Insights.
Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.
Explore insights
Explore competitions →League insights
Eredivisie · 95 signals · 18 clubs in this view
FeyenoordWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score80/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 5
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +5.9
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3.4
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.33
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 88.7
- Recency
- 62.4
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 66.4
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 26; xPts 20.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.42; xG against 1.09. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −3.9
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.16
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.6
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 77.3
- Recency
- 62.4
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 66.4
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Fortuna SittardPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score72/100
Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.
- Points minus expected9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +6.2
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −1.51
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 48.4
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 15; xPts 8.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.84; xG against 2.35. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
NEC NijmegenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score69/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −6.2
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.55
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.1
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 64.5
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 66.4
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 11; xPts 17.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.94; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
AjaxGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score66/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3.0
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.07
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 71.3
- Recency
- 48.4
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 65.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals95 signals · 18 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
GO Ahead Eagles
Both teams scored
100%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores69
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 54.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from GO Ahead Eagles’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Willem IIH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | ADO Den HaagH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | AZ AlkmaarA | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | UtrechtA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | GroningenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Sparta RotterdamH | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–4L | Yes |
Feyenoord
Scoring in a row
10+
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak86
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Willem II
Goals conceded away per match
3.2
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores56
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.9
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Willem II’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-11 | AZ AlkmaarA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-15 | AjaxA | 1–5L |
| 2026-10-11 | UtrechtA | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-17 | Sparta RotterdamA | 2–3L |
Fortuna Sittard
xG difference per match
−1.51
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG51
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.84; xG against 2.35. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.84
- xG against
- 2.35
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Willem II
Goals conceded per match
2.9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores61
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.0
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Willem II’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–4L |
| 2026-08-15 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–4L |
| 2026-08-30 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | ExcelsiorH | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-11 | AZ AlkmaarA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-15 | AjaxA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-19 | Fortuna SittardH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-11 | UtrechtA | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-17 | Sparta RotterdamA | 2–3L |
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals conceded away per match
3.0
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores55
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.6
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from GO Ahead Eagles’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-29 | AZ AlkmaarA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-08 | UtrechtA | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–4L |
Feyenoord
Goals scored per match
3.4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores70
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 52.3
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W |
Utrecht
Goals conceded per match
2.9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.0
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Utrecht’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | GroningenA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-15 | AZ AlkmaarH | 1–4L |
| 2026-08-22 | Sparta RotterdamA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-30 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–6L |
| 2026-09-08 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-13 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | FeyenoordA | 0–5L |
| 2026-10-11 | Willem IIH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | TwenteA | 2–1W |
Feyenoord
xG difference per match
+1.33
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG47
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.42; xG against 1.09. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 88.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.42
- xG against
- 1.09
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord
Wins in a row
5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak69
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
NEC Nijmegen
Points below expected
−6.2
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast64
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 17.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 59.1
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 11.0
- xPts
- 17.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Ajax
Goals scored per match
3.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores63
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 36.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ajax’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | PEC ZwolleA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-16 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-30 | TelstarA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | Fortuna SittardA | 5–1W |
| 2026-09-15 | Willem IIH | 5–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-10 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | GroningenA | 5–2W |
ADO Den Haag
xG difference per match
−1.27
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG46
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.93; xG against 2.2. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 84.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.93
- xG against
- 2.20
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Groningen
Both teams scored
89%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Groningen’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | UtrechtH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | ADO Den HaagA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | TwenteH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-10-11 | ExcelsiorA | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AjaxH | 2–5L | Yes |
Utrecht
Both teams scored
89%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Utrecht’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | GroningenA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | AZ AlkmaarH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Sparta RotterdamA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–6L | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | FeyenoordA | 0–5L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | Willem IIH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | TwenteA | 2–1W | Yes |
Utrecht
Goals conceded away per match
2.4
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores49
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.7
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Utrecht’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | GroningenA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-22 | Sparta RotterdamA | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-13 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | FeyenoordA | 0–5L |
| 2026-10-18 | TwenteA | 2–1W |
Fortuna Sittard
Points above expected
+6.2
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast65
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 15; xPts 8.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 66.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 15.0
- xPts
- 8.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Willem II
Losses in a row
4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak63
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 38.6
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Willem II’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | ExcelsiorH | 0–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | AZ AlkmaarA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-15 | AjaxA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Fortuna SittardH | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | UtrechtA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Sparta RotterdamA | 2–3L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord
Points above expected
+5.9
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast62
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 26; xPts 20.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 53.6
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 59.1
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 26.0
- xPts
- 20.1
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
PEC Zwolle
Goals conceded per match
2.4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from PEC Zwolle’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | AjaxH | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-16 | TwenteA | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-22 | HeerenveenA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-04 | Sparta RotterdamA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-13 | FeyenoordH | 0–7L |
| 2026-09-18 | GroningenA | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-11 | CambuurH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-18 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 4–1W |
PSV Eindhoven
xG difference per match
+1.16
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG43
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 77.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.27
- xG against
- 1.11
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
ADO Den Haag
Goals conceded away per match
2.2
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores42
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.4
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from ADO Den Haag’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | AZ AlkmaarA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-23 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-30 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | TwenteA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | TelstarA | 2–2D |
Sparta Rotterdam
Goals conceded per match
2.4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.9
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FeyenoordH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-14 | TelstarA | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-22 | UtrechtH | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-29 | ExcelsiorA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-04 | PEC ZwolleH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-13 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-19 | HeerenveenH | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-10 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-17 | Willem IIH | 3–2W |
NEC Nijmegen
Goals conceded away per match
2.0
Last 7 recorded away matches
Scores45
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 7 recorded away matches · 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.5
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 87.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Olympiakos PiraeusA | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-15 | Willem IIA | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-25 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | PEC ZwolleA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | CambuurA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | JuventusA | 0–5L |
| 2026-10-10 | AjaxA | 1–1D |
PSV Eindhoven
Goals scored per match
2.6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 24.1
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-23 | GroningenH | 5–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | UtrechtA | 6–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | AjaxA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-10 | Shakhtar DonetskH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-13 | Sparta RotterdamH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | TwenteA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-09 | HeerenveenH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-13 | RB LeipzigA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-17 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–2L |
Willem II
xG difference per match
−0.97
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG39
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 2.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 64.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.28
- xG against
- 2.25
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Ajax
Scoring in a row
9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak81
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 86.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ajax’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | PEC ZwolleA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | TelstarA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Fortuna SittardA | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | Willem IIH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | GroningenA | 5–2W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Willem II
Points below expected
−5.3
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast61
Willem II
−5.3
Points below expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points2.0xPts7.3
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 2; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 56.8
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 2.0
- xPts
- 7.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Groningen
Scoring in a row
9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak81
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 86.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Groningen’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | UtrechtH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | ADO Den HaagA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | TwenteH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | ExcelsiorA | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AjaxH | 2–5L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 6 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.5
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 75.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Sparta RotterdamA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W |
Feyenoord
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak69
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
GO Ahead Eagles
Scoring in a row
9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak81
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 86.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from GO Ahead Eagles’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Willem IIH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | ADO Den HaagH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | AZ AlkmaarA | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | UtrechtA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | GroningenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Sparta RotterdamH | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–4L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Ajax
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 48.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ajax’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | PEC ZwolleA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | TelstarA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Fortuna SittardA | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | Willem IIH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | GroningenA | 5–2W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
PSV Eindhoven
Both teams scored
80%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.8
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | GroningenH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | UtrechtA | 6–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | AjaxA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | Shakhtar DonetskH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Sparta RotterdamH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | TwenteA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | HeerenveenH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | RB LeipzigA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–2L | Yes |
Cambuur
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 48.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cambuur’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | ExcelsiorH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | FeyenoordH | 2–5L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | TwenteH | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | TelstarA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–2D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Twente
Scoring in a row
8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak80
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 80.0
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Twente’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-09 | HeerenveenA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-16 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | CambuurA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | GroningenA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | TelstarH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | PSV EindhovenH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | UtrechtH | 1–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Ajax
xG difference per match
+1.07
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG41
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 71.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.03
- xG against
- 0.96
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Cambuur
xG difference per match
−0.84
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG36
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.19; xG against 2.03. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 56.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.19
- xG against
- 2.03
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from GO Ahead Eagles’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Willem IIH | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-23 | ADO Den HaagH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-29 | AZ AlkmaarA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-08 | UtrechtA | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-12 | GroningenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | Sparta RotterdamH | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-18 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–4L |
Groningen
Goals scored per match
2.4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Groningen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | UtrechtH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | ADO Den HaagA | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-23 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-28 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-06 | TwenteH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-18 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | ExcelsiorA | 5–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | AjaxH | 2–5L |
Cambuur
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cambuur’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | ExcelsiorH | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-15 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-23 | FeyenoordH | 2–5L |
| 2026-08-30 | TwenteH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-06 | TelstarA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-11 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–2D |
Cambuur
Scoring in a row
8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak77
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 77.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cambuur’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | ExcelsiorH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | FeyenoordH | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | TwenteH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | TelstarA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–2D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
NEC Nijmegen
Goals conceded per match
2.2
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | PEC ZwolleA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | FeyenoordH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-08 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | CambuurA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | JuventusA | 0–5L |
| 2026-09-20 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | AjaxA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Levski SofiaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–2D |
ADO Den Haag
Goals conceded per match
2.2
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 10.3
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from ADO Den Haag’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | AZ AlkmaarA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-16 | GroningenH | 1–4L |
| 2026-08-23 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-30 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-06 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | TwenteA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | CambuurH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-11 | TelstarA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | PSV EindhovenH | 2–1W |
Twente
xG difference per match
+0.89
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG37
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.63; xG against 0.74. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 59.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.63
- xG against
- 0.74
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Ajax
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ajax’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | PEC ZwolleA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-16 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | TelstarA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Fortuna SittardA | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | Willem IIH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | GroningenA | 5–2W | Yes |
Telstar
Points below expected
−4.3
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 6; xPts 10.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 46.1
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 6.0
- xPts
- 10.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Willem II
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Willem II’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | ExcelsiorH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-11 | AZ AlkmaarA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | AjaxA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Fortuna SittardH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | UtrechtA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Sparta RotterdamA | 2–3L | Yes |
AZ Alkmaar
xG difference per match
+0.80
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.2; xG against 1.4. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 53.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.20
- xG against
- 1.40
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | PSV EindhovenA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | CambuurH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | AZ AlkmaarH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-28 | GroningenA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | ADO Den HaagA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AjaxH | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Willem IIA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | TwenteH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D | Yes |
Sparta Rotterdam
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FeyenoordH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-14 | TelstarA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | UtrechtH | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | ExcelsiorA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | PEC ZwolleH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | HeerenveenH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Willem IIH | 3–2W | Yes |
PSV Eindhoven
Points below expected
−3.9
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 35.5
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 59.1
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 20.0
- xPts
- 23.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 10.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from GO Ahead Eagles’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Willem IIH | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-23 | ADO Den HaagH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-29 | AZ AlkmaarA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-08 | UtrechtA | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-12 | GroningenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | Sparta RotterdamH | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-18 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–4L |
Groningen
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 6.5
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Groningen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | UtrechtH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | ADO Den HaagA | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-23 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-28 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-06 | TwenteH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-18 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | ExcelsiorA | 5–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | AjaxH | 2–5L |
ADO Den Haag
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from ADO Den Haag’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | AZ AlkmaarA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-16 | GroningenH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | TwenteA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | CambuurH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | TelstarA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | PSV EindhovenH | 2–1W | Yes |
Fortuna Sittard
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores48
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.5
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | PSV EindhovenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-28 | GroningenA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | ADO Den HaagA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-19 | Willem IIA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D |
GO Ahead Eagles
xG difference per match
−0.71
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.54; xG against 2.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 47.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.54
- xG against
- 2.25
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Heerenveen
Clean sheets
4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores69
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 57.1
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Heerenveen’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | TwenteH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | AjaxA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-22 | PEC ZwolleH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Willem IIA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-06 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | TelstarH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Sparta RotterdamA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | PSV EindhovenA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-16 | ExcelsiorH | 4–0W | Yes |
Excelsior
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores46
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.5
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Excelsior’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | CambuurA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | Willem IIA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-19 | AjaxA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-16 | HeerenveenA | 0–4L |
PEC Zwolle
xG difference per match
−0.70
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG32
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.2; xG against 1.9. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 46.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.20
- xG against
- 1.90
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard
Scoring in a row
6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak70
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 57.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | PSV EindhovenA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | CambuurH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | AZ AlkmaarH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-28 | GroningenA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | ADO Den HaagA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AjaxH | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Willem IIA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | TwenteH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
PSV Eindhoven
Goals conceded away per match
1.5
Last 6 recorded away matches
Scores51
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.1
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 75.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | UtrechtA | 6–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | AjaxA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | TwenteA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-13 | RB LeipzigA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-17 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–2L |
Feyenoord
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 3.2
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W | Yes |
NEC Nijmegen
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 3.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | PEC ZwolleA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FeyenoordH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | CambuurA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-17 | JuventusA | 0–5L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AjaxA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Levski SofiaH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–2D | Yes |
AZ Alkmaar
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | UtrechtA | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-22 | Fortuna SittardA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 5–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | HeerenveenA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-11 | Willem IIH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-16 | SunderlandA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-20 | TelstarH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | FeyenoordA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | Hapoel Beer ShevaH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | CambuurA | 2–2D |
Twente
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 3.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Twente’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-09 | HeerenveenA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-16 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | CambuurA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | GroningenA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | TelstarH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | PSV EindhovenH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | UtrechtH | 1–2L | Yes |
Excelsior
Goals conceded per match
2.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.7
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Excelsior’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | CambuurA | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-15 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | Sparta RotterdamH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | Willem IIA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-13 | UtrechtH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | AjaxA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-11 | GroningenH | 1–5L |
| 2026-10-16 | HeerenveenA | 0–4L |
Telstar
Goals conceded per match
2.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.7
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Telstar’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-14 | Sparta RotterdamH | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-30 | AjaxH | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-06 | CambuurH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-09 | TwenteA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-13 | HeerenveenA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-20 | AZ AlkmaarA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-11 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | FeyenoordH | 3–4L |
NEC Nijmegen
xG difference per match
+0.55
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG29
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.94; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 36.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.94
- xG against
- 1.39
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
AZ Alkmaar
Points above expected
+2.4
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 23; xPts 20.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 21.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 59.1
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 23.0
- xPts
- 20.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Groningen
xG difference per match
−0.53
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG28
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.62; xG against 2.15. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 35.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.62
- xG against
- 2.15
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Twente
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 0.7
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Twente’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-09 | HeerenveenA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-16 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | CambuurA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-06 | GroningenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-09 | TelstarH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | PSV EindhovenH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-10 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | UtrechtH | 1–2L |
Groningen
Points above expected
+1.8
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 14; xPts 12.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 19.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 14.0
- xPts
- 12.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Telstar
xG difference per match
−0.51
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG28
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.65; xG against 2.16. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 34.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.65
- xG against
- 2.16
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Sparta Rotterdam
xG difference per match
+0.34
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG24
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.05; xG against 1.71. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 22.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.05
- xG against
- 1.71
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
PEC Zwolle
Points below expected
−1.6
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast48
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 7; xPts 8.6. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 17.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 7.0
- xPts
- 8.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Sparta Rotterdam
Points below expected
−1.6
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast47
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.6. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 17.1
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 9.0
- xPts
- 10.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard
Goals conceded per match
1.9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | PSV EindhovenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-15 | CambuurH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-22 | AZ AlkmaarH | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-28 | GroningenA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | ADO Den HaagA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | AjaxH | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-19 | Willem IIA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | TwenteH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D |
Excelsior
Both teams scored
67%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.5
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Excelsior’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | CambuurA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-08-15 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | Sparta RotterdamH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Willem IIA | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-08 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | UtrechtH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AjaxA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | GroningenH | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-10-16 | HeerenveenA | 0–4L | No |
Cambuur
Both teams scored
67%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.5
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cambuur’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | ExcelsiorH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | FeyenoordH | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | TwenteH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | TelstarA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-10-18 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–2D | Yes |
Ajax
Points above expected
+1.3
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast47
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 18; xPts 16.7. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 13.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 18.0
- xPts
- 16.7
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
GO Ahead Eagles
Points below expected
−1.4
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast47
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.4. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 15.0
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 11.0
- xPts
- 12.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
ADO Den Haag
Points below expected
−1.4
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast47
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 6; xPts 7.4. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 15.0
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 6.0
- xPts
- 7.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Excelsior
xG difference per match
−0.42
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG26
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.47; xG against 1.89. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 28.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.47
- xG against
- 1.89
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 30.4
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W | No |
Fortuna Sittard
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | PSV EindhovenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-15 | CambuurH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-22 | AZ AlkmaarH | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-28 | GroningenA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | ADO Den HaagA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | AjaxH | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-19 | Willem IIA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | TwenteH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D |
Utrecht
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Utrecht’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | GroningenA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-15 | AZ AlkmaarH | 1–4L |
| 2026-08-22 | Sparta RotterdamA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-30 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–6L |
| 2026-09-08 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-13 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | FeyenoordA | 0–5L |
| 2026-10-11 | Willem IIH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | TwenteA | 2–1W |
Sparta Rotterdam
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.8
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FeyenoordH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-14 | TelstarA | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-22 | UtrechtH | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-29 | ExcelsiorA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-04 | PEC ZwolleH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-13 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-19 | HeerenveenH | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-10 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-17 | Willem IIH | 3–2W |
Cambuur
Points below expected
−1.2
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast47
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 12.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 9.0
- xPts
- 10.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Excelsior
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.8
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Excelsior’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | CambuurA | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-15 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | Sparta RotterdamH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | Willem IIA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-13 | UtrechtH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | AjaxA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-11 | GroningenH | 1–5L |
| 2026-10-16 | HeerenveenA | 0–4L |
Heerenveen
xG difference per match
−0.31
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG23
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.27; xG against 1.58. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 20.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.27
- xG against
- 1.58
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord
Goals conceded per match
1.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.8
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W |
AZ Alkmaar
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | UtrechtA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Fortuna SittardA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-29 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | HeerenveenA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Willem IIH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | SunderlandA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | TelstarH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | FeyenoordA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Hapoel Beer ShevaH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | CambuurA | 2–2D | Yes |
Utrecht
xG difference per match
−0.27
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG22
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.38; xG against 1.65. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 18.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.38
- xG against
- 1.65
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Heerenveen
Goals scored per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.6
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Heerenveen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | TwenteH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-16 | AjaxA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-22 | PEC ZwolleH | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | Willem IIA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-06 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | TelstarH | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-19 | Sparta RotterdamA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-09 | PSV EindhovenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-16 | ExcelsiorH | 4–0W |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →