Serie A Gameweek 22 Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
AS Roma
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.75 – 0.44
AC Milan
  • L. Pellegrini 74’ (P)
  • 62’ K. De Winter
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AS Roma and AC Milan share the points

AS Roma entered as narrow favourites, yet AC Milan led 1–0 after 62 minutes through a De Winter goal. But Pellegrini scored to rescue a draw for AS Roma. AS Roma finished with the higher xG (2.75 vs 0.44). On the chances created, AS Roma deserved more: 2.7 expected points against the 1 point they took.

AS Roma43%
Draw ✓27%
AC Milan29%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
1
Model 1.44 · xG 2.75
AC Milan goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 0.44
Total goals
2
Model 2.58 · xG 3.19
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. MaignanAC Milan
8.6
  • RefereeAndrea Colombo
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offAS Roma 5th · AC Milan 2nd

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor A. Saelemaekers
    46’
  3. A. RabiotYellow card · Roughing
    51’
  4. Z. AthekameYellow card · Holding
    55’
  5. ⇄ N. PisilliFor K. Koné
    59’
  6. K. De Winter 0–1Assist L. Modrić
    62’
  7. ⇄ N. FüllkrugFor Rafael Leão
    68’
  8. ⇄ C. PulišićFor C. Nkunku
    69’
  9. ⇄ L. PellegriniFor P. Dybala
    69’
  10. ⇄ Robinio VazFor D. Malen
    69’
  11. L. ModrićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    70’
  12. M. MaignanYellow card · Delay of game
    74’
  13. L. Pellegrini (pen) 1–1
    74’
  14. ⇄ R. Loftus-CheekFor S. Ricci
    79’
  15. ⇄ L. VenturinoFor M. Soulé
    85’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

AS Roma15 shots · 11 in box, 4 outside
AC Milan5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
AS RomaAC Milan
59% Possession 41%
2.75 Expected goals (xG) 0.44
2.67 Expected points (xPts) 0.22
15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
11 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 1
583 Passes 414
87% Pass accuracy 83%
5 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.94 Team rating 7.03

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

997.0 M. Svilar(G)
876.9 D. Ghilardi 57.2 O. Ndicka 236.5 G. Mancini
436.7 Wesley 177.3 K. Koné ↓59’ 47.9 B. Cristante 197.2 M. Çelik
187.2 M. Soulé ↓85’ 216.9 P. Dybala ↓69’
145.6 D. Malen ↓69’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)7.0
  • 87D. Ghilardi6.9
  • 5O. Ndicka7.2
  • 23G. Mancini6.5
  • 43Wesley6.7
  • 17K. Koné↓59’7.3
  • 4B. Cristante7.9
  • 19M. Çelik7.2
  • 18M. Soulé↓85’7.2
  • 21P. Dybala↓69’6.9
  • 14D. Malen↓69’5.6

Substitutes used

  • 61N. Pisilli↑59’6.6
  • 7L. Pellegrini↑69’7.0
  • 20L. Venturino↑85’
  • 78Robinio Vaz↑69’6.3

Unused: D. Vásquez, P. Gollini, J. Ziółkowski, K. Tsimikas, Emanuele Lulli, N. El Aynaoui, E. Ferguson

AC Milan 3-5-2

168.6★ M. Maignan(G)
57.6 K. De Winter 466.9 M. Gabbia 236.6 O. Tomori
336.7 D. Bartesaghi 126.6 A. Rabiot 147.9 L. Modrić A 46.7 S. Ricci ↓79’ 566.5 A. Saelemaekers ↓46’
106.9 Rafael Leão ↓68’ 186.6 C. Nkunku ↓69’
  • 16M. Maignan (G) ★8.6
  • 5K. De Winter7.6
  • 46M. Gabbia6.9
  • 23O. Tomori6.6
  • 33D. Bartesaghi6.7
  • 12A. Rabiot6.6
  • 14L. ModrićA7.9
  • 4S. Ricci↓79’6.7
  • 56A. Saelemaekers↓46’6.5
  • 10Rafael Leão↓68’6.9
  • 18C. Nkunku↓69’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 24Z. Athekame↑46’6.0
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↑79’6.7
  • 11C. Pulišić↑69’6.5
  • 9N. Füllkrug↑68’6.7

Unused: L. Torriani, P. Terracciano, D. Odogu, P. Estupiñán, S. Pavlović, A. Jashari, Y. Fofana

Player stats

Top rated
M. MaignanAC Milan8.6
2nd
B. CristanteAS Roma7.9
3rd
L. ModrićAC Milan7.9

AS Roma

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Svilar G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 73% 22 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
D. Ghilardi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 60 4 2 0/0 3/0 6.9
O. Ndicka D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 98% 58 0 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
G. Mancini D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 66 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.5
Wesley M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 46 2 1 3/6 0/1 6.7
K. Koné M 59 0 0 1 (1) 1 92% 38 1 1 2/2 2/1 7.3
B. Cristante M 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 93% 92 0 0 0/0 2/0 7.9
M. Çelik D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 84% 51 1 1 0/0 2/1 7.2
M. Soulé F 85 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 55 1 1 1/1 0/0 7.2
P. Dybala F 69 0 0 0 (0) 4 78% 36 1 0 0/1 0/2 6.9
D. Malen F 69 0 0 5 (3) 0 88% 8 0 0 1/3 1/0 5.6
N. Pisilli M 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 25 1 1 1/1 0/0 6.6
L. Pellegrini M 21 1 0 1 (1) 1 87% 15 0 1 0/1 0/1 7.0
L. Venturino F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Robinio Vaz F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 1 0/0 0/2 6.3

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Maignan G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 80% 45 0 1 1/1 0/0 8.6
K. De Winter D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 93% 56 2 0 0/0 2/0 7.6
M. Gabbia D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 45 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
O. Tomori D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 42 4 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
D. Bartesaghi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 42 2 0 1/1 2/0 6.7
A. Rabiot M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 80% 35 2 0 1/1 2/2 6.6
L. Modrić M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 92% 53 3 2 0/0 1/3 7.9
S. Ricci M 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 28 0 2 1/1 0/2 6.7
A. Saelemaekers F 46 0 0 1 (0) 0 64% 11 1 2 0/1 1/0 6.5
Rafael Leão F 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 29 1 0 1/2 0/2 6.9
C. Nkunku F 69 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
Z. Athekame D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 15 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.0
R. Loftus-Cheek M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
C. Pulišić M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.5
N. Füllkrug F 22 0 0 1 (0) 0 40% 5 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.