Serie A Gameweek 30 Sun, Mar 22 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.84 – 1.08
  • Robinio Vaz 57’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Vaz goal decides it for AS Roma

AS Roma entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Vaz goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.84 and 1.08. On the chances created, Lecce deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AS Roma ✓56%
Draw26%
Lecce18%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
1
Model 1.63 · xG 0.84
Lecce goals
0
Model 0.82 · xG 1.08
Total goals
1
Model 2.46 · xG 1.92
Score 1–0
13%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 44%
Both scored
No
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchHermosoAS Roma · 1 assist
8.9
  • RefereeJuan Luca Sacchi
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offAS Roma 6th · Lecce 17th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ D. GhilardiFor G. Mancini
    46’
  3. ⇄ Robinio VazFor N. El Aynaoui
    51’
  4. Robinio Vaz 1–0Assist Hermoso
    57’
  5. ⇄ W. CheddiraFor N. Štulić
    61’
  6. ⇄ S. FofanaFor O. Gandelman
    61’
  7. ⇄ K. N’DriFor L. Banda
    67’
  8. ⇄ AngeliñoFor K. Tsimikas
    75’
  9. ⇄ Antonio ArenaFor D. Malen
    75’
  10. AngeliñoYellow card · Roughing
    77’
  11. ⇄ L. VenturinoFor L. Pellegrini
    79’
  12. S. PierottiYellow card · Roughing
    81’
  13. ⇄ Þ. HelgasonFor S. Pierotti
    85’
  14. ⇄ Álex SalaFor Y. Ramadani
    85’
  15. N. PisilliYellow card · Roughing
    89’
  16. Danilo VeigaYellow card · Foul
    90’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

AS Roma14 shots · 12 in box, 2 outside
Lecce8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
AS RomaLecce
67% Possession 33%
0.84 Expected goals (xG) 1.08
1.15 Expected points (xPts) 1.53
14 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 2
574 Passes 281
82% Pass accuracy 66%
10 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
14 Fouls 17
5 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

996.7 M. Svilar(G)
228.9★ Hermoso A 57.0 O. Ndicka 236.9 G. Mancini ↓46’
126.7 K. Tsimikas ↓75’ 87.0 N. El Aynaoui ↓51’ 47.5 B. Cristante 27.0 D. Rensch
76.6 L. Pellegrini ↓79’ 615.6 N. Pisilli
146.0 D. Malen ↓75’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)6.7
  • 22Hermoso ★A8.9
  • 5O. Ndicka7.0
  • 23G. Mancini↓46’6.9
  • 12K. Tsimikas↓75’6.7
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↓51’7.0
  • 4B. Cristante7.5
  • 2D. Rensch7.0
  • 7L. Pellegrini↓79’6.6
  • 61N. Pisilli5.6
  • 14D. Malen↓75’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 87D. Ghilardi↑46’6.7
  • 78Robinio Vaz↑51’7.2
  • 3Angeliño↑75’6.6
  • 68Antonio Arena↑75’6.7
  • 20L. Venturino↑79’6.3

Unused: P. Gollini, Giorgio De Marzi, J. Ziółkowski, S. El Shaarawy, Bryan Zaragoza

Lecce 4-2-3-1

306.0 W. Falcone(G)
256.6 A. Gallo 447.3 Tiago Gabriel 57.3 J. Siebert 176.7 Danilo Veiga
797.2 Oumar Ngom 207.2 Y. Ramadani ↓85’
196.7 L. Banda ↓67’ 166.2 O. Gandelman ↓61’ 506.6 S. Pierotti ↓85’
96.3 N. Štulić ↓61’
  • 30W. Falcone (G)6.0
  • 25A. Gallo6.6
  • 44Tiago Gabriel7.3
  • 5J. Siebert7.3
  • 17Danilo Veiga6.7
  • 79Oumar Ngom7.2
  • 20Y. Ramadani↓85’7.2
  • 19L. Banda↓67’6.7
  • 16O. Gandelman↓61’6.2
  • 50S. Pierotti↓85’6.6
  • 9N. Štulić↓61’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 8S. Fofana↑61’6.7
  • 99W. Cheddira↑61’6.3
  • 11K. N’Dri↑67’6.9
  • 14Þ. Helgason↑85’
  • 6Álex Sala↑85’

Unused: C. Früchtl, J. Samooja, C. Ndaba, M. Pérez, G. Jean, F. Marchwiński

Player stats

Top rated
HermosoAS Roma8.9
2nd
B. CristanteAS Roma7.5
3rd
Tiago GabrielLecce7.3

AS Roma

Lecce

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.