Anderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel80 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Anderlecht—%
Draw—%
Lommel United—%
Weather (Brussel)
Forecast from 26 Feb
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Anderlecht and Lommel United. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Anderlecht
6
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Anderlecht
0.7
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Lommel United
3
Clean sheets
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
-
Insight
Anderlecht
6
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Anderlecht
0.7
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Lommel United
3
Clean sheets
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
AnderlechtLommel United
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
43
Current StrengthIn forecast
36
37
AttackIn forecast
32
52
DefenceIn forecast
41
59
Form indexContext
47
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisLommel United
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AnderlechtLommel United
1.13
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.13
0.75
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.13
1.39
xGVia Att/Def
1.13
0.87
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.15
-0.26
Goals minus xGContext
+0.00
63%
Scored inContext
50%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
38%
15.00
ShotsContext
10.75
4.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
32%
On target shareContext
28%
9.50
Shots in the boxContext
7.00
61%
Box shareContext
66%
8%
ConversionContext
11%
1.43
OffsidesContext
2.33
9.88
Shots allowedContext
19.25
3.63
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.63
2.00
BlocksContext
6.50
2.75
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.50
76%
Save rateContext
76%
62%
PossessionIn forecast
44%
560
PassesContext
407
482
Accurate passesContext
339
86%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.99
Team ratingContext
6.86
12.38
FoulsContext
7.00
11.50
Fouls sufferedContext
10.75
2.13
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
0.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
0.95
xGVia Att/Def
1.13
1.10
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.15
+0.45
Goals minus xGContext
+0.07
70%
Scored inContext
50%
60%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
11.88
ShotsContext
10.50
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.75
38%
On target shareContext
29%
7.63
Shots in the boxContext
7.00
61%
Box shareContext
66%
8%
ConversionContext
11%
1.50
OffsidesContext
2.33
11.25
Shots allowedContext
18.80
4.63
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.40
1.90
BlocksContext
5.80
3.75
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.30
81%
Save rateContext
75%
60%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
533
PassesContext
403
459
Accurate passesContext
331
86%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.93
Team ratingContext
6.88
12.90
FoulsContext
7.20
12.60
Fouls sufferedContext
11.40
2.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Anderlecht
WLWWL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km96 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +1.4 vs expected
Lommel United
WLLDW
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel80 km229 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 47 · 7 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Anderlecht |
Lommel United |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 6 Mar | 7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 6 Mar |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 80 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 96 km | 229 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Anderlecht
Last XI · not confirmed
26C. Coosemans(G)
5O. Reabciuk
27L. Pétrot
12A. Omobamidele
50K. Barry
19Thelo Aasgaard
29M. Stroeykens
83T. Degreef
18L. Ambros
10M. Winkler
9M. CvetkoviÄ
Lommel United
Last XI · not confirmed
23M. Pieklak(G)
4S. Adewoye
8Nicolas Rommens
3T. Eyoma
2J. van Duiven
44I. Dada-Mascoll
15Lucas Schoofs
11S. Appuah
10Tom Reyners
7J. Talvitie
9D. Konadu
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Anderlecht
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Lommel United
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Anderlecht · Home
2.50points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-1-0
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 0.25
Lommel United · Away
1.75points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-1-1
- Scored
- 1.25
- Conceded
- 1.75
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | Anderlecht | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | W 2–1 A | W 1–0 A |
| KV Mechelen | W 1–0 A | D 0–0 H |
| Union St. Gilloise | L 0–3 A | L 0–5 A |
| SK Beveren | L 0–1 A | W 3–1 A |
| Points | 6 of 12 · 1.50 per game | 7 of 12 · 1.75 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Anderlecht | Lommel United | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.13 | 1.13 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.75 | 1.13 | |
| Match goals | 1.88 | 2.25 | |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 38% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% | |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 38% | |
| Failed to score | 38% | 50% | |
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Anderlecht | Lommel United | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 1.13 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.70 | 1.13 | |
| Match goals | 2.10 | 2.25 | |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 38% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 38% | |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 25% | |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 38% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 50% | |
| Games | 10 | 8 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Anderlecht | Lommel United | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.63 | 3.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.13 | 7.88 | |
| Match total | 9.76 | 11.38 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 63% 5/8 | 88% 7/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 38% 3/8 | 75% 6/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 38% 3/8 | 63% 5/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.13 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.38 | 1.63 | |
| Match total | 3.51 | 2.63 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 4/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 2/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Anderlecht | Lommel United | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.40 | 3.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.80 | 7.60 | |
| Match total | 9.20 | 11.20 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 10% 1/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 1.80 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 3.00 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Anderlecht8 games · scored 9 · conceded 6
2
0-15
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
3
1
76-90
Lommel United7 games · scored 9 · conceded 4
0-15
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
76-90
Anderlecht10 games · scored 14 · conceded 7
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
3
46-60
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
Lommel United9 games · scored 12 · conceded 6
0-15
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
Next fixtures Belgian Pro League
View all fixtures →Anderlecht
Lommel United
Mar 1316:00
Gent
Zulte Waregem
Mar 1316:00
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Mar 1316:00
Kortrijk
OH Leuven
Mar 1316:00
Charleroi
Club Brugge KV
Mar 1316:00
SK Beveren
KVC Westerlo
Mar 1316:00
Antwerp
RAAL La Louvière
Mar 1316:00
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
Mar 1316:00
Genk
St. Truiden
Mar 1316:00