Antwerp
Attack—
Defense risk—
Antwerp
15th · 11 pts · 13 played
LDLLL
3–1Full time
RAAL La Louvière
10th · 17 pts · 13 played
DDDDW
Our take
Antwerp were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Antwerp usually keep the ball (49% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Antwerp had 6.1 days of rest, RAAL La Louvière 6.1 and had to travel 84 km.
Away travel84 kmRest days6.1 · 6.1Matches / 14d2 · 2
Antwerp48%
Draw27%
RAAL La Louvière25%
Antwerp48%
Draw26%
RAAL La Louvière26%
Antwerp48%
Draw27%
RAAL La Louvière25%
Antwerp41%
Draw28%
RAAL La Louvière31%
Antwerp48%
Draw26%
RAAL La Louvière26%
Over 2.5 47%
Both score 51%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Deurne)
No weather data yet
RefereeBram Van Driessche
- Cards per match 4.4
- Penalties per match 0.16
- Matches 32
Team strength
AntwerpRAAL La Louvière
34
L90 StrengthIn forecast
28
26
Current StrengthIn forecast
17
24
AttackIn forecast
15
19
DefenceIn forecast
15
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisRAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AntwerpRAAL La Louvière
0.77
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.77
1.15
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.85
0.96
xGVia Att/Def
0.78
1.36
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.12
-0.19
Goals minus xGContext
-0.01
54%
Scored inContext
54%
8%
Clean sheetsContext
46%
10.46
ShotsContext
8.85
3.77
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.46
36%
On target shareContext
28%
5.83
Shots in the boxContext
6.08
55%
Box shareContext
68%
7%
ConversionContext
9%
2.83
OffsidesContext
2.30
14.54
Shots allowedContext
11.00
5.08
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.58
4.31
BlocksContext
2.92
3.83
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.75
71%
Save rateContext
82%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
33%
374
PassesContext
243
300
Accurate passesContext
167
80%
Pass accuracyContext
69%
6.87
Team ratingContext
6.77
11.92
FoulsContext
11.54
13.31
Fouls sufferedContext
11.69
2.23
Yellow cardsContext
1.85
0.15
Red cardsContext
0.00
0.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.90
1.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.80
0.95
xGVia Att/Def
0.81
1.41
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.06
-0.45
Goals minus xGContext
+0.09
40%
Scored inContext
60%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
11.00
ShotsContext
8.50
3.60
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.70
33%
On target shareContext
32%
6.00
Shots in the boxContext
6.20
52%
Box shareContext
73%
5%
ConversionContext
11%
2.56
OffsidesContext
2.38
15.20
Shots allowedContext
11.20
5.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.67
4.70
BlocksContext
2.89
3.80
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.78
70%
Save rateContext
81%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
33%
379
PassesContext
240
303
Accurate passesContext
165
80%
Pass accuracyContext
69%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.78
12.80
FoulsContext
10.50
12.50
Fouls sufferedContext
11.70
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Antwerp
Rest6.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
RAAL La Louvière
Rest6.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel84 km213 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Antwerp |
RAAL La Louvière |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 2 Nov | 6.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 2 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 84 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 213 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 14.8 | 14.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.
Squad & lineups
Antwerp
Confirmed XI
41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
4Yuto Tsunashima
25B. Kouyaté
33Z. Van Den Bosch
22F. Adekami
8D. Praet
16M. Benítez
24T. Somers
43Y. Hamdaoui
9M. Al Sahafi
18V. Janssen
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
4Wagane Faye
5T. Lutonda
23J. Ito
8S. Gueulette
98Owen Maes
19Darío Benavides
22J. Afriyie
29O. Mendy
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Antwerp
Absences are shown before kick-off
RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Antwerp+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Antwerp · Home
1.33points per game · 6 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-2
- Scored
- 1.33
- Conceded
- 1.17
RAAL La Louvière · Away
0.83points per game · 6 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-2-3
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.33
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 12 this season
| Opponent | Antwerp | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | L 0–1 A | L 1–2 A |
| Club Brugge KV | L 0–1 H | W 1–0 H |
| Standard Liege | L 0–1 A | L 0–2 H |
| Cercle Brugge | D 1–1 H | W 2–1 H |
| Zulte Waregem | L 0–2 A | D 0–0 H |
| Gent | L 1–2 H | L 0–1 A |
| KVC Westerlo | L 0–2 A | D 0–0 H |
| KV Mechelen | W 2–1 H | L 2–3 A |
| Charleroi | D 1–1 A | W 1–0 H |
| OH Leuven | W 3–1 H | W 2–1 A |
| Genk | D 1–1 A | D 1–1 A |
| Union St. Gilloise | D 1–1 H | D 0–0 H |
| Points | 10 of 36 · 0.83 per game | 16 of 36 · 1.33 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Antwerp | RAAL La Louvière | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.77 | 0.77 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.15 | 0.85 | |
| Match goals | 1.92 | 1.62 | 2.56 |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 46% | |
| Over 2.5 | 23% | 31% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 8% | |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 38% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 8% | 46% | |
| Failed to score | 46% | 46% | |
| Games | 13 | 13 |
| Antwerp | RAAL La Louvière | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.50 | 0.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.20 | 0.80 | |
| Match goals | 1.70 | 1.70 | 2.56 |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 10% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 60% | 40% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Antwerp | RAAL La Louvière | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.77 | 3.77 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.92 | 3.31 | |
| Match total | 8.69 | 7.08 | 9.51 |
| Over 8.5 | 46% 6/13 | 23% 3/13 | |
| Over 9.5 | 23% 3/13 | 23% 3/13 | |
| Over 10.5 | 15% 2/13 | 15% 2/13 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.38 | 1.85 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.31 | 1.38 | |
| Match total | 4.69 | 3.23 | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 69% 9/13 | 46% 6/13 | |
| Over 4.5 | 62% 8/13 | 23% 3/13 | |
| Antwerp | RAAL La Louvière | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 3.70 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.20 | 3.40 | |
| Match total | 9.20 | 7.10 | 9.51 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 2/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.30 | 1.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.20 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 4.50 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Bram Van Driessche 32 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.16league 3.79
Red cards0.28league 0.21
Cards 5+38%league 40%
Fouls22.0league 23.1
Penalties0.16league 0.28
Home wins50%league 44%
Antwerp6 with this referee
Record3-2-1
Cards · opp.1.7 · 2.7
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds2
- W24 Aug 25H · KV Mechelen2–11
- D17 Mar 24H · Union St. Gilloise1–13
- W31 Jan 24A · Standard Liege1–03
- D23 Dec 23H · KVC Westerlo2–22
- L29 Oct 23A · Club Brugge KV1–21
RAAL La LouvièreNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Antwerp13 games · scored 10 · conceded 15
1
3
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
3
2
76-90
RAAL La Louvière13 games · scored 10 · conceded 11
1
2
0-15
5
2
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
2
5
76-90
Antwerp10 games · scored 5 · conceded 12
1
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
46-60
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 9 · conceded 8
1
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
