Primeira Liga Gameweek 8 Fri, Oct 3 2025 · 20:15 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Casa Pia
2–2 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 1.11 – 1.28
Estoril
  • Kaique Rocha 28’
  • J. Livolant 45’
  • 14’ N. Lominadze
  • 84’ João Carvalho
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Casa Pia and Estoril share the points

Casa Pia entered as narrow favourites, yet Estoril led 1–0 after 14 minutes through a Lominadze goal. But Rocha and Livolant scored to rescue a draw for Casa Pia. The chances were even, with xG of 1.11 and 1.28.

Casa Pia44%
Draw ✓28%
Estoril29%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
2
Model 1.43 · xG 1.11
Estoril goals
2
Model 1.11 · xG 1.28
Total goals
4
Model 2.54 · xG 2.39
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. LivolantCasa Pia · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.7
  • RefereeLuis Carlos Mateus Filipe
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 14th · Estoril 15th

Timeline

  1. N. Lominadze 0–1Assist João Carvalho
    14’
  2. ⇄ Patrick de PaulaFor R. Guitane
    27’
  3. Kaique Rocha 1–1Assist J. Livolant
    28’
  4. Pedro CarvalhoYellow card
    34’
  5. Miguel SousaYellow card
    37’
  6. J. Livolant 2–1
    45’
  7. Half time · 2–1
  8. ⇄ Fabrício GarciaFor N. Lominadze
    46’
  9. ⇄ André LacximicantFor Pedro Carvalho
    46’
  10. ⇄ Y. BegraouiFor A. Marqués
    46’
  11. ⇄ Tiago ParenteFor Pedro Amaral
    51’
  12. João CarvalhoYellow card
    59’
  13. ⇄ Tiago MoraisFor Miguel Sousa
    63’
  14. ⇄ I. MohamedFor Renato Nhaga
    73’
  15. ⇄ CassianoFor Dailon Livramento
    73’
  16. Daniel AzevedoYellow card
    77’
  17. David SousaYellow card
    80’
  18. João Carvalho 2–2
    84’
  19. ⇄ João GoulartFor Kaique Rocha
    88’
  20. ⇄ Rafael BritoFor S. Pérez
    88’
  21. FerroYellow card
    90+1’
  22. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Casa Pia11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
Estoril10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Casa PiaEstoril
51% Possession 49%
1.11 Expected goals (xG) 1.28
1.24 Expected points (xPts) 1.49
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 2
386 Passes 374
78% Pass accuracy 72%
6 Corners 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.61

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

227.0 Daniel Azevedo(G)
436.5 David Sousa 66.2 José Fonte 277.2 Kaique Rocha ↓88’
186.9 André Geraldes 427.2 S. Pérez ↓88’ 746.3 Renato Nhaga ↓73’ 727.3 Gaizka Larrazabal
146.7 Miguel Sousa ↓63’ 106.2 Dailon Livramento ↓73’ 298.7★ J. Livolant A
  • 22Daniel Azevedo (G)7.0
  • 43David Sousa6.5
  • 6José Fonte6.2
  • 27Kaique Rocha↓88’7.2
  • 18André Geraldes6.9
  • 42S. Pérez↓88’7.2
  • 74Renato Nhaga↓73’6.3
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal7.3
  • 14Miguel Sousa↓63’6.7
  • 10Dailon Livramento↓73’6.2
  • 29J. Livolant ★A8.7

Substitutes used

  • 21Tiago Morais↑63’7.3
  • 24I. Mohamed↑73’6.7
  • 90Cassiano↑73’6.6
  • 4João Goulart↑88’
  • 8Rafael Brito↑88’

Unused: P. Sequeira, Y. Oukili, F. Benaissa-Yahia, Max Svensson

Estoril 3-4-3

16.9 Joel Robles(G)
47.0 Ferro 256.3 F. Bacher 445.3 K. Boma
246.3 Pedro Amaral ↓51’ 106.9 J. Holsgrove 76.9 N. Lominadze ↓46’ 226.3 Pedro Carvalho ↓46’
128.2 João Carvalho A 96.2 A. Marqués ↓46’ 996.5 R. Guitane ↓27’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.9
  • 4Ferro7.0
  • 25F. Bacher6.3
  • 44K. Boma5.3
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓51’6.3
  • 10J. Holsgrove6.9
  • 7N. Lominadze↓46’6.9
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↓46’6.3
  • 12João CarvalhoA8.2
  • 9A. Marqués↓46’6.2
  • 99R. Guitane↓27’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 45Patrick de Paula↑27’6.2
  • 17Fabrício Garcia↑46’6.3
  • 14Y. Begraoui↑46’6.3
  • 19André Lacximicant↑46’6.7
  • 55Tiago Parente↑51’6.7

Unused: M. Turk, A. Tsoungui, Tiago Brito, Pizzi

Player stats

Top rated
J. LivolantCasa Pia8.7
2nd
João CarvalhoEstoril8.2
3rd
Gaizka LarrazabalCasa Pia7.3

Casa Pia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Daniel Azevedo G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 71% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
David Sousa D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 84% 49 3 0 1/1 2/0 6.5
José Fonte D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 35 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.2
Kaique Rocha D 88 1 0 2 (1) 0 73% 37 3 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
André Geraldes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 29 1 1 1/2 0/0 6.9
S. Pérez M 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 54 4 3 0/0 0/0 7.2
Renato Nhaga M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 27 2 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
Gaizka Larrazabal D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 40 1 1 1/3 1/2 7.3
Miguel Sousa M 63 0 0 0 (0) 2 75% 24 3 1 0/2 3/2 6.7
Dailon Livramento F 73 0 0 2 (0) 0 54% 13 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.2
J. Livolant M 90 1 1 3 (2) 4 70% 27 0 1 0/1 1/2 8.7
Tiago Morais F 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 1/4 0/0 7.3
I. Mohamed M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
Cassiano F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
João Goulart D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Rafael Brito M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 39% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Ferro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 38 1 2 0/0 0/0 7.0
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 83% 36 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
K. Boma D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 43 1 0 0/0 0/0 5.3
Pedro Amaral D 51 0 0 0 (0) 0 62% 13 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 77% 60 2 0 0/2 1/1 6.9
N. Lominadze M 46 1 0 3 (1) 0 82% 11 2 0 0/2 1/0 6.9
Pedro Carvalho D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 15 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
João Carvalho M 90 1 1 2 (1) 2 67% 45 1 0 0/1 2/1 8.2
A. Marqués F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 3/0 6.2
R. Guitane M 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
Patrick de Paula M 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 27 2 0 0/1 2/1 6.2
Fabrício Garcia F 44 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 16 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Y. Begraoui F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
André Lacximicant F 44 0 0 1 (1) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/1 0/3 6.7
Tiago Parente D 39 0 0 0 (0) 0 55% 11 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.