BSC Young Boys vs Panathinaikos – 25 Sep 2025

UEFA Europa League Matchday 1 Thu, Sep 25 · 20:00 Stadion Wankdorf, Bern

BSC Young Boys

1–4Full time

Panathinaikos

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

BSC Young Boys were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. BSC Young Boys had ? days of rest, Panathinaikos ? and had to travel 1,661 km.

Away travel1,661 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0

BSC Young Boys47%

Draw26%

Panathinaikos27%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.16

BSC Young Boys47%

Draw26%

Panathinaikos27%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13

BSC Young Boys47%

Draw26%

Panathinaikos27%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.16

BSC Young Boys40%

Draw27%

Panathinaikos33%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.30

BSC Young Boys47%

Draw26%

Panathinaikos27%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13

Over 2.5 53% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Bern)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainRicardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Cards per match 3.8
Penalties per match 0.23
Matches 31

Team strength

BSC Young Boys

Panathinaikos

45 L90 StrengthIn forecast 39

42 Current StrengthIn forecast 49

45 AttackIn forecast 48

36 DefenceIn forecast 50

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

BSC Young Boys

Attack—

Defense risk—

Panathinaikos

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

BSC Young Boys

Panathinaikos

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.70

2.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

0.65 xGVia Att/Def —

2.42 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.05 Goals minus xGContext —

50% Scored inContext 50%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

9.50 ShotsContext 12.88

2.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.63

26% On target shareContext 28%

5.63 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

59% Box shareContext 69%

7% ConversionContext 7%

2.43 OffsidesContext 3.75

17.20 Shots allowedContext 9.75

6.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50

6.22 BlocksContext 2.38

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.43

60% Save rateContext 63%

44% PossessionIn forecast 48%

353 PassesContext 403

284 Accurate passesContext 331

80% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.65 Team ratingContext 6.79

15.10 FoulsContext 12.13

10.10 Fouls sufferedContext 14.75

2.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

BSC Young Boys

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Panathinaikos

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel1,661 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	BSC Young Boys	Panathinaikos
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,661 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	6.9	6.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

BSC Young Boys Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1M. Keller(G)

3J. Hadjam 23L. Benito 4B. Zoukrou 17S. Janko

77J. Monteiro 6E. Fernandes 37A. Gigović 39D. Males

16C. Fassnacht 29C. Bedia

Panathinaikos Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

40A. Lafont(G)

25F. Mladenović 5A. Touba 15S. Ingason 27G. Kotsiras

8R. Luz Sanches 6E. Siopis

9A. Zaroury 11A. Bakasetas 10Tetê

19K. Świderski

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

BSC Young Boys Absences are shown before kick-off

Panathinaikos Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

BSC Young Boys+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Panathinaikos+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

BSC Young Boys · Home No home games yet this season.

Panathinaikos · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	BSC Young Boys	Panathinaikos	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.78
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	53%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	56%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	BSC Young Boys	Panathinaikos	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.78
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	53%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	56%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	BSC Young Boys	Panathinaikos	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	9.18
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	4.55
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	BSC Young Boys	Panathinaikos	League
Corners
Corners won	4.44	6.00
Corners conceded	7.11	4.25
Match total	11.55	10.25	9.18
Over 8.5	89% 8/9	88% 7/8
Over 9.5	78% 7/9	63% 5/8
Over 10.5	78% 7/9	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	2.80	2.60
Opponent cards	1.10	2.70
Match total	3.90	5.30	4.55
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea Spain · 31 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.55league 4.55

Red cards0.23league 0.00

Cards 5+29%league 55%

Fouls21.9league 25.2

Penalties0.23league 0.18

Home wins52%league 45%

BSC Young Boys

No previous matches with this referee.

Panathinaikos

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.