Serie A Gameweek 21 Sun, Jan 18 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
AC Milan
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.61 – 0.16
Lecce
  • N. Füllkrug 76’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Füllkrug goal decides it for AC Milan

AC Milan entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Füllkrug goal. AC Milan finished with the higher xG (2.61 vs 0.16).

AC Milan ✓75%
Draw17%
Lecce8%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
1
Model 2.36 · xG 2.61
Lecce goals
0
Model 0.65 · xG 0.16
Total goals
1
Model 3.01 · xG 2.77
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 2–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
No
Model 44%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. RicciAC Milan
7.9
  • RefereeLuca Zufferli
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 2nd · Lecce 18th

Timeline

  1. K. De WinterYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    21’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ L. BandaFor R. Sottil
    54’
  4. ⇄ Tete MorenteFor N. Štulić
    69’
  5. ⇄ N. FüllkrugFor C. Pulišić
    73’
  6. ⇄ R. Loftus-CheekFor S. Ricci
    73’
  7. N. Füllkrug 1–0Assist A. Saelemaekers
    76’
  8. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor A. Saelemaekers
    80’
  9. Y. RamadaniYellow card · Foul
    84’
  10. ⇄ K. N’DriFor A. Gallo
    84’
  11. ⇄ Y. MalehFor Y. Ramadani
    85’
  12. ⇄ C. NkunkuFor Rafael Leão
    87’
  13. ⇄ L. ModrićFor A. Jashari
    87’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

AC Milan20 shots · 16 in box, 4 outside
Lecce2 shots · 2 in box
AC MilanLecce
69% Possession 31%
2.61 Expected goals (xG) 0.16
2.78 Expected points (xPts) 0.13
20 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 0
8 Shots off target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
16 Shots inside the box 2
4 Shots outside the box 0
688 Passes 313
92% Pass accuracy 75%
10 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Fouls 11
6 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.6 M. Maignan(G)
57.0 K. De Winter 467.2 M. Gabbia 237.0 O. Tomori
26.9 P. Estupiñán 127.6 A. Rabiot 307.6 A. Jashari ↓87’ 47.9★ S. Ricci ↓73’ 567.6 A. Saelemaekers A↓80’
106.9 Rafael Leão ↓87’ 116.2 C. Pulišić ↓73’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.6
  • 5K. De Winter7.0
  • 46M. Gabbia7.2
  • 23O. Tomori7.0
  • 2P. Estupiñán6.9
  • 12A. Rabiot7.6
  • 30A. Jashari↓87’7.6
  • 4S. Ricci ★↓73’7.9
  • 56A. SaelemaekersA↓80’7.6
  • 10Rafael Leão↓87’6.9
  • 11C. Pulišić↓73’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↑73’6.2
  • 9N. Füllkrug↑73’7.9
  • 24Z. Athekame↑80’6.7
  • 14L. Modrić↑87’
  • 18C. Nkunku↑87’

Unused: L. Torriani, P. Terracciano, D. Bartesaghi, S. Pavlović, D. Odogu, Y. Fofana

Lecce 4-3-3

307.2 W. Falcone(G)
256.6 A. Gallo ↓84’ 36.6 C. Ndaba 446.9 Tiago Gabriel 57.2 J. Siebert
296.7 L. Coulibaly 206.7 Y. Ramadani ↓85’ 166.3 O. Gandelman
236.9 R. Sottil ↓54’ 96.2 N. Štulić ↓69’ 506.9 S. Pierotti
  • 30W. Falcone (G)7.2
  • 25A. Gallo↓84’6.6
  • 3C. Ndaba6.6
  • 44Tiago Gabriel6.9
  • 5J. Siebert7.2
  • 29L. Coulibaly6.7
  • 20Y. Ramadani↓85’6.7
  • 16O. Gandelman6.3
  • 23R. Sottil↓54’6.9
  • 9N. Štulić↓69’6.2
  • 50S. Pierotti6.9

Substitutes used

  • 19L. Banda↑54’6.5
  • 7Tete Morente↑69’6.5
  • 11K. N’Dri↑84’
  • 93Y. Maleh↑85’

Unused: C. Früchtl, J. Samooja, M. Pérez, G. Jean, Owen Kouassi, Þ. Helgason, F. Marchwiński, M. Kaba, Oumar Ngom, S. Fofana, Álex Sala

Player stats

Top rated
S. RicciAC Milan7.9
2nd
A. RabiotAC Milan7.6
3rd
A. JashariAC Milan7.6

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Maignan G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 97% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
K. De Winter D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 102 1 0 0/1 2/1 7.0
M. Gabbia D 90 0 0 4 (0) 0 99% 76 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
O. Tomori D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 63 3 0 0/1 2/0 7.0
P. Estupiñán D 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 90% 59 3 2 0/1 1/0 6.9
A. Rabiot M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 65 3 1 1/2 1/1 7.6
A. Jashari M 87 0 0 0 (0) 2 92% 66 2 1 0/2 1/2 7.6
S. Ricci M 73 0 0 1 (1) 4 91% 54 2 1 1/2 0/1 7.9
A. Saelemaekers F 80 0 1 1 (0) 3 89% 54 0 1 0/3 0/1 7.6
Rafael Leão F 87 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 29 1 0 3/4 0/0 6.9
C. Pulišić M 73 0 0 2 (2) 1 90% 39 0 0 1/4 0/1 6.2
R. Loftus-Cheek M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
N. Füllkrug F 17 1 0 2 (2) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.9
Z. Athekame D 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Modrić M 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
C. Nkunku F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/1 0/0 —

Lecce

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
W. Falcone G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 36% 33 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
A. Gallo D 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 26 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
C. Ndaba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 43 4 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
Tiago Gabriel D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 37 0 1 0/0 0/2 6.9
J. Siebert D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 59% 27 2 0 1/1 2/0 7.2
L. Coulibaly M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 26 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.7
Y. Ramadani M 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 32 3 1 0/1 2/2 6.7
O. Gandelman M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 17 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
R. Sottil F 54 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 11 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.9
N. Štulić F 69 0 0 2 (0) 0 71% 17 1 0 0/1 3/1 6.2
S. Pierotti F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 23 5 1 0/1 1/0 6.9
L. Banda M 36 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 1 0 0/2 0/1 6.5
Tete Morente F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
K. N’Dri F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 1/2 0/0 —
Y. Maleh M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.