Premier League Gameweek 6 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 12:30 Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.14 – 0.74
Leeds
  • R. Calafiori 62’
  • Bruno Guimarães 70’
  • 55’ J. Justin
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arsenal come from behind to beat Leeds

Arsenal entered as clear favourites, yet Leeds led 1–0 after 55 minutes through a Justin goal. But Calafiori and Guimarães scored to turn it around for Arsenal, who won 2–1. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (2.14 vs 0.74).

Arsenal ✓67%
Draw19%
Leeds14%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
2
Model 2.17 · xG 2.14
Leeds goals
1
Model 0.87 · xG 0.74
Total goals
3
Model 3.04 · xG 2.88
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBruno GuimarãesArsenal · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereePaul Tierney
  • CoachesMikel Arteta · Daniel Farke
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 2nd · Leeds 5th
  • Weather at kick-off14°C · Overcast · wind 19 km/h

Timeline

  1. A. TanakaYellow card · Foul
    36’
  2. E. AmpaduYellow card · Foul
    38’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. J. Justin 0–1Assist G. Gudmundsson
    55’
  5. T. MuharemovićYellow card · Foul
    59’
  6. R. Calafiori 1–1Assist B. White
    62’
  7. ⇄ J. TimberFor B. White
    63’
  8. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor K. Havertz
    63’
  9. ⇄ Bruno GuimarãesFor M. Lewis-Skelly
    63’
  10. Bruno Guimarães 2–1Assist D. Rice
    70’
  11. ⇄ H. WilsonFor A. Tanaka
    71’
  12. ⇄ B. AaronsonFor N. Okafor
    71’
  13. J. JustinYellow card · Foul
    78’
  14. ⇄ L. NmechaFor J. Justin
    79’
  15. ⇄ P. HincapiéFor R. Calafiori
    82’
  16. M. ØdegaardYellow card · Time Wasting
    84’
  17. ⇄ J. BahoyaFor J. Bogle
    86’
  18. ⇄ J. BijolFor N. Elvedi
    86’
  19. ⇄ Mikel MerinoFor M. Ødegaard
    90’
  20. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Arsenal12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Leeds11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
ArsenalLeeds
59% Possession 41%
2.14 Expected goals (xG) 0.74
2.28 Expected points (xPts) 0.54
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 7
4 Shots outside the box 4
510 Passes 352
85% Pass accuracy 78%
2 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 20
7 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 6.40

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

17.0 David Raya(G)
337.5 R. Calafiori ↓82’ 66.3 Gabriel Magalhães 156.9 E. Konsa 47.0 B. White A↓63’
496.7 M. Lewis-Skelly ↓63’ 417.6 D. Rice A
207.2 C. Madueke 86.5 M. Ødegaard ↓90’ 76.3 B. Saka
296.3 K. Havertz ↓63’
  • 1David Raya (G)7.0
  • 33R. Calafiori↓82’7.5
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães6.3
  • 15E. Konsa6.9
  • 4B. WhiteA↓63’7.0
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↓63’6.7
  • 41D. RiceA7.6
  • 20C. Madueke7.2
  • 8M. Ødegaard↓90’6.5
  • 7B. Saka6.3
  • 29K. Havertz↓63’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14V. Gyökeres↑63’6.6
  • 39Bruno Guimarães ★↑63’8.0
  • 23Mikel Merino↑90’
  • 12J. Timber↑63’6.6
  • 5P. Hincapié↑82’6.4

Unused: M. Dowman, Martín Zubimendi, E. Eze, Kepa

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Leeds 3-4-2-1

15.9 J. Trafford(G)
56.5 T. Muharemović 306.7 N. Elvedi ↓86’ 246.9 J. Justin ↓79’
37.5 G. Gudmundsson A 225.7 A. Tanaka ↓71’ 46.6 E. Ampadu 26.1 J. Bogle ↓86’
196.0 N. Okafor ↓71’ 186.3 A. Stach
96.1 D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 1J. Trafford (G)5.9
  • 5T. Muharemović6.5
  • 30N. Elvedi↓86’6.7
  • 24J. Justin↓79’6.9
  • 3G. GudmundssonA7.5
  • 22A. Tanaka↓71’5.7
  • 4E. Ampadu6.6
  • 2J. Bogle↓86’6.1
  • 19N. Okafor↓71’6.0
  • 18A. Stach6.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin6.1

Substitutes used

  • 14L. Nmecha↑79’6.3
  • 23J. Bahoya↑86’6.3
  • 15J. Bijol↑86’6.4
  • 10H. Wilson↑71’6.2
  • 11B. Aaronson↑71’6.1

Unused: M. Zetterer, M. Bard, S. Longstaff, I. Gruev

Coach: Daniel Farke

Player stats

Top rated
Bruno GuimarãesArsenal8.0
2nd
D. RiceArsenal7.6
3rd
R. CalafioriArsenal7.5

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 63% 30 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
R. Calafiori D 82 1 0 2 (1) 2 80% 25 2 0 1/2 1/0 7.5
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 57 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 55 3 2 1/1 2/3 6.9
B. White D 63 0 1 0 (0) 1 76% 33 3 0 0/0 0/2 7.0
M. Lewis-Skelly M 63 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 51 0 2 0/0 1/3 6.7
D. Rice M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 89% 71 2 1 2/2 1/2 7.6
C. Madueke F 90 0 0 3 (0) 3 82% 39 0 1 2/2 1/0 7.2
M. Ødegaard M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 90% 59 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.5
B. Saka F 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 79% 34 1 0 0/1 2/3 6.3
K. Havertz M 63 0 0 2 (1) 0 89% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
V. Gyökeres F 27 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 6 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
Bruno Guimarães M 27 1 0 1 (1) 0 95% 21 0 0 0/0 1/3 8.0
Mikel Merino M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
J. Timber D 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
P. Hincapié D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.4

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
J. Trafford G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 58% 50 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
T. Muharemović D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 49 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
N. Elvedi D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 26 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Justin D 79 1 0 3 (1) 0 81% 26 1 1 0/0 2/2 6.9
G. Gudmundsson D 90 0 1 2 (1) 2 82% 17 1 3 0/0 1/1 7.5
A. Tanaka M 71 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 18 2 1 0/0 2/1 5.7
E. Ampadu D 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 84% 45 1 2 0/0 2/2 6.6
J. Bogle D 86 0 0 1 (1) 2 81% 26 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.1
N. Okafor F 71 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 18 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.0
A. Stach M 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 88% 32 3 0 0/0 3/2 6.3
D. Calvert-Lewin F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 21 0 0 2/4 3/2 6.1
L. Nmecha F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
J. Bahoya F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Bijol D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.4
H. Wilson M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
B. Aaronson M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.1

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.