Besiktas vs Rizespor – 20 Dec 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 20 · 16:00 Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul

Besiktas 5th · 15 pts · 8 played WWLWL

VS— Compare

Rizespor 12th · 10 pts · 8 played LWDLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel970 kmRest days6 · 7.1Matches / 14d2 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Besiktas—%

Draw—%

Rizespor—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 5 Dec

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Besiktas

Rizespor

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 22

60 AttackIn forecast 22

48 DefenceIn forecast 35

62 Form indexContext 17

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Rizespor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Besiktas

Rizespor

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.25 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38

1.70 xGVia Att/Def 1.27

1.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.90

+0.30 Goals minus xGContext -0.27

75% Scored inContext 63%

25% Clean sheetsContext 25%

16.57 ShotsContext 15.00

6.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.75

37% On target shareContext 32%

9.29 Shots in the boxContext 8.00

56% Box shareContext 57%

11% ConversionContext 7%

3.43 OffsidesContext 1.67

9.57 Shots allowedContext 13.50

4.43 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.25

3.40 BlocksContext 4.43

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.13

68% Save rateContext 74%

61% PossessionIn forecast 54%

488 PassesContext 434

422 Accurate passesContext 367

87% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.98 Team ratingContext 6.83

13.71 FoulsContext 10.25

15.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.25

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

2.06 xGVia Att/Def 1.36

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.03

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext -0.36

70% Scored inContext 60%

10% Clean sheetsContext 20%

16.75 ShotsContext 15.50

6.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.70

37% On target shareContext 30%

10.88 Shots in the boxContext 8.80

64% Box shareContext 59%

14% ConversionContext 7%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.71

11.25 Shots allowedContext 14.10

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.80

3.38 BlocksContext 4.44

2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.40

64% Save rateContext 71%

59% PossessionIn forecast 54%

481 PassesContext 433

410 Accurate passesContext 367

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.97 Team ratingContext 6.81

11.44 FoulsContext 9.90

15.22 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Besiktas WLWWL

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km5,734 km in 14d

Schedule load10%Low

Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Rizespor LWDLL

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel970 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -2.5 vs expected

L16 OctA · Çorum FK1–21.0 xPts
L10 OctH · Fenerbahce0–30.9 xPts
D20 SepA · Goztepe2–21.3 xPts
W12 SepA · Eyüpspor2–01.5 xPts
L7 SepH · Alanyaspor0–11.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Besiktas	Rizespor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 10	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6Süper Lig 2026-2027, 14 Dec	7.1Süper Lig 2026-2027, 13 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	970 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	5,734 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 5	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	27.8	27.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý

28D. Vlahović

Rizespor Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Çorum FK (A) 1–2, 16 Oct

75Y. Fofana(G)

17Z. Ariss 93M. Sagnan 21S. Bakayoko 54M. Pala

14T. Antalyalı

7V. Mihăilă 20Q. Laçi 10I. Olawoyin 11A. Awokoya-Mebude

9A. Sowe

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Rizespor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Besiktas · Home 3.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 4-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 0.75

Rizespor · Away 2.00points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 3-1-1
Scored: 1.60
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Besiktas	Rizespor
Fenerbahce	W 2–1 A	L 0–3 H
Çorum FK	W 6–2 H	L 1–2 A
Alanyaspor	L 0–1 A	L 0–1 H
Eyüpspor	W 1–0 H	W 2–0 A
Points	9 of 12 · 2.25 per game	3 of 12 · 0.75 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

3 Besiktas wins2 draws1 Rizespor wins

Goals per game2.00 – 1.17 Over 2.567% Both scored67% Clean sheets33% · 0%

15 May 2026Rizespor2–2Besiktas
20 Dec 2025Besiktas1–0Rizespor
25 May 2025Besiktas1–2Rizespor
3 Jan 2025Rizespor1–1Besiktas
3 May 2024Besiktas3–2Rizespor
9 Jan 2024Rizespor0–4Besiktas

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Besiktas	Rizespor
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	1.25	1.38
Match goals	3.25	2.38
Over 1.5	75%	75%
Over 2.5	63%	50%
Over 3.5	25%	13%
Both teams scored	50%	38%
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Failed to score	25%	38%
Games	8	8

	Besiktas	Rizespor
Scored per game	2.20	1.00
Conceded per game	1.40	1.70
Match goals	3.60	2.70
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	60%
Over 3.5	40%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	40%
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Failed to score	30%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Besiktas	Rizespor	League
Corners
Corners won	6.71	5.43
Corners conceded	4.14	3.86
Match total	10.85	9.29	9.12
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	71% 5/7	29% 2/7
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	29% 2/7
Cards
Cards	2.50	1.88
Opponent cards	2.88	1.38
Match total	5.38	3.26	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	50% 4/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	25% 2/8

	Besiktas	Rizespor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.78	5.78
Corners conceded	4.44	3.67
Match total	10.22	9.45	9.12
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	33% 3/9
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.20	1.60
Opponent cards	2.60	1.40
Match total	4.80	3.00	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.