Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, May 22 · 16:00 Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Antwerp 13th · 7 pts · 8 played
First leg1–5 VS— Compare
KVC Westerlo 6th · 13 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel35 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Antwerp—%
Draw—%
KVC Westerlo—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Deurne)

Forecast from 7 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Antwerp and KVC Westerlo. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

AntwerpKVC Westerlo
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
26 Current StrengthIn forecast 33
24 AttackIn forecast 42
19 DefenceIn forecast 32
9 Form indexContext 83
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Antwerp

Attack—
Defense risk—

KVC Westerlo

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

AntwerpKVC Westerlo
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50
2.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.13
1.35 xGVia Att/Def 1.37
1.61 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.93
+0.15 Goals minus xGContext +1.13
75% Scored inContext 88%
13% Clean sheetsContext 25%
14.63 ShotsContext 14.88
5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.38
34% On target shareContext 36%
9.50 Shots in the boxContext 10.63
64% Box shareContext 72%
10% ConversionContext 17%
1.33 OffsidesContext 1.17
16.25 Shots allowedContext 14.50
6.63 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.13
4.38 BlocksContext 2.38
3.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00
59% Save rateContext 59%
48% PossessionIn forecast 51%
393 PassesContext 454
316 Accurate passesContext 378
81% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.66 Team ratingContext 6.81
14.00 FoulsContext 13.38
9.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50
1.88 Yellow cardsContext 1.25
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.10
1.27 xGVia Att/Def 1.21
1.59 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.95
+0.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.89
70% Scored inContext 80%
30% Clean sheetsContext 20%
14.50 ShotsContext 15.00
4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80
33% On target shareContext 32%
9.30 Shots in the boxContext 10.20
63% Box shareContext 68%
10% ConversionContext 14%
1.63 OffsidesContext 1.14
17.10 Shots allowedContext 14.50
6.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.40
5.10 BlocksContext 2.70
4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.30
66% Save rateContext 61%
47% PossessionIn forecast 52%
387 PassesContext 459
311 Accurate passesContext 384
81% Pass accuracyContext 84%
6.79 Team ratingContext 6.77
13.20 FoulsContext 12.90
9.60 Fouls sufferedContext 10.80
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Antwerp
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km84 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 9 · 0 pts vs 6.6 for an average club · -4.8 vs expected
  • L11 OctA · KVC Westerlo1–51.0 xPts
  • L20 SepH · Union St. Gilloise0–20.7 xPts
  • L13 SepA · Club Brugge KV1–30.5 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Standard Liege0–11.1 xPts
  • L30 AugH · St. Truiden1–41.6 xPts
KVC Westerlo
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel35 km169 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 83 · 13 pts vs 8.6 for an average club · +6.9 vs expected
  • W11 OctH · Antwerp5–11.8 xPts
  • W20 SepA · St. Truiden2–00.9 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Standard Liege4–21.4 xPts
  • W5 SepA · KV Mechelen4–01.0 xPts
  • D30 AugH · Zulte Waregem2–21.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Antwerp KVC Westerlo
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 15 May7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 15 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km35 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways84 km169 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one——

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Antwerp Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs KVC Westerlo (A) 1–5, 11 Oct
41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
5D. Foulon 3Álvaro Cortés 20R. Van Helden 17S. Renders
48A. Vermeeren 8M. Benítez
7I. Salah 24T. Somers 14Xander Dierickx
9M. Frey
KVC Westerlo Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Antwerp (H) 5–1, 11 Oct
99A. Jungdal(G)
28Dylan Ourega 4A. Lapage 5Seiji Kimura 2L. Flø
14C. Sandra 45I. Fofana
7Shunsuke Saito 13I. Sakamoto 39T. Van den Keybus
9N. Bassette

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Antwerp Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
KVC Westerlo Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Antwerp · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.75
Conceded
2.75
KVC Westerlo · Away 1.50points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentAntwerpKVC Westerlo
Union St. Gilloise L 0–2 H L 1–5 H
Standard Liege L 0–1 A W 4–2 H
St. Truiden L 1–4 H W 2–0 A
Genk D 4–4 H L 2–3 A
Points1 of 12 · 0.25 per game6 of 12 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 7 of 7 meetings

3 Antwerp wins1 draws3 KVC Westerlo wins
Goals per game1.71 – 1.86 Over 2.557% Both scored43% Clean sheets29% · 29%
  • 11 Oct 2026KVC Westerlo5–1Antwerp
  • 23 May 2026Antwerp2–0KVC Westerlo
  • 25 Apr 2026KVC Westerlo2–4Antwerp
  • 15 Feb 2026Antwerp0–2KVC Westerlo
  • 30 Aug 2025KVC Westerlo2–0Antwerp
  • 23 Dec 2023Antwerp2–2KVC Westerlo

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

AntwerpKVC WesterloForecast
Scored per game 1.502.50
Conceded per game 2.502.13
Match goals 4.004.63
Over 1.5 88%100%
Over 2.5 75%88%
Over 3.5 50%88%
Both teams scored 63%63%
Clean sheets 13%25%
Failed to score 25%13%
Games88
AntwerpKVC WesterloForecast
Scored per game 1.302.10
Conceded per game 2.201.90
Match goals 3.504.00
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 60%80%
Over 3.5 40%70%
Both teams scored 60%60%
Clean sheets 10%30%
Failed to score 30%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

AntwerpKVC WesterloLeague
Corners
Corners won4.633.50
Corners conceded5.505.75
Match total10.139.2510.01
Over 8.550% 4/875% 6/8
Over 9.538% 3/838% 3/8
Over 10.538% 3/825% 2/8
Cards
Cards2.131.25
Opponent cards2.251.63
Match total4.382.883.36
Over 3.563% 5/838% 3/8
Over 4.550% 4/838% 3/8
AntwerpKVC WesterloLeague
Corners
Corners won4.603.90
Corners conceded6.105.30
Match total10.709.2010.01
Over 8.560% 6/1070% 7/10
Over 9.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Over 10.550% 5/1030% 3/10
Cards
Cards2.201.40
Opponent cards2.001.80
Match total4.203.203.36
Over 3.560% 6/1050% 5/10
Over 4.550% 5/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Antwerp8 games · scored 12 · conceded 20
2 0-15
3 1 16-30
1 2 31-45
1 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
5 7 76-90
KVC Westerlo8 games · scored 20 · conceded 17
6 0-15
1 4 16-30
2 3 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 4 61-75
5 4 76-90
Antwerp10 games · scored 14 · conceded 20
2 0-15
3 1 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 5 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 7 76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 21 · conceded 21
7 0-15
1 5 16-30
2 5 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 5 61-75
5 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Lommel United Cercle Brugge May 2216:00 OH Leuven Gent May 2216:00 Club Brugge KV Zulte Waregem May 2216:00 Kortrijk St. Truiden May 2216:00 SK Beveren Standard Liege May 2216:00 Antwerp KVC Westerlo May 2216:00 Genk KV Mechelen May 2216:00 Union St. Gilloise Charleroi May 2216:00 RAAL La Louvière Anderlecht May 2216:00