Cagliari vs Torino – 16 May 2027

Serie A Gameweek 36 Sun, May 16 · 17:30 Unipol Domus, Cagliari

Cagliari 7th · 13 pts · 7 played WWWDL

VS— Compare

Torino 10th · 10 pts · 7 played WLDWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel660 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Cagliari—%

Draw—%

Torino—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Cagliari)

Forecast from 1 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Trend Torino 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Cagliari

Torino

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

33 Current StrengthIn forecast 39

31 AttackIn forecast 39

31 DefenceIn forecast 47

72 Form indexContext 75

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Cagliari

Attack—

Defense risk—

Torino

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Cagliari

Torino

0.86 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.43

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.29

1.00 xGVia Att/Def 1.30

1.95 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.35

-0.14 Goals minus xGContext +0.13

71% Scored inContext 86%

43% Clean sheetsContext 14%

10.57 ShotsContext 9.29

4.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.14

38% On target shareContext 34%

6.57 Shots in the boxContext 5.71

60% Box shareContext 60%

8% ConversionContext 15%

3.00 OffsidesContext 4.00

19.57 Shots allowedContext 16.57

5.29 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.57

4.86 BlocksContext 4.14

4.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.40

81% Save rateContext 73%

41% PossessionIn forecast 51%

408 PassesContext 468

345 Accurate passesContext 396

85% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.98 Team ratingContext 6.71

10.43 FoulsContext 9.43

8.57 Fouls sufferedContext 12.57

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 0.86

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.31 xGVia Att/Def 1.35

1.82 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.52

-0.31 Goals minus xGContext +0.15

70% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

13.40 ShotsContext 10.30

5.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.30

35% On target shareContext 32%

8.50 Shots in the boxContext 6.40

61% Box shareContext 61%

8% ConversionContext 15%

2.75 OffsidesContext 3.25

17.10 Shots allowedContext 15.90

4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.70

4.10 BlocksContext 4.00

3.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.75

78% Save rateContext 67%

45% PossessionIn forecast 50%

429 PassesContext 454

365 Accurate passesContext 383

85% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.92 Team ratingContext 6.75

10.00 FoulsContext 10.00

9.30 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Cagliari WWWDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km2,717 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 72 · 10 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · +3.8 vs expected

L19 OctA · Monza0–41.4 xPts
D11 OctH · Juventus1–11.1 xPts
W19 SepA · Udinese1–01.2 xPts
W12 SepA · Atalanta2–10.8 xPts
W7 SepH · Lecce1–01.7 xPts

Torino WLDWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel660 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 75 · 10 pts vs 6.9 for an average club · +4.2 vs expected

W19 OctA · Parma3–01.4 xPts
W12 OctH · Udinese2–11.6 xPts
D19 SepA · Bologna1–10.9 xPts
L14 SepH · AS Roma0–20.7 xPts
W5 SepA · Fiorentina2–11.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Cagliari	Torino
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 9 May	7Serie A 2026-2027, 9 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	660 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,717 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Cagliari Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-1-2 · vs Monza (A) 0–4, 19 Oct

1E. Caprile(G)

33A. Obert 15J. Rodríguez 26Y. Mina 2Zé Pedro

4Alessandro Romano 6H. Winks 8M. Adopo

70D. Maldini

18M. Nzola 31Paul Mendy

Torino Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-1-2 · vs Parma (A) 3–0, 19 Oct

20Lucas Perri(G)

15P. Comuzzo 44A. Ismajli 23Saúl Coco

77Alessio Cacciamani 21Daniel Bragança 8R. Mandragora 45R. Belghali

10N. Vlašić

19C. Adams 18G. Simeone

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Cagliari Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Torino Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Cagliari · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 0.67
Conceded: 0.67

Torino · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 2-1-1
Scored: 1.75
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Cagliari	Torino
Udinese	W 1–0 A	W 2–1 H
Parma	W 1–0 A	W 3–0 A
Points	6 of 6 · 3.00 per game	6 of 6 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

4 Cagliari wins2 draws2 Torino wins

Goals per game1.38 – 1.25 Over 2.563% Both scored75% Clean sheets13% · 25%

17 May 2026Cagliari2–1Torino
27 Dec 2025Torino1–2Cagliari
24 Jan 2025Torino2–0Cagliari
20 Oct 2024Cagliari3–2Torino
26 Jan 2024Cagliari1–2Torino
21 Aug 2023Torino0–0Cagliari

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Cagliari	Torino
Scored per game	0.86	1.43
Conceded per game	1.00	1.29
Match goals	1.86	2.71
Over 1.5	43%	100%
Over 2.5	29%	71%
Over 3.5	14%	0%
Both teams scored	29%	71%
Clean sheets	43%	14%
Failed to score	29%	14%
Games	7	7

	Cagliari	Torino
Scored per game	1.00	1.50
Conceded per game	1.10	1.40
Match goals	2.10	2.90
Over 1.5	60%	100%
Over 2.5	40%	80%
Over 3.5	10%	10%
Both teams scored	40%	80%
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Failed to score	30%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Cagliari	Torino	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	3.29
Corners conceded	6.29	4.14
Match total	10.29	7.43	9.38
Over 8.5	71% 5/7	14% 1/7
Over 9.5	57% 4/7	0% 0/7
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	0% 0/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	0.86
Opponent cards	1.14	1.43
Match total	2.43	2.29	3.43
Over 3.5	14% 1/7	29% 2/7
Over 4.5	0% 0/7	14% 1/7

	Cagliari	Torino	League
Corners
Corners won	4.60	3.70
Corners conceded	5.40	4.40
Match total	10.00	8.10	9.38
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	20% 2/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	1.30	1.20
Opponent cards	1.30	1.50
Match total	2.60	2.70	3.43
Over 3.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	0% 0/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.