Bundesliga Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 23 2025 · 14:30 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
2–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 0.50 – 1.52
  • Ilyas Ansah 18’, 45+4’
  • 86’ Tiago Tomás
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Union Berlin beat VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart entered as narrow favourites, but Union Berlin won 2–1 through two Ansah goals. VfB Stuttgart replied through a Tomás goal. Union Berlin won despite the lower xG; VfB Stuttgart created the better chances (1.52 vs 0.50). On the chances created, VfB Stuttgart deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Union Berlin ✓31%
Draw25%
VfB Stuttgart44%

Model vs reality

Union Berlin goals
2
Model 1.32 · xG 0.50
VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 1.62 · xG 1.52
Total goals
3
Model 2.94 · xG 2.02
Score 2–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchIlyas AnsahUnion Berlin · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeRobert Hartmann
  • VenueStadion An der Alten Försterei

Timeline

  1. Ilyas Ansah 1–0
    18’
  2. C. TrimmelYellow card · Tripping
    26’
  3. D. UndavYellow card · Tripping
    33’
  4. E. DemirovićYellow card · Roughing
    36’
  5. Ilyas Ansah 2–0Assist A. Ilić
    45+4’
  6. Half time · 2–0
  7. J. HabererYellow card · Foul
    50’
  8. J. VagnomanYellow card · Tripping
    52’
  9. R. KhediraYellow card · Holding
    58’
  10. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor E. Demirović
    65’
  11. ⇄ D. KöhnFor R. Skov
    67’
  12. ⇄ A. KrálFor J. Haberer
    67’
  13. ⇄ C. FührichFor J. Vagnoman
    71’
  14. ⇄ O. BurkeFor Ilyas Ansah
    76’
  15. A. IlićYellow card · Foul
    82’
  16. ⇄ R. HendriksFor J. Chabot
    82’
  17. ⇄ L. JovanovićFor A. Karazor
    82’
  18. J. LewelingYellow card · Holding
    83’
  19. ⇄ J. JuranovićFor C. Trimmel
    84’
  20. Tiago Tomás 2–1Assist C. Führich
    86’
  21. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Union Berlin8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
VfB Stuttgart20 shots · 13 in box, 7 outside
Union BerlinVfB Stuttgart
25% Possession 75%
0.50 Expected goals (xG) 1.52
0.61 Expected points (xPts) 2.13
8 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 9
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Shots inside the box 13
2 Shots outside the box 7
199 Passes 605
61% Pass accuracy 88%
5 Corners 11
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
21 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.16 Team rating 6.65

Line-ups

Union Berlin 5-3-2

18.3 F. Rønnow(G)
246.9 R. Skov ↓67’ 156.7 T. Rothe 146.7 L. Querfeld 57.5 D. Doekhi 287.0 C. Trimmel ↓84’
196.9 J. Haberer ↓67’ 86.9 R. Khedira 136.6 A. Schäfer
236.7 A. Ilić A 109.2★ Ilyas Ansah ↓76’
  • 1F. Rønnow (G)8.3
  • 24R. Skov↓67’6.9
  • 15T. Rothe6.7
  • 14L. Querfeld6.7
  • 5D. Doekhi7.5
  • 28C. Trimmel↓84’7.0
  • 19J. Haberer↓67’6.9
  • 8R. Khedira6.9
  • 13A. Schäfer6.6
  • 23A. IlićA6.7
  • 10Ilyas Ansah ★↓76’9.2

Substitutes used

  • 39D. Köhn↑67’6.2
  • 33A. Král↑67’6.6
  • 18J. Juranović↑84’
  • 7O. Burke↑76’6.5

Unused: Matheo Raab, A. Kemlein, W. Jeong, M. Ljubičić, T. Skarke

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

335.6 A. Nübel(G)
76.9 M. Mittelstädt 247.9 J. Chabot ↓82’ 146.9 L. Jaquez 45.9 J. Vagnoman ↓71’
66.9 A. Stiller 167.0 A. Karazor ↓82’
186.9 J. Leweling 266.3 D. Undav 116.3 N. Woltemade
96.0 E. Demirović ↓65’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)5.6
  • 7M. Mittelstädt6.9
  • 24J. Chabot↓82’7.9
  • 14L. Jaquez6.9
  • 4J. Vagnoman↓71’5.9
  • 6A. Stiller6.9
  • 16A. Karazor↓82’7.0
  • 18J. Leweling6.9
  • 26D. Undav6.3
  • 11N. Woltemade6.3
  • 9E. Demirović↓65’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 8Tiago Tomás↑65’7.7
  • 10C. FührichA↑71’7.0
  • 3R. Hendriks↑82’6.3
  • 45L. Jovanović↑82’6.5

Unused: F. Bredlow, P. Stenzel, Finn Jeltsch, Chema Andrés, N. Nartey

Player stats

Top rated
Ilyas AnsahUnion Berlin9.2
2nd
F. RønnowUnion Berlin8.3
3rd
J. ChabotVfB Stuttgart7.9

Union Berlin

VfB Stuttgart

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.