Premier League Gameweek 28 Sun, Mar 1 2026 · 16:30 Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.09 – 1.07
Chelsea
  • W. Saliba 21’
  • J. Timber 66’
  • 45’ (OG) P. Hincapié
  • 70’ Pedro Neto
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arsenal beat Chelsea

Arsenal entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Saliba and Timber. Chelsea replied through an own goal. Chelsea played with ten men from the 70th minute after Neto was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.09 and 1.07. On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Arsenal ✓59%
Draw22%
Chelsea19%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
2
Model 2.10 · xG 1.09
Chelsea goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 1.07
Total goals
3
Model 3.24 · xG 2.16
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 63%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. RiceArsenal · 1 assist
7.9
  • RefereeDarren England
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 1st · Chelsea 6th

Timeline

  1. W. Saliba 1–0Assist Gabriel Magalhães
    21’
  2. P. Hincapié (own goal) 1–1Assist R. James
    45’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ Gabriel MartinelliFor L. Trossard
    56’
  5. C. PalmerYellow card · Foul
    59’
  6. J. HatoYellow card · Foul
    65’
  7. J. Timber 2–1Assist D. Rice
    66’
  8. Pedro NetoYellow card · Argument
    67’
  9. Pedro NetoSecond yellow · Foul
    70’
  10. Gabriel MagalhãesYellow card · Foul
    75’
  11. ⇄ M. GustoFor J. Hato
    75’
  12. ⇄ R. LaviaFor Andrey Santos
    75’
  13. ⇄ K. HavertzFor V. Gyökeres
    76’
  14. ⇄ C. NørgaardFor D. Rice
    76’
  15. E. FernándezYellow card · Argument
    79’
  16. ⇄ A. GarnachoFor C. Palmer
    86’
  17. ⇄ L. DelapFor E. Fernández
    86’
  18. ⇄ T. AdarabioyoFor M. Sarr
    90’
  19. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Arsenal12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
Chelsea9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
ArsenalChelsea
41% Possession 59%
1.09 Expected goals (xG) 1.07
1.37 Expected points (xPts) 1.34
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 5
5 Shots outside the box 4
338 Passes 482
82% Pass accuracy 88%
5 Corners 10
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
7.05 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

17.7 David Raya(G)
55.9 P. Hincapié 67.5 Gabriel Magalhães A 27.3 W. Saliba 127.3 J. Timber
417.9★ D. Rice A↓76’ 367.2 Martín Zubimendi
196.7 L. Trossard ↓56’ 107.0 E. Eze 77.0 B. Saka
146.3 V. Gyökeres ↓76’
  • 1David Raya (G)7.7
  • 5P. Hincapié5.9
  • 6Gabriel MagalhãesA7.5
  • 2W. Saliba7.3
  • 12J. Timber7.3
  • 41D. Rice ★A↓76’7.9
  • 36Martín Zubimendi7.2
  • 19L. Trossard↓56’6.7
  • 10E. Eze7.0
  • 7B. Saka7.0
  • 14V. Gyökeres↓76’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 29K. Havertz↑76’6.6
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↑56’6.6
  • 16C. Nørgaard↑76’6.3

Unused: Kepa, G. de Jesus, C. Madueke, M. Lewis-Skelly, Cristhian Mosquera, R. Calafiori

Chelsea 4-3-3

17.7 Robert Sánchez(G)
216.2 J. Hato ↓75’ 196.0 M. Sarr ↓90’ 237.6 T. Chalobah 247.2 R. James A
86.6 E. Fernández ↓86’ 176.7 Andrey Santos ↓75’ 257.3 M. Caicedo
106.2 C. Palmer ↓86’ 206.2 João Pedro 76.2 Pedro Neto
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)7.7
  • 21J. Hato↓75’6.2
  • 19M. Sarr↓90’6.0
  • 23T. Chalobah7.6
  • 24R. JamesA7.2
  • 8E. Fernández↓86’6.6
  • 17Andrey Santos↓75’6.7
  • 25M. Caicedo7.3
  • 10C. Palmer↓86’6.2
  • 20João Pedro6.2
  • 7Pedro Neto6.2

Substitutes used

  • 27M. Gusto↑75’6.7
  • 49A. Garnacho↑86’6.3
  • 4T. Adarabioyo↑90’
  • 9L. Delap↑86’6.5
  • 45R. Lavia↑75’6.9

Unused: F. Jørgensen, B. Badiashile, Marc Guiu, J. Acheampong

Player stats

Top rated
D. RiceArsenal7.9
2nd
David RayaArsenal7.7
3rd
Robert SánchezChelsea7.7

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 64% 25 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.7
P. Hincapié D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 25 2 1 0/1 2/1 5.9
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 1 1 (1) 1 89% 55 4 2 0/0 1/0 7.5
W. Saliba D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 91% 47 1 0 0/0 2/1 7.3
J. Timber D 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 93% 27 1 0 1/1 1/1 7.3
D. Rice M 76 0 1 1 (0) 2 88% 41 3 1 0/0 0/0 7.9
Martín Zubimendi M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 26 3 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
L. Trossard F 56 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 19 0 0 2/3 1/2 6.7
E. Eze M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 77% 22 1 0 0/0 1/2 7.0
B. Saka F 90 0 0 0 (0) 5 60% 25 1 1 1/2 1/3 7.0
V. Gyökeres F 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 12 0 0 0/3 1/1 6.3
K. Havertz M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 1/2 0/1 6.6
Gabriel Martinelli F 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 2/3 0/1 6.6
C. Nørgaard M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 65% 52 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
J. Hato D 75 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 25 3 3 0/0 2/0 6.2
M. Sarr D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 48 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.0
T. Chalobah D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 81 1 1 1/1 0/0 7.6
R. James D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 94% 53 3 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
E. Fernández M 86 0 0 1 (1) 0 76% 42 1 2 0/1 0/3 6.6
Andrey Santos M 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 27 2 2 0/0 0/1 6.7
M. Caicedo M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 98% 57 5 3 0/0 4/0 7.3
C. Palmer M 86 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 25 1 0 0/3 3/1 6.2
João Pedro F 90 0 0 4 (2) 1 82% 22 1 0 1/2 2/2 6.2
Pedro Neto F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 95% 21 0 0 0/1 2/1 6.2
M. Gusto D 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Garnacho F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
T. Adarabioyo D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 1 0/0 0/0 —
L. Delap F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
R. Lavia M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 12 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.