Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Mar 15 2026 · 18:15 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
First leg1–2 1–3 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.90 – 1.89
  • O. Adewumi 76’
  • 6’ (P), 70’ P. Fall
  • 60’ J. Ito
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

RAAL La Louvière beat Cercle Brugge

Cercle Brugge entered as narrow favourites, but RAAL La Louvière won 3–1 through goals from Fall and Ito. Cercle Brugge replied through a Adewumi goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.90 and 1.89. On the chances created, Cercle Brugge deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Cercle Brugge46%
Draw28%
RAAL La Louvière ✓27%

Model vs reality

Cercle Brugge goals
1
Model 1.45 · xG 1.90
RAAL La Louvière goals
3
Model 1.04 · xG 1.89
Total goals
4
Model 2.49 · xG 3.79
Score 1–3
2%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. PeanoRAAL La Louvière
9.9
  • RefereeEric Lambrechts
  • CoachesOnur Cinel · —
  • VenueJan Breydelstadion
  • Table before kick-offCercle Brugge 14th · RAAL La Louvière 15th

Timeline

  1. P. Fall (pen) 0–1
    6’
  2. P. FallYellow card
    13’
  3. Flávio NazinhoYellow card
    16’
  4. J. LiongolaYellow card
    34’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ S. NgouraFor D. Vanzeir
    46’
  7. ⇄ Makaya Ibrahima DiabyFor H. Van der Bruggen
    46’
  8. Makaya Ibrahima DiabyYellow card · misses next match
    48’
  9. ⇄ S. GueuletteFor M. Ashimeru
    57’
  10. ⇄ D. LamegoFor Wagane Faye
    57’
  11. J. Ito 0–2Assist P. Fall
    60’
  12. ⇄ Valy KonatéFor P. Gerkens
    67’
  13. P. Fall 0–3Assist J. Afriyie
    70’
  14. O. Adewumi 1–3Assist G. Magnée
    76’
  15. ⇄ Bryan SoumaréFor J. Ito
    78’
  16. ⇄ N. NsingiFor J. Afriyie
    78’
  17. ⇄ C. Makate BokoyaFor P. Fall
    84’
  18. ⇄ Krys KouassiFor O. Diakité
    84’
  19. ⇄ I. DiakitéFor G. Magnée
    90+4’
  20. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Cercle Brugge25 shots · 17 in box, 8 outside
RAAL La Louvière14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Cercle BruggeRAAL La Louvière
63% Possession 37%
1.90 Expected goals (xG) 1.89
1.40 Expected points (xPts) 1.39
25 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 5
10 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
17 Shots inside the box 8
8 Shots outside the box 6
436 Passes 253
79% Pass accuracy 61%
5 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.73 Team rating 7.29

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge 4-4-2

16.5 Warleson(G)
206.9 Flávio Nazinho 246.2 Geoffrey Kondo 56.0 Emmanuel Kakou 156.6 G. Magnée A↓90’
377.6 E. Diop 286.9 H. Van der Bruggen ↓46’ 186.9 P. Gerkens ↓67’ 177.2 O. Adewumi
107.2 O. Diakité ↓84’ 136.3 D. Vanzeir ↓46’
  • 1Warleson (G)6.5
  • 20Flávio Nazinho6.9
  • 24Geoffrey Kondo6.2
  • 5Emmanuel Kakou6.0
  • 15G. MagnéeA↓90’6.6
  • 37E. Diop7.6
  • 28H. Van der Bruggen↓46’6.9
  • 18P. Gerkens↓67’6.9
  • 17O. Adewumi7.2
  • 10O. Diakité↓84’7.2
  • 13D. Vanzeir↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 19Makaya Ibrahima Diaby↑46’6.9
  • 9S. Ngoura↑46’6.2
  • 12Valy Konaté↑67’6.2
  • 2I. Diakité↑90’
  • 41Krys Kouassi↑84’6.7

Unused: M. Delanghe, Royer Caicedo, N. De Wilde, H. Jurado

Coach: Onur Cinel

RAAL La Louvière 3-4-1-2

219.9★ M. Peano(G)
136.5 M. Maisonneuve 996.9 Y. Okou 47.2 Wagane Faye ↓57’
37.0 N. Gillot 237.5 J. Ito ↓78’ 156.3 S. Lahssaini 117.5 J. Liongola
186.2 M. Ashimeru ↓57’
78.9 P. Fall A↓84’ 226.9 J. Afriyie A↓78’
  • 21M. Peano (G) ★9.9
  • 13M. Maisonneuve6.5
  • 99Y. Okou6.9
  • 4Wagane Faye↓57’7.2
  • 3N. Gillot7.0
  • 23J. Ito↓78’7.5
  • 15S. Lahssaini6.3
  • 11J. Liongola7.5
  • 18M. Ashimeru↓57’6.2
  • 7P. FallA↓84’8.9
  • 22J. AfriyieA↓78’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 25D. Lamego↑57’6.3
  • 8S. Gueulette↑57’6.7
  • 28Bryan Soumaré↑78’6.3
  • 29C. Makate Bokoya↑84’6.3
  • 27N. Nsingi↑78’6.3

Unused: C. De Schrevel, Darío Benavides, A. Beka Beka, T. Lutonda

Player stats

Top rated
M. PeanoRAAL La Louvière9.9
2nd
P. FallRAAL La Louvière8.9
3rd
E. DiopCercle Brugge7.6

Cercle Brugge

RAAL La Louvière

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.