Amed vs Galatasaray – 11 Apr 2027

Süper Lig Gameweek 28 Sun, Apr 11 · 13:00 Seyrantepe Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu 1, Diyarbakır

Amed 2nd · 17 pts · 8 played DWWDW

VS— Compare

Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played WWLWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,026 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Amed—%

Draw—%

Galatasaray—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Diyarbakır)

Forecast from 27 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Amed

Galatasaray

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

34 Current StrengthIn forecast 62

38 AttackIn forecast 57

46 DefenceIn forecast 55

66 Form indexContext 59

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Amed

Attack—

Defense risk—

Galatasaray

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Amed

Galatasaray

2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.13

1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38

1.84 xGVia Att/Def 2.29

0.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.93

+0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.16

88% Scored inContext 88%

38% Clean sheetsContext 38%

14.25 ShotsContext 22.13

4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.38

33% On target shareContext 33%

7.63 Shots in the boxContext 15.13

53% Box shareContext 69%

16% ConversionContext 10%

2.83 OffsidesContext 2.83

9.25 Shots allowedContext 10.75

3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.86

3.00 BlocksContext 3.71

2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.57

68% Save rateContext 78%

47% PossessionIn forecast 60%

386 PassesContext 475

317 Accurate passesContext 411

82% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.93 Team ratingContext 7.02

14.00 FoulsContext 11.75

10.25 Fouls sufferedContext 11.63

3.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.63

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.25

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.84 xGVia Att/Def 1.97

0.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.22

+0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

88% Scored inContext 90%

38% Clean sheetsContext 30%

14.25 ShotsContext 19.20

4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50

33% On target shareContext 34%

7.63 Shots in the boxContext 13.20

53% Box shareContext 69%

16% ConversionContext 10%

2.83 OffsidesContext 3.43

9.25 Shots allowedContext 11.50

3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78

3.00 BlocksContext 3.56

2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78

68% Save rateContext 64%

47% PossessionIn forecast 57%

386 PassesContext 460

317 Accurate passesContext 397

82% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.93 Team ratingContext 6.86

14.00 FoulsContext 11.60

10.25 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

3.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 8 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Amed DWWDW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km2,052 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 66 · 11 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · +3.0 vs expected

W17 OctH · Konyaspor1–02.0 xPts
D10 OctA · Genclerbirligi2–21.8 xPts
W20 SepH · Besiktas3–21.4 xPts
W13 SepH · Istanbul Basaksehir5–01.5 xPts
D6 SepA · Kasimpasa2–21.3 xPts

Galatasaray WLWLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel1,026 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Amed	Galatasaray
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 4 Apr	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 4 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,026 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,052 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 3	1 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Amed Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Konyaspor (H) 1–0, 17 Oct

40A. Lafont(G)

17C. Meraş 4D. Bates 21Mehmet Yeşil 7E. Krasniqi

8F. Soyalp 22R. Raveloson

10S. Ballet 91D. Sabi'a 93R. Lutin

99G. Orban

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1U. Çakır(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina

53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané

45V. Osimhen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Amed Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Amed · Home 3.00points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 5-0-0
Scored: 2.80
Conceded: 0.60

Galatasaray · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 3-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 6 this season

Opponent	Amed	Galatasaray
Genclerbirligi	D 2–2 A	W 1–0 A
Istanbul Basaksehir	W 5–0 H	W 3–2 A
Kasimpasa	D 2–2 A	W 3–1 H
Trabzonspor	W 2–1 H	L 0–4 A
Kocaelispor	L 0–2 A	W 1–0 H
Erzurumspor FK	W 3–0 H	W 4–0 A
Points	11 of 18 · 1.83 per game	15 of 18 · 2.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Amed	Galatasaray
Scored per game	2.25	2.13
Conceded per game	1.13	1.38
Match goals	3.38	3.50
Over 1.5	88%	75%
Over 2.5	75%	75%
Over 3.5	50%	75%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	38%	38%
Failed to score	13%	13%
Games	8	8

	Amed	Galatasaray
Scored per game	2.25	1.90
Conceded per game	1.13	1.80
Match goals	3.38	3.70
Over 1.5	88%	80%
Over 2.5	75%	80%
Over 3.5	50%	80%
Both teams scored	50%	60%
Clean sheets	38%	30%
Failed to score	13%	10%
Games	8	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Amed	Galatasaray	League
Corners
Corners won	4.25	7.38
Corners conceded	3.75	3.13
Match total	8.00	10.51	9.12
Over 8.5	38% 3/8	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	13% 1/8	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	3.13	1.88
Opponent cards	2.63	2.00
Match total	5.76	3.88	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	50% 4/8	38% 3/8

	Amed	Galatasaray	League
Corners
Corners won	4.25	6.40
Corners conceded	3.75	3.20
Match total	8.00	9.60	9.12
Over 8.5	38% 3/8	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	13% 1/8	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	3.13	2.00
Opponent cards	2.63	1.80
Match total	5.76	3.80	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	50% 4/8	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.