Primeira Liga Gameweek 4 Sat, Aug 30 2025 · 15:30 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
0–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 0.66 – 1.22
  • 33’ Paulinho Bóia
  • 42’ J. Ramírez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nacional beat Casa Pia

Casa Pia entered as favourites, but Nacional won 2–0 through goals from Bóia and Ramírez. Nacional finished with the higher xG (1.22 vs 0.66). On the chances created, Casa Pia deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Casa Pia49%
Draw27%
Nacional ✓24%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
0
Model 1.52 · xG 0.66
Nacional goals
2
Model 0.99 · xG 1.22
Total goals
2
Model 2.52 · xG 1.88
Score 0–2
4%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchPaulinho BóiaNacional · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeJoao Pedro Pinheiro
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 10th · Nacional 16th

Timeline

  1. Paulinho Bóia 0–1
    33’
  2. J. Ramírez 0–2Assist José Gomes
    42’
  3. Half time · 0–2
  4. ⇄ Tiago MoraisFor Oluwakorede Osundina
    46’
  5. ⇄ André GeraldesFor João Goulart
    46’
  6. ⇄ Renato NhagaFor I. Mohamed
    46’
  7. LizieroYellow card
    50’
  8. Renato NhagaYellow card
    58’
  9. Lucas FrançaYellow card
    62’
  10. ⇄ Martim WattsFor Witi
    67’
  11. ⇄ Filipe SoaresFor Liziero
    67’
  12. ⇄ Kevin PrietoFor Gaizka Larrazabal
    73’
  13. ⇄ CassianoFor Max Svensson
    73’
  14. ⇄ UlissesFor C. Labidi
    82’
  15. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor J. Ramírez
    88’
  16. ⇄ M. NouraniFor Paulinho Bóia
    88’
  17. UlissesYellow card
    90’
  18. André GeraldesYellow card
    90+6’
  19. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Casa Pia9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
Nacional9 shots · 3 in box, 6 outside
Casa PiaNacional
62% Possession 38%
0.66 Expected goals (xG) 1.22
0.90 Expected points (xPts) 1.79
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Shots inside the box 3
5 Shots outside the box 6
457 Passes 277
77% Pass accuracy 73%
2 Corners 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 22
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.62 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

16.0 P. Sequeira(G)
26.5 D. Tchamba 66.6 José Fonte 45.3 João Goulart ↓46’
127.0 F. Benaissa-Yahia 246.7 I. Mohamed ↓46’ 426.9 S. Pérez 726.5 Gaizka Larrazabal ↓73’
136.6 Oluwakorede Osundina ↓46’ 96.2 Max Svensson ↓73’ 297.2 J. Livolant
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)6.0
  • 2D. Tchamba6.5
  • 6José Fonte6.6
  • 4João Goulart↓46’5.3
  • 12F. Benaissa-Yahia7.0
  • 24I. Mohamed↓46’6.7
  • 42S. Pérez6.9
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal↓73’6.5
  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↓46’6.6
  • 9Max Svensson↓73’6.2
  • 29J. Livolant7.2

Substitutes used

  • 18André Geraldes↑46’6.7
  • 74Renato Nhaga↑46’7.3
  • 21Tiago Morais↑46’6.9
  • 19Kevin Prieto↑73’6.5
  • 90Cassiano↑73’6.9

Unused: Daniel Azevedo, Kaique Rocha, Rafael Brito, Miguel Sousa

Nacional 4-3-3

376.9 Lucas França(G)
57.2 José Gomes A 386.9 Zé Vitor 347.3 Léo Santos 26.7 João Aurélio
155.9 C. Labidi ↓82’ 66.9 Matheus Dias 286.9 Liziero ↓67’
117.9★ Paulinho Bóia ↓88’ 97.2 J. Ramírez ↓88’ 76.5 Witi ↓67’
  • 37Lucas França (G)6.9
  • 5José GomesA7.2
  • 38Zé Vitor6.9
  • 34Léo Santos7.3
  • 2João Aurélio6.7
  • 15C. Labidi↓82’5.9
  • 6Matheus Dias6.9
  • 28Liziero↓67’6.9
  • 11Paulinho Bóia ★↓88’7.9
  • 9J. Ramírez↓88’7.2
  • 7Witi↓67’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 4Ulisses↑82’6.5
  • 22Filipe Soares↑67’6.3
  • 30Martim Watts↑67’6.3
  • 19Lucas João↑88’
  • 17M. Nourani↑88’

Unused: Kaique, Lenny Vallier, Joel Silva, André Sousa

Player stats

Top rated
Paulinho BóiaNacional7.9
2nd
Renato NhagaCasa Pia7.3
3rd
Léo SantosNacional7.3

Casa Pia

Nacional

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.