Como vs Atalanta – 16 May 2027

Serie A Gameweek 36 Sun, May 16 · 17:30 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Como 5th · 14 pts · 7 played WWLDW

VS— Compare

Atalanta 11th · 9 pts · 7 played LLLWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel47 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Como—%

Draw—%

Atalanta—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Como)

Forecast from 1 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Como

Atalanta

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

65 Current StrengthIn forecast 59

72 AttackIn forecast 48

67 DefenceIn forecast 45

50 Form indexContext 21

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Como

Attack—

Defense risk—

Atalanta

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Como

Atalanta

1.71 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.43

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.57

1.88 xGVia Att/Def 1.10

1.61 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.87

-0.17 Goals minus xGContext +0.33

71% Scored inContext 86%

14% Clean sheetsContext 14%

21.43 ShotsContext 13.14

6.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.57

32% On target shareContext 35%

13.43 Shots in the boxContext 8.83

62% Box shareContext 60%

8% ConversionContext 11%

2.67 OffsidesContext 2.00

14.71 Shots allowedContext 18.00

3.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.86

2.86 BlocksContext 5.17

2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.43

69% Save rateContext 76%

61% PossessionIn forecast 46%

588 PassesContext 475

527 Accurate passesContext 420

90% Pass accuracyContext 88%

7.01 Team ratingContext 6.80

8.29 FoulsContext 10.29

9.57 Fouls sufferedContext 8.43

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 0.86

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.14

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.88 xGVia Att/Def 1.06

1.41 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.63

+0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.34

80% Scored inContext 80%

10% Clean sheetsContext 10%

19.00 ShotsContext 13.10

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.78

34% On target shareContext 33%

12.10 Shots in the boxContext 8.67

63% Box shareContext 63%

12% ConversionContext 11%

3.20 OffsidesContext 2.20

13.60 Shots allowedContext 16.60

3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.90

2.70 BlocksContext 4.33

2.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.60

69% Save rateContext 78%

60% PossessionIn forecast 47%

571 PassesContext 472

513 Accurate passesContext 414

90% Pass accuracyContext 88%

6.97 Team ratingContext 6.79

9.70 FoulsContext 11.80

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 8.40

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Como WLDLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km512 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 50 · 7 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -1.9 vs expected

W18 OctA · Fiorentina3–11.8 xPts
L14 OctA · Feyenoord2–31.2 xPts
D11 OctH · AS Roma0–01.4 xPts
L20 SepA · Frosinone0–22.1 xPts
W14 SepH · Parma2–12.4 xPts

Atalanta LLLWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel47 km1,078 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 21 · 3 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · -3.6 vs expected

L18 OctA · AC Milan2–30.7 xPts
W12 OctH · Venezia3–12.4 xPts
L20 SepA · Juventus0–20.8 xPts
L12 SepH · Cagliari1–22.0 xPts
L5 SepA · AS Roma1–20.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Como	Atalanta
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 9 May	7Serie A 2026-2027, 9 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	47 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	512 km	1,078 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Como Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Fiorentina (A) 3–1, 18 Oct

1J. Butez(G)

3Álex Valle 2M. Kempf 99T. Chalobah 28I. Smolčić

7L. da Cunha 6Luis Milla

8M. Caqueret 10N. Paz 30M. Liberali

9A. Douvikas

Atalanta Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs AC Milan (A) 2–3, 18 Oct

29M. Carnesecchi(G)

47L. Bernasconi 23S. Kolašinac 31T. Kristensen 16R. Bellanova

8M. Pašalić 13Éderson 10L. Samardžić

11J. Rowe 90N. Krstović 17C. De Ketelaere

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Como Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Atalanta Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Como · Home 2.00points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.50

Atalanta · Away 0.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Como	Atalanta
AS Roma	D 0–0 H	L 1–2 A
Points	1 of 3 · 1.00 per game	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

1 Como wins2 draws1 Atalanta wins

Goals per game1.25 – 1.25 Over 2.550% Both scored75% Clean sheets25% · 25%

1 Feb 2026Como0–0Atalanta
4 Oct 2025Atalanta1–1Como
25 Jan 2025Como1–2Atalanta
24 Sep 2024Atalanta2–3Como

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Como	Atalanta
Scored per game	1.71	1.43
Conceded per game	1.00	1.57
Match goals	2.71	3.00
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	57%	71%
Over 3.5	29%	29%
Both teams scored	71%	71%
Clean sheets	14%	14%
Failed to score	29%	14%
Games	7	7

	Como	Atalanta
Scored per game	2.20	1.40
Conceded per game	1.20	1.50
Match goals	3.40	2.90
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	60%
Over 3.5	50%	30%
Both teams scored	80%	70%
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Failed to score	20%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Como	Atalanta	League
Corners
Corners won	7.29	3.43
Corners conceded	4.57	5.00
Match total	11.86	8.43	9.38
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	57% 4/7	29% 2/7
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	29% 2/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	1.00
Opponent cards	2.14	0.57
Match total	3.43	1.57	3.43
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	0% 0/7
Over 4.5	43% 3/7	0% 0/7

	Como	Atalanta	League
Corners
Corners won	5.70	3.00
Corners conceded	4.40	4.50
Match total	10.10	7.50	9.38
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	1.60	1.30
Opponent cards	2.70	0.80
Match total	4.30	2.10	3.43
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	10% 1/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.