A. HložekPenalty cancelled
    45+4’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. M. Mittelstädt 1–1
    48’
  6. ⇄ P. WimmerFor B. Conté
    55’
  7. W. BurgerYellow card · Argument
    63’
  8. ⇄ B. El KhannoussFor C. Führich
    65’
  9. ⇄ D. UndavFor E. Demirović
    65’
  10. A. Hložek 2–1Assist A. Daghim
    67’
  11. ⇄ K. MachidaFor M. Rots
    69’
  12. ⇄ V. GendreyFor V. Coufal
    69’
  13. ⇄ J. LewelingFor J. Vagnoman
    81’
  14. ⇄ L. SauerFor R. Hendriks
    81’
  15. ⇄ A. KramarićFor A. Hložek
    82’
  16. ⇄ F. AsllaniFor T. Lemperle
    83’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

1899 Hoffenheim20 shots · 12 in box, 8 outside
VfB Stuttgart16 shots · 13 in box, 3 outside
1899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart
43% Possession 57%
2.76 Expected goals (xG) 2.16
1.72 Expected points (xPts) 1.10
20 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 7
5 Blocked shots 4
12 Shots inside the box 13
8 Shots outside the box 3
381 Passes 510
73% Pass accuracy 77%
5 Corners 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
15 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.22 Team rating 7.03

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1

17.9 O. Baumann(G)
397.2 M. Rots ↓69’ 217.3 A. Hajdari 57.5 O. Kabak 346.9 V. Coufal ↓69’
187.0 W. Burger 76.9 L. Avdullahu
147.0 A. Daghim A 108.5 A. Hložek ↓82’ 207.0 B. Conté A↓55’
196.2 T. Lemperle ↓83’
  • 1O. Baumann (G)7.9
  • 39M. Rots↓69’7.2
  • 21A. Hajdari7.3
  • 5O. Kabak7.5
  • 34V. Coufal↓69’6.9
  • 18W. Burger7.0
  • 7L. Avdullahu6.9
  • 14A. DaghimA7.0
  • 10A. Hložek↓82’8.5
  • 20B. ContéA↓55’7.0
  • 19T. Lemperle↓83’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 28K. Machida↑69’7.0
  • 15V. Gendrey↑69’7.5
  • 8P. Wimmer↑55’7.2
  • 27A. Kramarić↑82’6.7
  • 11F. Asllani↑83’6.9

Unused: L. Philipp, R. Hranáč, N. De Cat, M. Moerstedt

Coach: C. Ilzer

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1

18.9★ F. Bredlow(G)
36.9 R. Hendriks ↓81’ 246.7 J. Chabot 296.7 Finn Jeltsch
78.6 M. Mittelstädt 66.2 A. Stiller ↓34’ 216.2 G. Prömel 47.2 J. Vagnoman ↓81’
106.9 C. Führich ↓65’ 96.0 E. Demirović ↓65’
176.7 D. Pejčinović
  • 1F. Bredlow (G) ★8.9
  • 3R. Hendriks↓81’6.9
  • 24J. Chabot6.7
  • 29Finn Jeltsch6.7
  • 7M. Mittelstädt8.6
  • 6A. Stiller↓34’6.2
  • 21G. Prömel6.2
  • 4J. Vagnoman↓81’7.2
  • 10C. Führich↓65’6.9
  • 9E. Demirović↓65’6.0
  • 17D. Pejčinović6.7

Substitutes used

  • 47Yanik Spalt↑34’6.9
  • 11B. El Khannouss↑65’7.0
  • 18J. Leweling↑81’6.5
  • 44L. Sauer↑81’6.5
  • 26D. Undav↑65’6.0

Unused: M. Funk, L. Stergiou, Maximilian Herwerth, A. Karazor

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Player stats

Top rated
F. BredlowVfB Stuttgart8.9
2nd
M. MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart8.6
3rd
A. Hložek1899 Hoffenheim8.5

1899 Hoffenheim

VfB Stuttgart

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.