Brann vs Rangers – 23 Oct 2025

UEFA Europa League Matchday 3 Thu, Oct 23 · 17:45 Brann Stadion, Bergen

Brann 17th · 3 pts · 2 played LW

3–0Full time

Rangers 32nd · 0 pts · 2 played LL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Rangers were slight favourites.

Rangers were the stronger side on L90 Strength (36 vs 21). Brann had 21 days of rest, Rangers 20.9 and had to travel 754 km.

Away travel754 kmRest days21 · 20.9Matches / 14d0 · 0

Brann32%

Draw26%

Rangers42%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.53

Brann33%

Draw27%

Rangers40%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.42

Brann32%

Draw26%

Rangers41%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.51

Brann25%

Draw25%

Rangers50%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.72

Brann32%

Draw27%

Rangers41%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.44

Over 2.5 54% Both score 58% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Bergen)

No weather data yet

RefereeVassilis Fotias

Cards per match 4.9
Penalties per match 0.40
Matches 35

Team strength

Brann

Rangers

21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 36

21 Current StrengthIn forecast 40

21 AttackIn forecast 38

30 DefenceIn forecast 34

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Brann

Attack—

Defense risk—

Rangers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Brann

Rangers

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

0.79 xGVia Att/Def 1.43

1.10 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.30

+0.21 Goals minus xGContext -0.93

100% Scored inContext 50%

50% Clean sheetsContext 0%

11.50 ShotsContext 13.00

3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00

26% On target shareContext 46%

8.00 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

69% Box shareContext 75%

9% ConversionContext 4%

— OffsidesContext —

11.50 Shots allowedContext 17.00

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00

— BlocksContext 6.00

2.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.00

67% Save rateContext 83%

45% PossessionIn forecast 57%

410 PassesContext 451

317 Accurate passesContext 390

77% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.83 Team ratingContext 6.80

13.00 FoulsContext 13.00

8.50 Fouls sufferedContext 17.50

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 0.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.50

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

80% Scored inContext 60%

40% Clean sheetsContext 10%

11.17 ShotsContext 13.00

4.83 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67

43% On target shareContext 32%

6.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.50

56% Box shareContext 61%

15% ConversionContext 6%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.33

12.17 Shots allowedContext 14.10

4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.70

3.00 BlocksContext 3.56

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.80

65% Save rateContext 67%

52% PossessionIn forecast 56%

455 PassesContext 463

363 Accurate passesContext 391

80% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.73 Team ratingContext 6.80

12.67 FoulsContext 12.00

12.33 Fouls sufferedContext 13.80

2.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Brann

Rest21 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Rangers

Rest20.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel754 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Brann	Rangers
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	21UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 2 Oct	20.9UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 2 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	754 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 2	0 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	14.1	14.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Brann Confirmed XI

4-3-3

1M. Dyngeland(G)

20V. Dragsnes 26E. Helland 3F. Knudsen 21D. De Roeve

19E. Guðmundsson 18J. Sørensen 10E. Kornvig

11B. Finne 29N. Holm 14U. Mathisen

+6 more reported missing outside this XI

Rangers Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1J. Butland(G)

30J. Meghoma 24Y. Djiga 5J. Souttar 2J. Tavernier

43N. Raskin 6J. Rothwell

23D. Gassama 11Thelo Aasgaard 18O. Antman

9Youssef Chermiti

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Brann Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Rangers Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Brann-0.4 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Rangers+0.5 pp

Home / Away this season

Brann · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.00

Rangers · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Brann	Rangers	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.50
Conceded per game	1.00	1.50
Match goals	2.00	2.00	2.84
Over 1.5	50%	50%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	54%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	50%	58%
Clean sheets	50%	0%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	2	2

	Brann	Rangers	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.50
Conceded per game	1.00	1.50
Match goals	2.00	2.00	2.84
Over 1.5	50%	50%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	54%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	50%	58%
Clean sheets	50%	0%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	2	2

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Brann	Rangers	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	5.50
Corners conceded	7.00	2.50
Match total	11.00	8.00	9.33
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.00
Opponent cards	1.50	2.50
Match total	3.50	3.50	4.22
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2

	Brann	Rangers	League
Corners
Corners won	3.33	6.50
Corners conceded	5.33	4.60
Match total	8.66	11.10	9.33
Over 8.5	33% 2/6	90% 9/10
Over 9.5	33% 2/6	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	33% 2/6	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	2.80	2.00
Opponent cards	2.10	2.00
Match total	4.90	4.00	4.22
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Vassilis Fotias 35 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.60league 4.08

Red cards0.26league 0.14

Cards 5+54%league 42%

Fouls25.0league 25.7

Penalties0.40league 0.36

Home wins46%league 42%

Brann

No previous matches with this referee.

Rangers

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.