Bundesliga Gameweek 30 Sun, Apr 19 2026 · 16:30 Allianz Arena, München
Bayern München
4–2 Full time · HT 3–1 xG 4.13 – 1.14
VfB Stuttgart
  • R. Guerreiro 31’
  • N. Jackson 33’
  • A. Davies 37’
  • H. Kane 52’
  • 21’ C. Führich
  • 89’ Chema Andrés
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayern München come from behind to beat VfB Stuttgart

Bayern München entered as clear favourites, yet VfB Stuttgart led 1–0 after 21 minutes through a Führich goal. But Guerreiro, Jackson, Davies and Kane scored to turn it around for Bayern München, who won 4–2. Bayern München finished with the higher xG (4.13 vs 1.14).

Bayern München ✓78%
Draw12%
VfB Stuttgart10%

Model vs reality

Bayern München goals
4
Model 3.50 · xG 4.13
VfB Stuttgart goals
2
Model 1.30 · xG 1.14
Total goals
6
Model 4.80 · xG 5.27
Score 4–2
4%
Most likely 3–1 (8%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 86%
Both scored
Yes
Model 71%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. KimmichBayern München
8.2
  • RefereeSören Storks
  • VenueAllianz Arena
  • Table before kick-offBayern München 1st · VfB Stuttgart 4th

Timeline

  1. C. Führich 0–1Assist B. El Khannouss
    21’
  2. R. Guerreiro 1–1Assist J. Musiala
    31’
  3. N. Jackson 2–1Assist L. Díaz
    33’
  4. A. Davies 3–1Assist L. Díaz
    37’
  5. Half time · 3–1
  6. ⇄ L. JaquezFor Finn Jeltsch
    46’
  7. ⇄ H. KaneFor J. Musiala
    46’
  8. ⇄ M. OliseFor L. Díaz
    46’
  9. H. Kane 4–1
    52’
  10. ⇄ K. LaimerFor A. Davies
    62’
  11. ⇄ M. MittelstädtFor C. Führich
    66’
  12. ⇄ Chema AndrésFor A. Stiller
    66’
  13. ⇄ E. DemirovićFor J. Leweling
    76’
  14. ⇄ B. NdiayeFor R. Guerreiro
    76’
  15. ⇄ B. BouananiFor Tiago Tomás
    85’
  16. ⇄ Deniz OfliFor J. Stanišić
    85’
  17. Chema Andrés 4–2Assist A. Karazor
    89’
  18. Full time · 4–2

Team stats

Bayern München28 shots · 22 in box, 6 outside
VfB Stuttgart9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
67% Possession 33%
4.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.14
2.67 Expected points (xPts) 0.24
28 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 1
11 Blocked shots 3
22 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 3
654 Passes 315
92% Pass accuracy 80%
11 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Fouls 3
6 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.16 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

407.2 J. Urbig(G)
197.7 A. Davies ↓62’ 216.9 H. Ito 36.9 M. Kim 446.2 J. Stanišić ↓85’
86.5 L. Goretzka 68.2★ J. Kimmich
147.9 L. Díaz AA↓46’ 107.5 J. Musiala A↓46’ 227.0 R. Guerreiro ↓76’
117.5 N. Jackson
  • 40J. Urbig (G)7.2
  • 19A. Davies↓62’7.7
  • 21H. Ito6.9
  • 3M. Kim6.9
  • 44J. Stanišić↓85’6.2
  • 8L. Goretzka6.5
  • 6J. Kimmich ★8.2
  • 14L. DíazA×2↓46’7.9
  • 10J. MusialaA↓46’7.5
  • 22R. Guerreiro↓76’7.0
  • 11N. Jackson7.5

Substitutes used

  • 27K. Laimer↑62’6.7
  • 34Deniz Ofli↑85’
  • 17M. Olise↑46’7.3
  • 39B. Ndiaye↑76’6.3
  • 9H. Kane↑46’7.3

Unused: M. Neuer, J. Tah, D. Upamecano, A. Pavlović

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

336.0 A. Nübel(G)
36.0 R. Hendriks 247.3 J. Chabot 295.9 Finn Jeltsch ↓46’ 45.7 J. Vagnoman
66.9 A. Stiller ↓66’ 167.9 A. Karazor A
187.0 J. Leweling ↓76’ 107.5 C. Führich ↓66’ 117.3 B. El Khannouss A
86.2 Tiago Tomás ↓85’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.0
  • 3R. Hendriks6.0
  • 24J. Chabot7.3
  • 29Finn Jeltsch↓46’5.9
  • 4J. Vagnoman5.7
  • 6A. Stiller↓66’6.9
  • 16A. KarazorA7.9
  • 18J. Leweling↓76’7.0
  • 10C. Führich↓66’7.5
  • 11B. El KhannoussA7.3
  • 8Tiago Tomás↓85’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 7M. Mittelstädt↑66’7.0
  • 14L. Jaquez↑46’6.6
  • 30Chema Andrés↑66’7.7
  • 27B. Bouanani↑85’
  • 9E. Demirović↑76’6.3

Unused: F. Bredlow, D. Zagadou, N. Nartey, L. Assignon

Player stats

Top rated
J. KimmichBayern München8.2
2nd
L. DíazBayern München7.9
3rd
A. KarazorVfB Stuttgart7.9

Bayern München

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
J. Urbig G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 78% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
A. Davies D 62 1 0 1 (1) 1 96% 28 0 0 3/4 0/0 7.7
H. Ito D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 80 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Kim D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 96% 75 1 3 0/0 1/0 6.9
J. Stanišić D 85 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 45 0 2 0/0 2/0 6.2
L. Goretzka M 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 89% 71 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Kimmich M 90 0 0 2 (0) 4 98% 112 1 2 1/1 0/0 8.2
L. Díaz F 46 0 2 1 (0) 3 88% 25 0 2 0/1 1/0 7.9
J. Musiala F 46 0 1 1 (0) 2 80% 15 0 0 2/6 1/0 7.5
R. Guerreiro D 76 1 0 2 (1) 4 89% 38 0 0 0/3 0/1 7.0
N. Jackson F 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 88% 34 0 0 1/5 0/0 7.5
K. Laimer M 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 16 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Deniz Ofli 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
M. Olise M 44 0 0 3 (2) 3 86% 43 0 1 0/1 0/2 7.3
B. Ndiaye M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
H. Kane F 44 1 0 2 (1) 0 95% 20 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 45% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
R. Hendriks D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 22 3 1 0/0 0/0 6.0
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 20 4 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
Finn Jeltsch D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 15 1 1 0/0 0/1 5.9
J. Vagnoman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 21 1 0 0/0 0/1 5.7
A. Stiller M 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 42 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
A. Karazor M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 94% 33 5 1 2/2 1/1 7.9
J. Leweling F 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 20 2 0 2/3 0/1 7.0
C. Führich M 66 1 0 2 (2) 1 80% 20 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.5
B. El Khannouss M 90 0 1 2 (2) 2 81% 37 1 1 1/1 1/0 7.3
Tiago Tomás F 85 0 0 1 (0) 0 56% 16 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Mittelstädt D 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 46% 13 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
L. Jaquez D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Chema Andrés M 24 1 0 1 (1) 1 91% 11 0 1 0/0 1/0 7.7
B. Bouanani M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
E. Demirović F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.