Serie A Gameweek 33 Sat, Apr 18 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.86 – 0.68
  • Hermoso 45’
  • 12’ N. Krstović
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AS Roma and Atalanta share the points

Atalanta entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 12 minutes through a Krstović goal. But Hermoso scored to rescue a draw for AS Roma. The chances were even, with xG of 0.86 and 0.68.

AS Roma33%
Draw ✓27%
Atalanta40%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
1
Model 1.27 · xG 0.86
Atalanta goals
1
Model 1.41 · xG 0.68
Total goals
2
Model 2.67 · xG 1.54
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. CarnesecchiAtalanta
8.3
  • RefereeMatteo Marcenaro
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offAS Roma 6th · Atalanta 7th

Timeline

  1. N. Krstović 0–1Assist M. de Roon
    12’
  2. Hermoso 1–1Assist D. Rensch
    45’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ N. ZalewskiFor C. De Ketelaere
    46’
  5. ⇄ K. KossounouFor G. Scalvini
    46’
  6. ⇄ H. AhanorFor S. Kolašinac
    46’
  7. ⇄ L. BernasconiFor R. Bellanova
    54’
  8. ⇄ L. VenturinoFor S. El Shaarawy
    60’
  9. ⇄ N. PisilliFor N. El Aynaoui
    60’
  10. ⇄ D. GhilardiFor G. Mancini
    60’
  11. ÉdersonYellow card · Foul
    65’
  12. ⇄ Robinio VazFor M. Soulé
    71’
  13. N. PisilliYellow card · Foul
    75’
  14. ⇄ K. TsimikasFor D. Rensch
    78’
  15. ⇄ M. PašalićFor Éderson
    80’
  16. B. DjimsitiYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

AS Roma18 shots · 14 in box, 4 outside
Atalanta8 shots · 2 in box, 6 outside
AS RomaAtalanta
52% Possession 48%
0.86 Expected goals (xG) 0.68
1.48 Expected points (xPts) 1.16
18 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
14 Shots inside the box 2
4 Shots outside the box 6
526 Passes 484
86% Pass accuracy 81%
7 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 7.02

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

996.6 M. Svilar(G)
227.9 Hermoso 56.9 O. Ndicka 237.0 G. Mancini ↓60’
26.9 D. Rensch A↓78’ 86.5 N. El Aynaoui ↓60’ 47.0 B. Cristante 197.2 M. Çelik
927.3 S. El Shaarawy ↓60’ 187.2 M. Soulé ↓71’
146.2 D. Malen
  • 99M. Svilar (G)6.6
  • 22Hermoso7.9
  • 5O. Ndicka6.9
  • 23G. Mancini↓60’7.0
  • 2D. RenschA↓78’6.9
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↓60’6.5
  • 4B. Cristante7.0
  • 19M. Çelik7.2
  • 92S. El Shaarawy↓60’7.3
  • 18M. Soulé↓71’7.2
  • 14D. Malen6.2

Substitutes used

  • 12K. Tsimikas↑78’6.3
  • 87D. Ghilardi↑60’6.7
  • 61N. Pisilli↑60’6.6
  • 78Robinio Vaz↑71’6.6
  • 20L. Venturino↑60’6.6

Unused: P. Gollini, Giorgio De Marzi, J. Ziółkowski, Angeliño, Bryan Zaragoza

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

298.3★ M. Carnesecchi(G)
236.2 S. Kolašinac ↓46’ 197.0 B. Djimsiti 426.5 G. Scalvini ↓46’
776.9 D. Zappacosta 137.3 Éderson ↓80’ 157.7 M. de Roon A 166.5 R. Bellanova ↓54’
187.0 G. Raspadori 176.5 C. De Ketelaere ↓46’
907.0 N. Krstović
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G) ★8.3
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓46’6.2
  • 19B. Djimsiti7.0
  • 42G. Scalvini↓46’6.5
  • 77D. Zappacosta6.9
  • 13Éderson↓80’7.3
  • 15M. de RoonA7.7
  • 16R. Bellanova↓54’6.5
  • 18G. Raspadori7.0
  • 17C. De Ketelaere↓46’6.5
  • 90N. Krstović7.0

Substitutes used

  • 3K. Kossounou↑46’6.6
  • 69H. Ahanor↑46’6.3
  • 8M. Pašalić↑80’6.3
  • 59N. Zalewski↑46’6.9
  • 47L. Bernasconi↑54’6.9

Unused: M. Sportiello, Piotr Pardel, M. Bakker, Relja Obrić, Y. Musah, L. Samardžić, G. Scamacca

Player stats

Top rated
M. CarnesecchiAtalanta8.3
2nd
HermosoAS Roma7.9
3rd
M. de RoonAtalanta7.7

AS Roma

Atalanta

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.