Bundesliga Gameweek 16 Sat, Jan 10 2026 · 17:30 BayArena, Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
1–4 Full time · HT 0–4 xG 1.92 – 2.60
VfB Stuttgart
  • Álex Grimaldo 66’ (P)
  • 7’, 45’ J. Leweling
  • 29’ (P) M. Mittelstädt
  • 45+2’ D. Undav
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart cruise past Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen entered as favourites, but VfB Stuttgart won 4–1 through goals from Leweling, Mittelstädt and Undav. Bayer Leverkusen replied through a Grimaldo goal. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (2.60 vs 1.92). On the chances created, Bayer Leverkusen deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Bayer Leverkusen58%
Draw22%
VfB Stuttgart ✓20%

Model vs reality

Bayer Leverkusen goals
1
Model 2.02 · xG 1.92
VfB Stuttgart goals
4
Model 1.12 · xG 2.60
Total goals
5
Model 3.14 · xG 4.52
Score 1–4
1%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. NübelVfB Stuttgart
8.3
  • RefereeFelix Zwayer
  • VenueBayArena
  • Table before kick-offBayer Leverkusen 3rd · VfB Stuttgart 6th

Timeline

  1. J. Leweling 0–1Assist D. Undav
    7’
  2. M. Mittelstädt (pen) 0–2
    29’
  3. J. LewelingYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    38’
  4. M. FlekkenYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    38’
  5. J. Leweling 0–3Assist D. Undav
    45’
  6. D. Undav 0–4Assist C. Führich
    45+2’
  7. Half time · 0–4
  8. ⇄ E. PokuFor N. Tella
    46’
  9. ⇄ L. BadéFor J. Belocian
    46’
  10. Álex Grimaldo (pen) 1–4
    66’
  11. ⇄ Alejo SarcoFor M. Terrier
    66’
  12. ⇄ J. HofmannFor E. Fernández
    66’
  13. L. BadéYellow card · Holding
    70’
  14. ⇄ Finn JeltschFor C. Führich
    72’
  15. Finn JeltschYellow card · Holding
    77’
  16. Álex GrimaldoYellow card · Tripping
    79’
  17. ⇄ L. AssignonFor J. Vagnoman
    79’
  18. ⇄ Jeremy ArevaloFor J. Leweling
    79’
  19. Aleix GarcíaYellow card · Roughing
    80’
  20. ⇄ Lucas VázquezFor Álex Grimaldo
    82’
  21. ⇄ E. DemirovićFor D. Undav
    89’
  22. ⇄ Chema AndrésFor N. Nartey
    89’
  23. Full time · 1–4

Team stats

Bayer Leverkusen16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
VfB Stuttgart10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
58% Possession 42%
1.92 Expected goals (xG) 2.60
1.04 Expected points (xPts) 1.77
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 7
8 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 4
549 Passes 390
88% Pass accuracy 82%
5 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.59 Team rating 7.22

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

16.2 M. Flekken(G)
445.5 J. Belocian ↓46’ 86.3 R. Andrich 46.6 J. Quansah
206.9 Álex Grimaldo ↓82’ 66.9 E. Fernández ↓66’ 246.3 Aleix García 135.9 Arthur
237.2 N. Tella ↓46’ 107.5 M. Tillman
116.9 M. Terrier ↓66’
  • 1M. Flekken (G)6.2
  • 44J. Belocian↓46’5.5
  • 8R. Andrich6.3
  • 4J. Quansah6.6
  • 20Álex Grimaldo↓82’6.9
  • 6E. Fernández↓66’6.9
  • 24Aleix García6.3
  • 13Arthur5.9
  • 23N. Tella↓46’7.2
  • 10M. Tillman7.5
  • 11M. Terrier↓66’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 5L. Badé↑46’6.6
  • 19E. Poku↑46’6.9
  • 21Lucas Vázquez↑82’
  • 18Alejo Sarco↑66’6.7
  • 7J. Hofmann↑66’6.6

Unused: N. Lomb, J. Blaswich, Montrell Amare Culbreath

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

338.3★ A. Nübel(G)
77.7 M. Mittelstädt 246.3 J. Chabot 36.6 R. Hendriks 46.6 J. Vagnoman ↓79’
67.2 A. Stiller 166.5 A. Karazor
107.2 C. Führich A↓72’ 286.9 N. Nartey ↓89’ 188.3 J. Leweling ↓79’
268.2 D. Undav AA↓89’
  • 33A. Nübel (G) ★8.3
  • 7M. Mittelstädt7.7
  • 24J. Chabot6.3
  • 3R. Hendriks6.6
  • 4J. Vagnoman↓79’6.6
  • 6A. Stiller7.2
  • 16A. Karazor6.5
  • 10C. FührichA↓72’7.2
  • 28N. Nartey↓89’6.9
  • 18J. Leweling↓79’8.3
  • 26D. UndavA×2↓89’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 29Finn Jeltsch↑72’6.7
  • 22L. Assignon↑79’6.7
  • 30Chema Andrés↑89’
  • 9E. Demirović↑89’
  • 25Jeremy Arevalo↑79’6.3

Unused: F. Bredlow, P. Stenzel, L. Stergiou, B. Bouanani

Player stats

Top rated
A. NübelVfB Stuttgart8.3
2nd
J. LewelingVfB Stuttgart8.3
3rd
D. UndavVfB Stuttgart8.2

Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Flekken G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 89% 28 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
J. Belocian D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 33 1 0 0/0 1/1 5.5
R. Andrich M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 73 1 3 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Quansah D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 80 0 1 2/2 0/0 6.6
Álex Grimaldo D 82 1 0 3 (2) 0 90% 58 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
E. Fernández M 66 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 43 2 0 1/1 2/3 6.9
Aleix García M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 78 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Arthur D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 77% 31 0 7 1/5 2/0 5.9
N. Tella M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 13 2 0 1/1 0/1 7.2
M. Tillman M 90 0 0 2 (0) 2 86% 37 1 1 0/0 1/2 7.5
M. Terrier F 66 0 0 3 (1) 1 84% 19 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
L. Badé D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 27 2 3 1/1 2/0 6.6
E. Poku F 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 73% 11 0 1 1/2 0/1 6.9
Lucas Vázquez M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Alejo Sarco F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
J. Hofmann M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 74% 31 0 0 0/0 0/1 8.3
M. Mittelstädt D 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 71% 35 5 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 52 1 3 0/0 3/1 6.3
R. Hendriks D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 43 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Vagnoman D 79 0 0 2 (2) 0 90% 21 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.6
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 52 1 1 0/1 1/2 7.2
A. Karazor M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 37 1 2 0/1 1/0 6.5
C. Führich M 72 0 1 0 (0) 2 79% 38 0 0 0/1 0/1 7.2
N. Nartey M 89 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 23 2 0 2/4 1/2 6.9
J. Leweling F 79 2 0 2 (2) 1 71% 14 0 2 0/0 2/1 8.3
D. Undav F 89 1 2 4 (2) 2 86% 14 0 2 0/0 1/1 8.2
Finn Jeltsch D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
L. Assignon D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.7
Chema Andrés M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
E. Demirović F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Jeremy Arevalo F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.