Premier League Gameweek 23 Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 16:30 Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal
2–3 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.19 – 0.71
Manchester United
  • L. Martínez 29’ (OG)
  • Mikel Merino 84’
  • 37’ B. Mbeumo
  • 50’ P. Dorgu
  • 87’ Matheus Cunha
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United come from behind to beat Arsenal

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 after 29 minutes through an own goal. But Mbeumo, Dorgu and Cunha scored to turn it around for Manchester United, who won 3–2. Manchester United won despite the lower xG; Arsenal created the better chances (1.19 vs 0.71). On the chances created, Arsenal deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Arsenal73%
Draw16%
Manchester United ✓11%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
2
Model 2.60 · xG 1.19
Manchester United goals
3
Model 0.91 · xG 0.71
Total goals
5
Model 3.51 · xG 1.90
Score 2–3
1%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 68%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMatheus CunhaManchester United · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeCraig Pawson
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 1st · Manchester United 6th

Timeline

  1. L. Martínez (own goal) 1–0
    29’
  2. B. Mbeumo 1–1
    37’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. P. Dorgu 1–2Assist Bruno Fernandes
    50’
  5. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor G. de Jesus
    58’
  6. ⇄ B. WhiteFor P. Hincapié
    58’
  7. ⇄ Mikel MerinoFor M. Ødegaard
    58’
  8. ⇄ E. EzeFor Martín Zubimendi
    58’
  9. D. RiceYellow card · Foul
    64’
  10. ⇄ Matheus CunhaFor B. Mbeumo
    69’
  11. ⇄ C. MaduekeFor L. Trossard
    75’
  12. ⇄ B. ŠeškoFor P. Dorgu
    81’
  13. Mikel Merino 2–2
    84’
  14. Matheus Cunha 2–3Assist K. Mainoo
    87’
  15. ⇄ N. MazraouiFor A. Diallo
    88’
  16. E. EzeYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  17. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Arsenal15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Manchester United10 shots · 3 in box, 7 outside
ArsenalManchester United
56% Possession 44%
1.19 Expected goals (xG) 0.71
1.73 Expected points (xPts) 0.97
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 3
6 Shots outside the box 7
443 Passes 364
84% Pass accuracy 79%
9 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.39 Team rating 6.64

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-3-3

15.2 David Raya(G)
56.3 P. Hincapié ↓58’ 66.2 Gabriel Magalhães 25.9 W. Saliba 125.9 J. Timber
417.5 D. Rice 366.2 Martín Zubimendi ↓58’ 86.3 M. Ødegaard ↓58’
196.3 L. Trossard ↓75’ 96.5 G. de Jesus ↓58’ 77.6 B. Saka
  • 1David Raya (G)5.2
  • 5P. Hincapié↓58’6.3
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães6.2
  • 2W. Saliba5.9
  • 12J. Timber5.9
  • 41D. Rice7.5
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓58’6.2
  • 8M. Ødegaard↓58’6.3
  • 19L. Trossard↓75’6.3
  • 9G. de Jesus↓58’6.5
  • 7B. Saka7.6

Substitutes used

  • 14V. Gyökeres↑58’6.2
  • 4B. White↑58’6.5
  • 20C. Madueke↑75’6.3
  • 23Mikel Merino↑58’7.3
  • 10E. Eze↑58’6.5

Unused: Kepa, Gabriel Martinelli, M. Lewis-Skelly, Cristhian Mosquera

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

316.6 S. Lammens(G)
236.2 L. Shaw 66.6 L. Martínez 56.6 J. Maguire 26.3 Diogo Dalot
376.2 K. Mainoo A 187.0 Casemiro
137.2 P. Dorgu ↓81’ 86.3 Bruno Fernandes A 166.3 A. Diallo ↓88’
197.7 B. Mbeumo ↓69’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)6.6
  • 23L. Shaw6.2
  • 6L. Martínez6.6
  • 5J. Maguire6.6
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.3
  • 37K. MainooA6.2
  • 18Casemiro7.0
  • 13P. Dorgu↓81’7.2
  • 8Bruno FernandesA6.3
  • 16A. Diallo↓88’6.3
  • 19B. Mbeumo↓69’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 3N. Mazraoui↑88’6.6
  • 10Matheus Cunha ★↑69’8.2
  • 30B. Šeško↑81’6.3

Unused: A. Bayındır, Mason Mount, T. Malacia, M. Ugarte, L. Yoro, A. Heaven

Player stats

Top rated
Matheus CunhaManchester United8.2
2nd
B. MbeumoManchester United7.7
3rd
B. SakaArsenal7.6

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 78% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.2
P. Hincapié D 58 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 16 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 45 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
W. Saliba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 92% 72 0 0 1/1 0/0 5.9
J. Timber D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 35 2 0 0/0 2/0 5.9
D. Rice M 90 0 0 1 (0) 4 89% 63 2 1 0/0 1/1 7.5
Martín Zubimendi M 58 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 34 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Ødegaard M 58 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 21 2 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
L. Trossard F 75 0 0 1 (0) 1 64% 22 0 1 1/1 1/2 6.3
G. de Jesus F 58 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 15 0 0 1/2 2/0 6.5
B. Saka F 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 77% 35 0 2 3/5 0/4 7.6
V. Gyökeres F 32 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
B. White D 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 18 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.5
C. Madueke F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
Mikel Merino M 32 1 0 3 (2) 0 92% 13 1 3 0/1 1/0 7.3
E. Eze M 32 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 19 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.5

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 39% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Shaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 27 3 4 1/1 2/0 6.2
L. Martínez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 55 2 0 2/2 2/1 6.6
J. Maguire D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 38 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.6
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 17 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
K. Mainoo M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 86% 44 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
Casemiro M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 33 0 0 0/0 1/2 7.0
P. Dorgu D 81 1 0 2 (1) 0 70% 20 2 0 0/0 2/1 7.2
Bruno Fernandes M 90 0 1 3 (0) 2 80% 51 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
A. Diallo F 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 22 2 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
B. Mbeumo M 69 1 0 2 (1) 2 58% 12 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
N. Mazraoui D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Matheus Cunha F 21 1 0 1 (1) 0 71% 7 1 0 0/1 0/2 8.2
B. Šeško F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.