Celta Vigo
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel469 kmRest days2.8 · 7Matches / 14d4 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Celta Vigo—%
Draw—%
Getafe—%
Weather (Vigo)
Forecast from 16 Jan
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Celta Vigo and Getafe. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Celta Vigo
3
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Getafe
−0.81
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for0.58xG against1.39
-
Insight
Celta Vigo
1.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
-
Insight
Celta Vigo
3
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Celta Vigo
1.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Getafe
−0.81
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for0.58xG against1.39
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Celta VigoGetafe
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
54
Current StrengthIn forecast
48
36
AttackIn forecast
27
61
DefenceIn forecast
59
47
Form indexContext
42
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGetafe
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Celta VigoGetafe
1.11
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.56
0.78
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.22
0.92
xGVia Att/Def
0.62
1.18
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.49
+0.19
Goals minus xGContext
-0.06
56%
Scored inContext
56%
44%
Clean sheetsContext
22%
9.44
ShotsContext
10.78
3.63
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.67
34%
On target shareContext
25%
4.67
Shots in the boxContext
5.44
47%
Box shareContext
48%
12%
ConversionContext
5%
3.00
OffsidesContext
2.17
13.33
Shots allowedContext
15.22
4.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.89
3.44
BlocksContext
4.78
3.44
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.56
80%
Save rateContext
73%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
37%
506
PassesContext
292
438
Accurate passesContext
217
87%
Pass accuracyContext
74%
6.87
Team ratingContext
6.68
12.22
FoulsContext
14.00
14.44
Fouls sufferedContext
12.78
1.67
Yellow cardsContext
3.44
0.11
Red cardsContext
0.11
1.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.60
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
0.99
xGVia Att/Def
0.58
1.16
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.39
+0.11
Goals minus xGContext
+0.02
60%
Scored inContext
60%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
10.40
ShotsContext
10.30
3.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.70
32%
On target shareContext
26%
5.50
Shots in the boxContext
5.20
50%
Box shareContext
48%
11%
ConversionContext
6%
3.00
OffsidesContext
2.00
14.50
Shots allowedContext
14.80
4.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.90
3.80
BlocksContext
4.50
3.70
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.70
77%
Save rateContext
76%
49%
PossessionIn forecast
38%
497
PassesContext
289
431
Accurate passesContext
214
87%
Pass accuracyContext
74%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.73
11.90
FoulsContext
14.30
13.60
Fouls sufferedContext
13.50
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
3.20
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Celta Vigo
LWDLW
Rest2.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d4High congestion
Travel0 km8,866 km in 14d
Schedule load53%High
Form 47 · 7 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · +0.3 vs expected
Getafe
DLWLD
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel469 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Celta Vigo |
Getafe |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | High · 53 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | Yes | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 2.8UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 28 Jan | 7La Liga 2026-2027, 24 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 469 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 8,866 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 2 / 4 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Celta Vigo
Last XI · not confirmed
13I. Radu(G)
21S. Cáceres
18Yoel Lago
20Javi Rodríguez
23Hugo Álvarez
6I. Moriba
30H. Burcio
5Sergio Carreira
19W. Swedberg
9Ferran Jutglà
24C. Driouech
Getafe
Last XI · not confirmed
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica
26J. Valou
2D. Dakonam
10M. Satriano
6Mario Martín
8N. Gudelj
17Kiko Femenía
19E. Ünal
11Ramon Terrats
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Celta Vigo
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Getafe
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Celta Vigo · Home
1.40points per game · 5 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-1-2
- Scored
- 1.80
- Conceded
- 1.20
Getafe · Away
0.00points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-4
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | Celta Vigo | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Alaves | W 2–1 H | L 0–3 A |
| Racing Santander | W 5–0 H | W 1–0 H |
| Malaga | D 1–1 H | W 1–0 H |
| Osasuna | L 1–2 H | L 0–1 A |
| Points | 7 of 12 · 1.75 per game | 6 of 12 · 1.50 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 10 of 13 meetings
2 Celta Vigo wins4 draws4 Getafe wins
Goals per game0.90 – 1.30
Over 2.530%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets20% · 40%
- 7 Sep 2026Getafe1–1Celta Vigo
- 1 Feb 2026Getafe0–0Celta Vigo
- 17 Aug 2025Celta Vigo0–2Getafe
- 24 May 2025Getafe1–2Celta Vigo
- 4 Nov 2024Celta Vigo1–0Getafe
- 11 Feb 2024Getafe3–2Celta Vigo
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Celta Vigo | Getafe | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.11 | 0.56 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.78 | 1.22 | |
| Match goals | 1.89 | 1.78 | |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 56% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 22% | |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 33% | |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 22% | |
| Failed to score | 44% | 44% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Celta Vigo | Getafe | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.10 | 0.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.10 | |
| Match goals | 2.10 | 1.70 | |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% | |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 30% | |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Celta Vigo | Getafe | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.13 | 4.33 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.75 | 6.00 | |
| Match total | 7.88 | 10.33 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 25% 2/8 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 25% 2/8 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 25% 2/8 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.78 | 3.89 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.11 | 2.56 | |
| Match total | 3.89 | 6.45 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% 4/9 | 100% 9/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 44% 4/9 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Celta Vigo | Getafe | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.67 | 4.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.22 | 5.80 | |
| Match total | 8.89 | 9.90 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 33% 3/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.60 | 3.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.90 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 3.50 | 6.10 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Celta Vigo9 games · scored 10 · conceded 7
1
0-15
3
16-30
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
Getafe9 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
Celta Vigo10 games · scored 11 · conceded 10
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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