Primeira Liga Gameweek 15 Mon, Dec 22 2025 · 20:45 Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.11 – 0.21
  • V. Pavlidis 34’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Pavlidis goal decides it for Benfica

Benfica entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Pavlidis goal. Benfica finished with the higher xG (1.11 vs 0.21).

Benfica ✓69%
Draw20%
Famalicao12%

Model vs reality

Benfica goals
1
Model 2.16 · xG 1.11
Famalicao goals
0
Model 0.77 · xG 0.21
Total goals
1
Model 2.93 · xG 1.32
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. OtamendiBenfica
7.6
  • RefereeAndre Filipe Domingues Narciso
  • VenueEstádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz)
  • Table before kick-offBenfica 3rd · Famalicao 6th

Timeline

  1. J. de HaasYellow card · Roughing
    34’
  2. V. Pavlidis (pen) 1–0
    34’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ António SilvaFor Tomás Araújo
    56’
  5. ⇄ S. ElisorFor M. De Amorim
    69’
  6. ⇄ A. JoujouFor Rafa Soares
    69’
  7. ⇄ R. BeneyFor Sorriso
    80’
  8. ⇄ F. IvanovićFor V. Pavlidis
    81’
  9. ⇄ Rodrigo RegoFor H. Sudakov
    81’
  10. ⇄ ManuFor G. Prestianni
    87’
  11. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Benfica9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Famalicao4 shots · 2 in box, 2 outside
BenficaFamalicao
56% Possession 44%
1.11 Expected goals (xG) 0.21
2.12 Expected points (xPts) 0.54
9 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
6 Shots inside the box 2
3 Shots outside the box 2
502 Passes 396
85% Pass accuracy 84%
5 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.10 Team rating 6.58

Line-ups

Benfica 4-2-3-1

17.2 A. Trubin(G)
267.2 S. Dahl 307.6★ N. Otamendi 447.3 Tomás Araújo ↓56’ 176.9 A. Dedić
56.9 E. Barrenechea 207.3 Richard Ríos
107.3 H. Sudakov ↓81’ 86.9 F. Aursnes 257.0 G. Prestianni ↓87’
146.7 V. Pavlidis ↓81’
  • 1A. Trubin (G)7.2
  • 26S. Dahl7.2
  • 30N. Otamendi ★7.6
  • 44Tomás Araújo↓56’7.3
  • 17A. Dedić6.9
  • 5E. Barrenechea6.9
  • 20Richard Ríos7.3
  • 10H. Sudakov↓81’7.3
  • 8F. Aursnes6.9
  • 25G. Prestianni↓87’7.0
  • 14V. Pavlidis↓81’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 4António Silva↑56’6.9
  • 9F. Ivanović↑81’6.7
  • 67Rodrigo Rego↑81’6.6
  • 16Manu↑87’

Unused: Diogo Ferreira, Rafael Obrador, Tiago Freitas, João Rêgo, A. Schjelderup

Famalicao 4-2-3-1

257.6 L. Carević(G)
56.3 Rafa Soares ↓69’ 166.0 J. de Haas 36.6 L. Realpe 177.0 Rodrigo Pinheiro
146.0 M. De Amorim ↓69’ 66.9 T. van de Looi
76.5 Sorriso ↓80’ 207.0 Gustavo Sá 235.9 Gil Dias
216.5 M. Zabiri
  • 25L. Carević (G)7.6
  • 5Rafa Soares↓69’6.3
  • 16J. de Haas6.0
  • 3L. Realpe6.6
  • 17Rodrigo Pinheiro7.0
  • 14M. De Amorim↓69’6.0
  • 6T. van de Looi6.9
  • 7Sorriso↓80’6.5
  • 20Gustavo Sá7.0
  • 23Gil Dias5.9
  • 21M. Zabiri6.5

Substitutes used

  • 77A. Joujou↑69’6.3
  • 12S. Elisor↑69’6.3
  • 18R. Beney↑80’6.5

Unused: I. Zlobin, Gustavo Garcia, I. Ba, O. Mamageishvili, Marcos Peña, Pedro Santos

Player stats

Top rated
N. OtamendiBenfica7.6
2nd
L. CarevićFamalicao7.6
3rd
Tomás AraújoBenfica7.3

Benfica

Famalicao

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.