RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
RAAL La Louvière
16th · 4 pts · 8 played
DLWLL
VS—
Compare
Lommel United
10th · 11 pts · 8 played
WLLDW
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel114 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
RAAL La Louvière—%
Draw—%
Lommel United—%
Weather (La Louvière)
Forecast from 19 Feb
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for RAAL La Louvière and Lommel United. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Lommel United
3
Clean sheets
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
RAAL La Louvière
−0.83
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.10xG against1.93
-
Alert
RAAL La Louvière
2.3
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
-
Insight
Lommel United
3
Clean sheets
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Alert
RAAL La Louvière
2.3
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
RAAL La Louvière
−0.83
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.10xG against1.93
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
RAAL La LouvièreLommel United
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
36
15
AttackIn forecast
32
15
DefenceIn forecast
41
16
Form indexContext
47
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisLommel United
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreLommel United
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.13
2.25
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.13
0.86
xGVia Att/Def
1.13
2.28
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.15
+0.14
Goals minus xGContext
+0.00
63%
Scored inContext
50%
13%
Clean sheetsContext
38%
11.38
ShotsContext
10.75
3.63
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
32%
On target shareContext
28%
7.43
Shots in the boxContext
7.00
59%
Box shareContext
66%
9%
ConversionContext
11%
2.43
OffsidesContext
2.33
16.00
Shots allowedContext
19.25
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.63
3.88
BlocksContext
6.50
2.88
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.50
58%
Save rateContext
76%
37%
PossessionIn forecast
44%
335
PassesContext
407
257
Accurate passesContext
339
77%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.58
Team ratingContext
6.86
12.13
FoulsContext
7.00
9.25
Fouls sufferedContext
10.75
2.13
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.13
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.30
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
2.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
1.10
xGVia Att/Def
1.13
1.93
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.15
+0.20
Goals minus xGContext
+0.07
70%
Scored inContext
50%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
11.60
ShotsContext
10.50
3.90
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.75
34%
On target shareContext
29%
7.89
Shots in the boxContext
7.00
62%
Box shareContext
66%
11%
ConversionContext
11%
2.22
OffsidesContext
2.33
14.70
Shots allowedContext
18.80
4.60
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.40
3.60
BlocksContext
5.80
2.89
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.30
59%
Save rateContext
75%
39%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
334
PassesContext
403
257
Accurate passesContext
331
77%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.66
Team ratingContext
6.88
11.10
FoulsContext
7.20
10.40
Fouls sufferedContext
11.40
1.90
Yellow cardsContext
1.20
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
DLWLL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km142 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 16 · 4 pts vs 8.7 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected
Lommel United
WLLDW
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel114 km291 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 47 · 7 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
Lommel United |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 27 Feb | 7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 27 Feb |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 114 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 142 km | 291 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Last XI · not confirmed
21M. Peano(G)
18S. Delos
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
33P. Nkoa
3N. Gillot
23J. Ito
10M. Wade
29M. Courcoul
11M. Ubandoma
9E. Filet
Lommel United
Last XI · not confirmed
23M. Pieklak(G)
4S. Adewoye
8Nicolas Rommens
3T. Eyoma
2J. van Duiven
44I. Dada-Mascoll
15Lucas Schoofs
11S. Appuah
10Tom Reyners
7J. Talvitie
9D. Konadu
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Lommel United
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
1.00points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-2
- Scored
- 1.75
- Conceded
- 2.00
Lommel United · Away
1.75points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-1-1
- Scored
- 1.25
- Conceded
- 1.75
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 3 this season
| Opponent | RAAL La Louvière | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | L 1–4 H | L 0–1 H |
| St. Truiden | L 0–4 A | D 1–1 A |
| KV Mechelen | D 2–2 H | D 0–0 H |
| Points | 1 of 9 · 0.33 per game | 2 of 9 · 0.67 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | Lommel United | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.13 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.25 | 1.13 | |
| Match goals | 3.25 | 2.25 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 38% | |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 38% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% | |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 38% | |
| Failed to score | 38% | 50% | |
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| RAAL La Louvière | Lommel United | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.60 | 1.13 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.40 | 1.13 | |
| Match goals | 4.00 | 2.25 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 38% | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 38% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 25% | |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 38% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 50% | |
| Games | 10 | 8 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | Lommel United | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.71 | 3.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.00 | 7.88 | |
| Match total | 9.71 | 11.38 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 57% 4/7 | 88% 7/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 43% 3/7 | 75% 6/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 29% 2/7 | 63% 5/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.38 | 1.63 | |
| Match total | 3.88 | 2.63 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 63% 5/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Over 4.5 | 38% 3/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | Lommel United | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.89 | 3.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.67 | 7.60 | |
| Match total | 9.56 | 11.20 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 1.80 | |
| Match total | 3.70 | 3.00 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière8 games · scored 8 · conceded 18
3
1
0-15
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
4
76-90
Lommel United7 games · scored 9 · conceded 4
0-15
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 13 · conceded 21
3
1
0-15
1
16-30
3
7
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
4
76-90
Lommel United9 games · scored 12 · conceded 6
0-15
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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