Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hamburger SV – 24 Aug 2025

Bundesliga Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 24 · 16:30 BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–0Full time

Hamburger SV

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Borussia Mönchengladbach were slight favourites.

Borussia Mönchengladbach were the stronger side on L90 Strength (45 vs 33). Borussia Mönchengladbach had ? days of rest, Hamburger SV ? and had to travel 357 km.

Away travel357 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0

Borussia Mönchengladbach52%

Draw24%

Hamburger SV24%

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.15

Borussia Mönchengladbach51%

Draw25%

Hamburger SV23%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.06

Borussia Mönchengladbach52%

Draw24%

Hamburger SV24%

Expected goals 1.80 – 1.14

Borussia Mönchengladbach44%

Draw26%

Hamburger SV30%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.29

Borussia Mönchengladbach51%

Draw25%

Hamburger SV24%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.08

Over 2.5 56% Both score 58% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Mönchengladbach)

No weather data yet

Referee · GermanySascha Stegemann

Cards per match 4.5
Penalties per match 0.16
Matches 76

Team strength

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Hamburger SV

45 L90 StrengthIn forecast 33

36 Current StrengthIn forecast 40

34 AttackIn forecast 37

21 DefenceIn forecast 43

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—

Defense risk—

Hamburger SV

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Hamburger SV

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

2.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def —

1.39 xGVia Att/Def —

1.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.31 Goals minus xGContext —

80% Scored inContext —

10% Clean sheetsContext —

12.10 ShotsContext —

4.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

36% On target shareContext —

8.80 Shots in the boxContext —

73% Box shareContext —

14% ConversionContext —

2.88 OffsidesContext —

20.30 Shots allowedContext —

6.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def —

6.30 BlocksContext —

5.11 Goalkeeper savesContext —

70% Save rateContext —

46% PossessionIn forecast —

413 PassesContext —

332 Accurate passesContext —

80% Pass accuracyContext —

6.94 Team ratingContext —

7.60 FoulsContext —

8.10 Fouls sufferedContext —

0.90 Yellow cardsContext —

0.00 Red cardsContext —

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 0 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Hamburger SV

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel357 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Hamburger SV
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	357 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	5.9	5.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

33M. Nicolas(G)

26L. Ullrich 2F. Chiarodia 30N. Elvedi 29J. Scally

16P. Sander 27R. Reitz

25R. Hack 7K. Stöger 9F. Honorat

15H. Tabaković

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Hamburger SV Confirmed XI

3-4-3

1D. Heuer Fernandes(G)

25J. Torunarigha 8Daniel Elfadli 17W. Omari

28M. Muheim 24N. Capaldo 21N. Remberg 16G. Gocholeishvili

38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit 11R. Königsdörffer 29E. Sahiti

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Hamburger SV Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Borussia Mönchengladbach-0.4 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Hamburger SV+0.4 pp

Home / Away this season

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home No home games yet this season.

Hamburger SV · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Hamburger SV	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.95
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	56%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	58%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Hamburger SV	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.95
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	56%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	58%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Hamburger SV	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	10.00
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	5.86
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Hamburger SV	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	4.00
Corners conceded	6.40	3.50
Match total	10.90	7.50	10.00
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	0% 0/2
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	1.00	0.00
Opponent cards	0.90	3.50
Match total	1.90	3.50	5.86
Over 3.5	10% 1/10	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/10	0% 0/2

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Sascha Stegemann Germany · 76 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.34league 5.38

Red cards0.18league 0.25

Cards 5+49%league 63%

Fouls23.2league 24.4

Penalties0.16league 0.50

Home wins36%league 38%

Borussia Mönchengladbach6 with this referee

Record1-2-3 Cards · opp.0.8 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L17 May 25H · VfL Wolfsburg0–10
L7 Mar 25H · FSV Mainz 051–30
D28 Apr 24H · Union Berlin0–02
D10 Feb 24H · SV Darmstadt 980–00
L15 Jan 22H · Bayer Leverkusen1–22

Hamburger SV

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.