Primeira Liga Gameweek 34 Sat, May 16 2026 · 18:00 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.34 – 0.61
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 35’
  • 52’ Jalen Blesa
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Casa Pia and Rio Ave share the points

Casa Pia led 1–0 at half-time through a Larrazabal goal. But Blesa scored to rescue a draw for Rio Ave. Casa Pia finished with the higher xG (2.34 vs 0.61). On the chances created, Casa Pia deserved more: 2.4 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Casa Pia36%
Draw ✓31%
Rio Ave33%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
1
Model 1.12 · xG 2.34
Rio Ave goals
1
Model 1.06 · xG 0.61
Total goals
2
Model 2.18 · xG 2.95
Score 1–1
14%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 37%
Both scored
Yes
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJoão MarquesCasa Pia
8.2
  • RefereeHelder Malheiro
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 16th · Rio Ave 13th

Timeline

  1. Gaizka Larrazabal 1–0Assist Dailon Livramento
    35’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. Jalen Blesa 1–1
    52’
  4. ⇄ Rafael BritoFor S. Pérez
    59’
  5. ⇄ J. LivolantFor Dailon Livramento
    59’
  6. ⇄ A. PapakanellosFor D. Špikić
    63’
  7. ⇄ A. ContéFor Kevin Prieto
    76’
  8. João MarquesYellow card
    80’
  9. ⇄ O. PohlmannFor Diogo Bezerra
    82’
  10. ⇄ Oluwakorede OsundinaFor Pedro Rosas
    86’
  11. ⇄ I. MohamedFor L. Ofori
    86’
  12. ⇄ J. LombotoFor Tamble Monteiro
    88’
  13. ⇄ Leonardo ButaFor João Tomé
    88’
  14. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Casa Pia20 shots · 12 in box, 8 outside
Rio Ave6 shots · 2 in box, 4 outside
Casa PiaRio Ave
42% Possession 58%
2.34 Expected goals (xG) 0.61
2.45 Expected points (xPts) 0.40
20 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 2
8 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 2
8 Shots outside the box 4
274 Passes 422
73% Pass accuracy 81%
9 Corners 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
17 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.75 Team rating 6.99

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

15.9 P. Sequeira(G)
437.2 David Sousa 36.6 Kaly 46.3 João Goulart
756.5 Pedro Rosas ↓86’ 806.3 L. Ofori ↓86’ 426.6 S. Pérez ↓59’ 196.9 Kevin Prieto ↓76’
118.2★ João Marques 106.9 Dailon Livramento A↓59’ 727.2 Gaizka Larrazabal
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)5.9
  • 43David Sousa7.2
  • 3Kaly6.6
  • 4João Goulart6.3
  • 75Pedro Rosas↓86’6.5
  • 80L. Ofori↓86’6.3
  • 42S. Pérez↓59’6.6
  • 19Kevin Prieto↓76’6.9
  • 11João Marques ★8.2
  • 10Dailon LivramentoA↓59’6.9
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal7.2

Substitutes used

  • 8Rafael Brito↑59’6.2
  • 29J. Livolant↑59’6.3
  • 5A. Conté↑76’6.9
  • 24I. Mohamed↑86’6.7
  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↑86’6.5

Unused: Ivan Mandić, José Fonte, André Geraldes, Claudio

Rio Ave 4-2-3-1

997.2 E. van der Gouw(G)
777.3 O. Richards 397.2 Gustavo Mancha 327.3 J. Brabec 206.9 João Tomé ↓88’
56.9 A. Ntoi 446.9 T. Nikitscher
186.7 D. Špikić ↓63’ 116.7 Jalen Blesa 77.2 Diogo Bezerra
96.6 Tamble Monteiro ↓88’
  • 99E. van der Gouw (G)7.2
  • 77O. Richards7.3
  • 39Gustavo Mancha7.2
  • 32J. Brabec7.3
  • 20João Tomé↓88’6.9
  • 5A. Ntoi6.9
  • 44T. Nikitscher6.9
  • 18D. Špikić↓63’6.7
  • 11Jalen Blesa6.7
  • 7Diogo Bezerra7.2
  • 9Tamble Monteiro↓88’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 19A. Papakanellos↑63’6.7
  • 24Leonardo Buta↑88’6.3
  • 63J. Lomboto↑88’6.3
  • 80O. Pohlmann↑82’6.5

Unused: C. Miszta, G. Liavas, Rafael Genuino, K. Zoabi, T. Medina

Player stats

Top rated
João MarquesCasa Pia8.2
2nd
O. RichardsRio Ave7.3
3rd
J. BrabecRio Ave7.3

Casa Pia

Rio Ave

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.