Bundesliga Gameweek 14 Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 16:30 Allianz Arena, München
Bayern München
2–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 4.24 – 0.60
FSV Mainz 05
  • Lennart Karl 29’
  • H. Kane 87’ (P)
  • 45+2’ K. Potulski
  • 67’ J. Lee
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayern München snatch a late draw

Bayern München entered as clear favourites, yet FSV Mainz 05 led 2–1 after 67 minutes through goals from Potulski and Lee. But Kane scored to rescue a draw for Bayern München. Bayern München finished with the higher xG (4.24 vs 0.60). On the chances created, Bayern München deserved more: 2.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Bayern München87%
Draw ✓9%
FSV Mainz 054%

Model vs reality

Bayern München goals
2
Model 3.34 · xG 4.24
FSV Mainz 05 goals
2
Model 0.67 · xG 0.60
Total goals
4
Model 4.01 · xG 4.84
Score 2–2
2%
Most likely 3–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 76%
Both scored
Yes
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. OliseBayern München
8.3
  • RefereeRobin Braun
  • VenueAllianz Arena
  • Table before kick-offBayern München 1st · FSV Mainz 05 18th

Timeline

  1. Lennart Karl 1–0Assist S. Gnabry
    29’
  2. K. Potulski 1–1Assist W. Bøving
    45+2’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. D. da CostaYellow card · Tripping
    50’
  5. ⇄ A. DaviesFor H. Ito
    61’
  6. ⇄ K. LaimerFor T. Bischof
    61’
  7. ⇄ A. PavlovićFor L. Goretzka
    61’
  8. ⇄ A. NordinFor Sota Kawasaki
    62’
  9. J. Lee 1–2Assist S. Bell
    67’
  10. ⇄ N. JacksonFor M. Kim
    73’
  11. K. LaimerYellow card
    77’
  12. ⇄ N. WeiperFor B. Hollerbach
    78’
  13. A. DaviesYellow card · Foul
    83’
  14. K. PotulskiYellow card · Holding
    85’
  15. H. Kane (pen) 2–2
    87’
  16. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Bayern München24 shots · 20 in box, 4 outside
FSV Mainz 055 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Bayern MünchenFSV Mainz 05
85% Possession 15%
4.24 Expected goals (xG) 0.60
2.84 Expected points (xPts) 0.10
24 Shots 5
11 Shots on target 2
7 Shots off target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
20 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 2
958 Passes 174
91% Pass accuracy 59%
6 Corners 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Fouls 8
6 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.08 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

16.5 M. Neuer(G)
206.2 T. Bischof ↓61’ 216.6 H. Ito ↓61’ 36.9 M. Kim ↓73’ 446.9 J. Stanišić
86.6 L. Goretzka ↓61’ 67.6 J. Kimmich
77.9 S. Gnabry A 427.5 Lennart Karl 178.3★ M. Olise
97.0 H. Kane
  • 1M. Neuer (G)6.5
  • 20T. Bischof↓61’6.2
  • 21H. Ito↓61’6.6
  • 3M. Kim↓73’6.9
  • 44J. Stanišić6.9
  • 8L. Goretzka↓61’6.6
  • 6J. Kimmich7.6
  • 7S. GnabryA7.9
  • 42Lennart Karl7.5
  • 17M. Olise ★8.3
  • 9H. Kane7.0

Substitutes used

  • 27K. Laimer↑61’6.2
  • 19A. Davies↑61’6.2
  • 45A. Pavlović↑61’6.9
  • 11N. Jackson↑73’6.3

Unused: J. Urbig, J. Tah, R. Guerreiro, D. Upamecano, Cassiano Kiala

FSV Mainz 05 5-4-1

337.9 D. Batz(G)
225.9 N. Veratschnig 487.7 K. Potulski 166.7 S. Bell A 216.2 D. da Costa 247.0 Sota Kawasaki ↓62’
77.2 J. Lee 66.7 K. Sano 156.5 L. Maloney 147.5 W. Bøving A
176.2 B. Hollerbach ↓78’
  • 33D. Batz (G)7.9
  • 22N. Veratschnig5.9
  • 48K. Potulski7.7
  • 16S. BellA6.7
  • 21D. da Costa6.2
  • 24Sota Kawasaki↓62’7.0
  • 7J. Lee7.2
  • 6K. Sano6.7
  • 15L. Maloney6.5
  • 14W. BøvingA7.5
  • 17B. Hollerbach↓78’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 9A. Nordin↑62’6.7
  • 44N. Weiper↑78’6.3

Unused: L. Rieß, A. Hanche-Olsen, K. Schopp, Daniel Gleiber, Fabio Moreno Fell, B. Bobzien, A. Sieb

Player stats

Top rated
M. OliseBayern München8.3
2nd
S. GnabryBayern München7.9
3rd
D. BatzFSV Mainz 057.9

Bayern München

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Neuer G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 93% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
T. Bischof M 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 58 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
H. Ito D 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 102 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.6
M. Kim D 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 118 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Stanišić D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 95% 94 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Goretzka M 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 68 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
J. Kimmich M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 93% 160 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
S. Gnabry F 90 0 1 5 (3) 2 91% 70 1 0 3/7 1/0 7.9
Lennart Karl M 90 1 0 2 (2) 2 90% 49 1 0 0/1 0/1 7.5
M. Olise M 90 0 0 1 (1) 5 88% 77 0 0 3/5 2/3 8.3
H. Kane F 90 1 0 7 (5) 1 60% 15 0 0 0/0 0/2 7.0
K. Laimer M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 24 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
A. Davies D 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 21 0 0 1/4 0/0 6.2
A. Pavlović M 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
N. Jackson F 17 0 0 2 (0) 1 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Batz G 90 0 0 8 sv 0 44% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
N. Veratschnig D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 38% 16 0 4 0/0 3/2 5.9
K. Potulski D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 85% 13 1 2 0/0 1/0 7.7
S. Bell D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 71% 14 1 1 1/1 0/0 6.7
D. da Costa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
Sota Kawasaki M 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 8 5 2 0/1 1/1 7.0
J. Lee M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 58% 12 1 2 0/0 0/1 7.2
K. Sano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 16 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Maloney D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 50% 10 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
W. Bøving M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 91% 11 3 0 0/0 1/1 7.5
B. Hollerbach F 78 0 0 0 (0) 0 53% 15 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.2
A. Nordin F 28 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 6 2 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
N. Weiper F 12 0 0 0 (0) 1 33% 6 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.