Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, May 22 · 16:00 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Club Brugge KV 2nd · 21 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Zulte Waregem 8th · 11 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel38 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Club Brugge KV—%
Draw—%
Zulte Waregem—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Brugge)

Forecast from 7 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Club Brugge KV and Zulte Waregem. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Club Brugge KVZulte Waregem
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
75 Current StrengthIn forecast 30
86 AttackIn forecast 27
58 DefenceIn forecast 31
86 Form indexContext 17
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Club Brugge KV

Attack—
Defense risk—

Zulte Waregem

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Club Brugge KVZulte Waregem
2.38 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.25
0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13
2.55 xGVia Att/Def 1.25
1.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.17
-0.17 Goals minus xGContext +0.00
100% Scored inContext 50%
63% Clean sheetsContext 38%
18.25 ShotsContext 12.63
6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.25
33% On target shareContext 34%
13.88 Shots in the boxContext 8.13
75% Box shareContext 65%
13% ConversionContext 10%
1.86 OffsidesContext 2.80
13.63 Shots allowedContext 12.00
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.88
3.88 BlocksContext 3.13
2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.63
82% Save rateContext 74%
64% PossessionIn forecast 43%
601 PassesContext 376
535 Accurate passesContext 304
89% Pass accuracyContext 81%
7.27 Team ratingContext 6.85
7.88 FoulsContext 11.50
11.38 Fouls sufferedContext 12.88
1.38 Yellow cardsContext 0.88
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
2.61 xGVia Att/Def 1.34
1.74 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.29
-0.11 Goals minus xGContext +0.16
100% Scored inContext 60%
50% Clean sheetsContext 30%
17.00 ShotsContext 13.10
5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.60
34% On target shareContext 35%
13.70 Shots in the boxContext 8.20
76% Box shareContext 64%
15% ConversionContext 12%
1.67 OffsidesContext 3.00
15.70 Shots allowedContext 11.90
4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00
4.60 BlocksContext 3.11
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.60
76% Save rateContext 72%
62% PossessionIn forecast 45%
580 PassesContext 385
515 Accurate passesContext 308
89% Pass accuracyContext 80%
7.17 Team ratingContext 6.84
9.20 FoulsContext 11.00
11.10 Fouls sufferedContext 12.80
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 0.90
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Club Brugge KV
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 86 · 12 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · +3.1 vs expected
  • W13 OctA · Inter4–30.9 xPts
  • W10 OctA · RAAL La Louvière4–12.3 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Genk3–01.9 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Antwerp3–12.4 xPts
  • L8 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.5 xPts
Zulte Waregem
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel38 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -3.5 vs expected
  • L10 OctH · Gent0–21.3 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Anderlecht0–31.1 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Charleroi0–11.6 xPts
  • W6 SepA · Kortrijk2–01.8 xPts
  • D30 AugA · KVC Westerlo2–21.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Club Brugge KV Zulte Waregem
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 15 May7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 15 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km38 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one——

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Club Brugge KV Last XI · not confirmed
4-5-1 · vs Inter (A) 4–3, 13 Oct
1Y. Sommer(G)
65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 58J. Spileers 64K. Sabbe
11J. Virgili 20H. Vanaken 8F. Potts 10H. Vetlesen 9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi
Zulte Waregem Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Gent (H) 0–2, 10 Oct
13B. Gabriël(G)
55Y. Cappelle 5Jakob Kiilerich 4L. Lemoine 23S. Diakité
11M. Aké 6E. Lofolomo 8T. Claes
20T. Hedl 18A. Ementa 10M. Mbaye

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Club Brugge KV Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Zulte Waregem Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Club Brugge KV · Home 3.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
4-0-0
Scored
2.50
Conceded
0.25
Zulte Waregem · Away 1.25points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-2-1
Scored
1.00
Conceded
1.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentClub Brugge KVZulte Waregem
Genk W 3–0 H W 2–1 H
Gent L 1–2 A L 0–2 H
Kortrijk W 3–0 H W 2–0 A
Points6 of 9 · 2.00 per game6 of 9 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

2 Club Brugge KV wins0 draws0 Zulte Waregem wins
Goals per game2.50 – 1.50 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%
  • 24 Jan 2026Club Brugge KV4–3Zulte Waregem
  • 16 Aug 2025Zulte Waregem0–1Club Brugge KV

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Club Brugge KVZulte WaregemForecast
Scored per game 2.381.25
Conceded per game 0.501.13
Match goals 2.882.38
Over 1.5 75%75%
Over 2.5 75%50%
Over 3.5 25%25%
Both teams scored 38%25%
Clean sheets 63%38%
Failed to score 0%50%
Games88
Club Brugge KVZulte WaregemForecast
Scored per game 2.501.10
Conceded per game 1.001.10
Match goals 3.502.20
Over 1.5 80%70%
Over 2.5 80%40%
Over 3.5 40%20%
Both teams scored 50%20%
Clean sheets 50%40%
Failed to score 0%50%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Club Brugge KVZulte WaregemLeague
Corners
Corners won8.254.50
Corners conceded3.135.25
Match total11.389.7510.01
Over 8.575% 6/875% 6/8
Over 9.575% 6/850% 4/8
Over 10.550% 4/838% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.501.00
Opponent cards2.002.25
Match total3.503.253.36
Over 3.538% 3/838% 3/8
Over 4.538% 3/825% 2/8
Club Brugge KVZulte WaregemLeague
Corners
Corners won7.305.20
Corners conceded3.404.80
Match total10.7010.0010.01
Over 8.570% 7/1080% 8/10
Over 9.560% 6/1060% 6/10
Over 10.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Cards
Cards1.901.00
Opponent cards2.102.30
Match total4.003.303.36
Over 3.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Over 4.550% 5/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Club Brugge KV8 games · scored 19 · conceded 4
2 0-15
2 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 46-60
3 1 61-75
3 1 76-90
Zulte Waregem8 games · scored 10 · conceded 9
2 0-15
2 1 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 61-75
4 1 76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 25 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
5 3 31-45
4 46-60
6 1 61-75
4 3 76-90
Zulte Waregem10 games · scored 15 · conceded 12
2 0-15
2 3 16-30
3 2 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 1 61-75
5 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Lommel United Cercle Brugge May 2216:00 OH Leuven Gent May 2216:00 Club Brugge KV Zulte Waregem May 2216:00 Kortrijk St. Truiden May 2216:00 SK Beveren Standard Liege May 2216:00 Antwerp KVC Westerlo May 2216:00 Genk KV Mechelen May 2216:00 Union St. Gilloise Charleroi May 2216:00 RAAL La Louvière Anderlecht May 2216:00