Serie A Gameweek 7 Sun, Oct 18 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
3–2 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 2.38 – 1.57
  • Gonçalo Ramos 24’ (P)
  • A. Rabiot 43’
  • Mario Gila 57’
  • 66’ G. Gaetano
  • 81’ N. Krstović
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan beat Atalanta

AC Milan entered as clear favourites and won 3–2 through goals from Ramos, Rabiot and Gila. Atalanta replied through goals from Gaetano and Krstović. AC Milan finished with the higher xG (2.38 vs 1.57). On the chances created, Atalanta deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AC Milan ✓62%
Draw21%
Atalanta16%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
3
Model 2.08 · xG 2.38
Atalanta goals
2
Model 0.98 · xG 1.57
Total goals
5
Model 3.07 · xG 3.95
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. RabiotAC Milan · 1 goal · 1 assist
9.0
  • RefereeDaniele Chiffi
  • CoachesRuben Amorim · M. Sarri
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 7th · Atalanta 10th
  • Weather at kick-off17°C · Light rain · wind 6 km/h · 0.7 mm rain

Timeline

  1. VAR C. PulišićGoal cancelled
    13’
  2. ⇄ Relja ObrićFor S. Kolašinac
    20’
  3. VAR Y. MusahPenalty confirmed
    22’
  4. Gonçalo Ramos (pen) 1–0
    24’
  5. A. RabiotYellow card · Dissent
    41’
  6. A. Rabiot 2–0Assist Diego Moreira
    43’
  7. Half time · 2–0
  8. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor S. Chukwueze
    53’
  9. VAR A. RabiotPenalty confirmed
    55’
  10. ✕ Gonçalo RamosMissed penalty
    57’
  11. Mario Gila 3–0Assist A. Rabiot
    57’
  12. ⇄ G. GaetanoFor M. Pašalić
    59’
  13. ⇄ N. ZalewskiFor J. Rowe
    59’
  14. G. Gaetano 3–1Assist N. Zalewski
    66’
  15. ÉdersonYellow card · Foul
    68’
  16. ⇄ G. ScamaccaFor L. Samardžić
    75’
  17. ⇄ D. ZappacostaFor L. Bernasconi
    75’
  18. ⇄ A. JashariFor C. Pulišić
    75’
  19. ⇄ P. EstupiñánFor Y. Musah
    75’
  20. ⇄ R. Loftus-CheekFor L. Modrić
    75’
  21. Relja ObrićYellow card · Foul
    78’
  22. N. Krstović 3–2Assist R. Bellanova
    81’
  23. ⇄ O. TomoriFor Mario Gila
    84’
  24. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

AC Milan11 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
Atalanta12 shots · 6 in box, 6 outside
AC MilanAtalanta
56% Possession 44%
2.38 Expected goals (xG) 1.57
1.86 Expected points (xPts) 0.94
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 6
599 Passes 463
91% Pass accuracy 91%
2 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.97 Team rating 6.44

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-4-3

166.1 M. Maignan(G)
316.8 S. Pavlović 56.7 K. De Winter 347.9 Mario Gila ↓84’
227.3 Diego Moreira A 146.8 L. Modrić ↓75’ 806.7 Y. Musah ↓75’ 216.1 S. Chukwueze ↓53’
116.3 C. Pulišić ↓75’ 97.0 Gonçalo Ramos 129.0★ A. Rabiot A
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.1
  • 31S. Pavlović6.8
  • 5K. De Winter6.7
  • 34Mario Gila↓84’7.9
  • 22Diego MoreiraA7.3
  • 14L. Modrić↓75’6.8
  • 80Y. Musah↓75’6.7
  • 21S. Chukwueze↓53’6.1
  • 11C. Pulišić↓75’6.3
  • 9Gonçalo Ramos7.0
  • 12A. Rabiot ★A9.0

Substitutes used

  • 23O. Tomori↑84’6.4
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↑75’6.0
  • 30A. Jashari↑75’6.3
  • 20O. Hutchinson↑53’6.9
  • 2P. Estupiñán↑75’6.4

Unused: Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov, L. Torriani, F. Terracciano, S. Bocoum, C. Comotto, A. Cissè, F. Camarda, Leo Paul Bouyer, D. Bartesaghi

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Atalanta 4-3-3

295.9 M. Carnesecchi(G)
476.6 L. Bernasconi ↓75’ 235.8 S. Kolašinac ↓20’ 316.2 T. Kristensen 167.0 R. Bellanova A
86.4 M. Pašalić ↓59’ 136.3 Éderson 106.3 L. Samardžić ↓75’
116.8 J. Rowe ↓59’ 907.6 N. Krstović 176.2 C. De Ketelaere
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)5.9
  • 47L. Bernasconi↓75’6.6
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓20’5.8
  • 31T. Kristensen6.2
  • 16R. BellanovaA7.0
  • 8M. Pašalić↓59’6.4
  • 13Éderson6.3
  • 10L. Samardžić↓75’6.3
  • 11J. Rowe↓59’6.8
  • 90N. Krstović7.6
  • 17C. De Ketelaere6.2

Substitutes used

  • 70G. Gaetano↑59’7.2
  • 77D. Zappacosta↑75’5.9
  • 40Relja Obrić↑20’5.8
  • 9G. Scamacca↑75’6.5
  • 59N. ZalewskiA↑59’6.0

Unused: Javison Idele, M. Plaia, M. Sonzogni, M. Sportiello

Coach: M. Sarri

Player stats

Top rated
A. RabiotAC Milan9.0
2nd
Mario GilaAC Milan7.9
3rd
N. KrstovićAtalanta7.6

AC Milan

Atalanta

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.