Primeira Liga Gameweek 20 Mon, Feb 2 2026 · 20:45 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Casa Pia
2–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 0.97 – 2.02
FC Porto
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 12’
  • João Goulart 45’
  • 46’ P. Rosario
  • 79’ William Gomes
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Casa Pia beat FC Porto

FC Porto entered as clear favourites, but Casa Pia won 2–1 through goals from Larrazabal and Goulart. FC Porto replied through a Rosario goal. FC Porto played with ten men from the 79th minute after Gomes was sent off. Casa Pia won despite the lower xG; FC Porto created the better chances (2.02 vs 0.97). On the chances created, FC Porto deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Casa Pia ✓13%
Draw21%
FC Porto66%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
2
Model 0.77 · xG 0.97
FC Porto goals
1
Model 2.00 · xG 2.02
Total goals
3
Model 2.77 · xG 2.99
Score 2–1
4%
Most likely 0–2 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJoão GoulartCasa Pia · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereePedro Ramalho
  • CoachesJardim Brandao Goncalo · —
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 16th · FC Porto 1st

Timeline

  1. Gaizka Larrazabal 1–0Assist J. Livolant
    12’
  2. L. OforiYellow card · Roughing
    40’
  3. João Goulart 2–0
    45’
  4. Half time · 2–0
  5. ⇄ Alberto BaioFor Martim Fernandes
    46’
  6. P. Rosario 2–1Assist Alberto Baio
    46’
  7. ⇄ Oluwakorede OsundinaFor Tiago Morais
    56’
  8. ⇄ V. FroholdtFor A. Varela
    57’
  9. ⇄ William GomesFor Borja Sainz
    57’
  10. Gaizka LarrazabalYellow card · Holding
    59’
  11. ⇄ O. PietuszewskiFor Pepê
    70’
  12. ⇄ D. GülFor Thiago Silva
    71’
  13. William GomesRed card · Serious foul
    79’
  14. ⇄ ClaudioFor Cassiano
    82’
  15. Alberto BaioYellow card · Roughing
    90+2’
  16. David SousaYellow card
    90+6’
  17. J. BednarekYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+7’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Casa Pia6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
FC Porto15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Casa PiaFC Porto
31% Possession 69%
0.97 Expected goals (xG) 2.02
0.73 Expected points (xPts) 2.06
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
2 Shots off target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Shots inside the box 10
3 Shots outside the box 5
260 Passes 568
68% Pass accuracy 87%
0 Corners 10
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
6.82 Team rating 6.76

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

17.0 P. Sequeira(G)
436.9 David Sousa 35.9 Kaly 48.0★ João Goulart
57.2 A. Conté 86.6 Rafael Brito 806.3 L. Ofori 727.2 Gaizka Larrazabal
297.3 J. Livolant A 906.2 Cassiano ↓82’ 216.2 Tiago Morais ↓56’
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)7.0
  • 43David Sousa6.9
  • 3Kaly5.9
  • 4João Goulart ★8.0
  • 5A. Conté7.2
  • 8Rafael Brito6.6
  • 80L. Ofori6.3
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal7.2
  • 29J. LivolantA7.3
  • 90Cassiano↓82’6.2
  • 21Tiago Morais↓56’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↑56’6.7
  • 99Claudio↑82’6.3

Unused: Ivan Mandić, Kevin Prieto, André Geraldes, João Marques, K. Nsona, I. Mohamed, Dailon Livramento

Coach: Jardim Brandao Goncalo

FC Porto 4-3-3

996.2 Diogo Costa(G)
746.5 Francisco Moura 57.3 J. Bednarek 37.3 Thiago Silva ↓71’ 526.2 Martim Fernandes ↓46’
106.6 Gabri Veiga 226.9 A. Varela ↓57’ 137.5 P. Rosario
176.0 Borja Sainz ↓57’ 96.3 Samu Omorodion 117.2 Pepê ↓70’
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)6.2
  • 74Francisco Moura6.5
  • 5J. Bednarek7.3
  • 3Thiago Silva↓71’7.3
  • 52Martim Fernandes↓46’6.2
  • 10Gabri Veiga6.6
  • 22A. Varela↓57’6.9
  • 13P. Rosario7.5
  • 17Borja Sainz↓57’6.0
  • 9Samu Omorodion6.3
  • 11Pepê↓70’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 20Alberto BaioA↑46’7.2
  • 8V. Froholdt↑57’6.9
  • 7William Gomes↑57’5.9
  • 77O. Pietuszewski↑70’7.0
  • 27D. Gül↑71’6.5

Unused: Cláudio Ramos, J. Kiwior, D. Prpić, Rodrigo Mora

Player stats

Top rated
João GoulartCasa Pia8.0
2nd
P. RosarioFC Porto7.5
3rd
J. LivolantCasa Pia7.3

Casa Pia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Sequeira G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 28% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
David Sousa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 37 1 1 0/0 2/1 6.9
Kaly D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 43% 14 0 3 1/1 1/1 5.9
João Goulart D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 58% 12 1 1 0/0 1/0 8.0
A. Conté D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 2 1 0/0 0/2 7.2
Rafael Brito M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 28 0 4 0/0 1/1 6.6
L. Ofori M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 18 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
Gaizka Larrazabal D 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 82% 11 1 2 0/2 2/1 7.2
J. Livolant M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 82% 34 3 1 1/1 2/2 7.3
Cassiano F 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 54% 13 0 0 1/2 1/2 6.2
Tiago Morais F 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 15 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.2
Oluwakorede Osundina F 34 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 5 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.7
Claudio F 8 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3

FC Porto

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Diogo Costa G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 72% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Francisco Moura D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 52 0 1 1/2 0/1 6.5
J. Bednarek D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 119 1 1 0/0 2/0 7.3
Thiago Silva D 71 0 0 1 (1) 0 96% 101 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
Martim Fernandes D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 31 1 2 0/2 0/1 6.2
Gabri Veiga M 90 0 0 2 (2) 1 78% 45 0 2 1/2 1/2 6.6
A. Varela M 57 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 56 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
P. Rosario M 90 1 0 3 (1) 2 77% 48 0 0 1/1 2/1 7.5
Borja Sainz F 57 0 0 1 (1) 0 70% 23 2 0 0/1 2/0 6.0
Samu Omorodion F 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 89% 9 0 0 0/1 1/2 6.3
Pepê F 70 0 0 0 (0) 4 78% 23 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
Alberto Baio D 44 0 1 0 (0) 1 78% 18 3 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
V. Froholdt M 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.9
William Gomes F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 1/2 5.9
O. Pietuszewski M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 2 0 1/1 1/3 7.0
D. Gül F 19 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.