Serie A Gameweek 30 Sun, Mar 22 2026 · 14:00 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.02 – 1.11
  • D. Zappacosta 37’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Zappacosta goal decides it for Atalanta

Atalanta entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Zappacosta goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.02 and 1.11. On the chances created, Verona deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Atalanta ✓75%
Draw17%
Verona8%

Model vs reality

Atalanta goals
1
Model 2.35 · xG 1.02
Verona goals
0
Model 0.66 · xG 1.11
Total goals
1
Model 3.00 · xG 2.13
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 2–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
No
Model 44%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. ZappacostaAtalanta · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeGiovanni Ayroldi
  • Coaches— · Paolo Sammarco
  • VenueGewiss Stadium
  • Table before kick-offAtalanta 7th · Verona 19th

Timeline

  1. A. EdmundssonYellow card · Foul
    16’
  2. D. Zappacosta 1–0
    37’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ D. OyegokeFor M. Frese
    46’
  5. N. ValentiniYellow card · Tripping
    54’
  6. R. GagliardiniYellow card · Foul
    63’
  7. ⇄ G. RaspadoriFor N. Zalewski
    63’
  8. ⇄ M. PašalićFor Éderson
    63’
  9. ⇄ Al MusratiFor R. Gagliardini
    66’
  10. ⇄ T. SuslovFor A. Harroui
    66’
  11. ⇄ I. HienFor S. Kolašinac
    76’
  12. ⇄ Y. MusahFor C. De Ketelaere
    76’
  13. ⇄ A. SarrFor K. Bowie
    78’
  14. I. HienYellow card · Holding
    83’
  15. ⇄ A. BernedeFor J. Akpa Akpro
    85’
  16. ⇄ L. SamardžićFor M. de Roon
    88’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Atalanta12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Verona12 shots · 5 in box, 7 outside
AtalantaVerona
60% Possession 40%
1.02 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
1.28 Expected points (xPts) 1.42
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 7
531 Passes 343
83% Pass accuracy 79%
2 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.15 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

297.2 M. Carnesecchi(G)
237.3 S. Kolašinac ↓76’ 197.3 B. Djimsiti 426.6 G. Scalvini
476.9 L. Bernasconi 136.9 Éderson ↓63’ 157.2 M. de Roon ↓88’ 777.9★ D. Zappacosta
596.9 N. Zalewski ↓63’ 177.6 C. De Ketelaere ↓76’
907.3 N. Krstović
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)7.2
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓76’7.3
  • 19B. Djimsiti7.3
  • 42G. Scalvini6.6
  • 47L. Bernasconi6.9
  • 13Éderson↓63’6.9
  • 15M. de Roon↓88’7.2
  • 77D. Zappacosta ★7.9
  • 59N. Zalewski↓63’6.9
  • 17C. De Ketelaere↓76’7.6
  • 90N. Krstović7.3

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Pašalić↑63’6.3
  • 18G. Raspadori↑63’6.7
  • 4I. Hien↑76’6.7
  • 6Y. Musah↑76’6.9
  • 10L. Samardžić↑88’

Unused: F. Rossi, M. Sportiello, K. Kossounou, H. Ahanor, M. Bakker, R. Bellanova, K. Sulemana

Verona 3-5-2

16.9 L. Montipò(G)
67.2 N. Valentini 55.6 A. Edmundsson 157.0 V. Nelsson
37.3 M. Frese ↓46’ 216.5 A. Harroui ↓66’ 636.9 R. Gagliardini ↓66’ 117.9 J. Akpa Akpro ↓85’ 76.7 R. Belghali
166.0 G. Orban 186.7 K. Bowie ↓78’
  • 1L. Montipò (G)6.9
  • 6N. Valentini7.2
  • 5A. Edmundsson5.6
  • 15V. Nelsson7.0
  • 3M. Frese↓46’7.3
  • 21A. Harroui↓66’6.5
  • 63R. Gagliardini↓66’6.9
  • 11J. Akpa Akpro↓85’7.9
  • 7R. Belghali6.7
  • 16G. Orban6.0
  • 18K. Bowie↓78’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2D. Oyegoke↑46’6.3
  • 73Al Musrati↑66’6.9
  • 10T. Suslov↑66’6.7
  • 24A. Bernede↑85’
  • 9A. Sarr↑78’6.7

Unused: G. Toniolo, S. Perilli, Pol Lirola, T. Slotsager, Fallou Cham, C. Niasse, D. Mosquera, Isaac

Coach: Paolo Sammarco

Player stats

Top rated
D. ZappacostaAtalanta7.9
2nd
J. Akpa AkproVerona7.9
3rd
C. De KetelaereAtalanta7.6

Atalanta

Verona

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.