Chelsea vs Fulham – 10 Apr 2027

Premier League Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 10 · 15:00 Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea 4th · 13 pts · 7 played LDLWW

VS— Compare

Fulham 18th · 5 pts · 7 played LDDLW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel0 kmRest days21 · 21Matches / 14d0 · 0

Real contextStrength only

Chelsea—%

Draw—%

Fulham—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (London)

Forecast from 26 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Chelsea

Fulham

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

77 Current StrengthIn forecast 65

77 AttackIn forecast 66

74 DefenceIn forecast 68

69 Form indexContext 42

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Chelsea

Attack—

Defense risk—

Fulham

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Chelsea

Fulham

2.43 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.86 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.43

1.43 xGVia Att/Def 1.62

1.55 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.50

+1.00 Goals minus xGContext -0.62

86% Scored inContext 71%

14% Clean sheetsContext 29%

14.29 ShotsContext 14.71

5.57 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.50

39% On target shareContext 32%

9.14 Shots in the boxContext 11.00

63% Box shareContext 74%

17% ConversionContext 7%

1.60 OffsidesContext 1.00

12.43 Shots allowedContext 14.14

5.86 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.83

3.67 BlocksContext 4.43

4.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.17

73% Save rateContext 66%

47% PossessionIn forecast 57%

432 PassesContext 564

361 Accurate passesContext 486

84% Pass accuracyContext 86%

7.09 Team ratingContext 6.81

9.29 FoulsContext 10.43

11.71 Fouls sufferedContext 8.43

1.86 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.14

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

1.20 xGVia Att/Def 1.61

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.30

+0.90 Goals minus xGContext -0.61

90% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

12.30 ShotsContext 15.10

4.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.11

40% On target shareContext 31%

7.60 Shots in the boxContext 10.60

60% Box shareContext 70%

17% ConversionContext 7%

1.50 OffsidesContext 1.11

12.50 Shots allowedContext 12.70

5.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.33

3.44 BlocksContext 3.89

3.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.89

74% Save rateContext 67%

48% PossessionIn forecast 57%

442 PassesContext 548

370 Accurate passesContext 472

84% Pass accuracyContext 86%

7.00 Team ratingContext 6.86

10.50 FoulsContext 10.60

13.20 Fouls sufferedContext 10.60

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Chelsea LDLWW

Rest21 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 69 · 7 pts vs 4.7 for an average club · +0.2 vs expected

W17 OctA · Everton2–01.3 xPts
W10 OctH · Bournemouth5–11.5 xPts
L18 SepA · Brentford0–31.2 xPts
D12 SepH · Hull City2–22.3 xPts
L6 SepA · Arsenal1–20.6 xPts

Fulham LDDLW

Rest21 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -2.1 vs expected

W17 OctH · Hull City1–02.0 xPts
L10 OctA · Ipswich1–21.4 xPts
D20 SepH · Manchester United1–11.2 xPts
D12 SepA · Liverpool0–00.8 xPts
L5 SepH · Crystal Palace2–31.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Chelsea	Fulham
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	21Premier League 2026-2027, 20 Mar	21Premier League 2026-2027, 20 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 2	0 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Chelsea Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Everton (A) 2–0, 17 Oct

1E. Martínez(G)

21J. Hato 6L. Colwill 5M. Lacroix 34J. Acheampong

14J. Henderson 25M. Caicedo

17M. Rogers 10C. Palmer 7Pedro Neto

9João Pedro

Fulham Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Hull City (H) 1–0, 17 Oct

1B. Leno(G)

33A. Robinson 3C. Bassey 22D. Affengruber 21T. Castagne

19S. Charles 16S. Berge

17A. Iwobi 24J. King 14O. Bobb

7Gonzalo García

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Chelsea Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Fulham Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Chelsea · Home 2.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 2-1-0
Scored: 3.67
Conceded: 2.00

Fulham · Away 0.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-2
Scored: 0.33
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Chelsea	Fulham
Hull City	D 2–2 H	W 1–0 H
Points	1 of 3 · 1.00 per game	3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

6 Chelsea wins1 draws3 Fulham wins

Goals per game1.50 – 0.90 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 10%

24 Aug 2026Fulham2–3Chelsea
7 Jan 2026Fulham2–1Chelsea
30 Aug 2025Chelsea2–0Fulham
20 Apr 2025Fulham1–2Chelsea
26 Dec 2024Chelsea1–2Fulham
13 Jan 2024Chelsea1–0Fulham

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Chelsea	Fulham
Scored per game	2.43	1.00
Conceded per game	1.86	1.43
Match goals	4.29	2.43
Over 1.5	100%	57%
Over 2.5	86%	43%
Over 3.5	57%	29%
Both teams scored	71%	57%
Clean sheets	14%	29%
Failed to score	14%	29%
Games	7	7

	Chelsea	Fulham
Scored per game	2.10	1.00
Conceded per game	1.70	1.20
Match goals	3.80	2.20
Over 1.5	100%	60%
Over 2.5	80%	30%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	80%	50%
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Failed to score	10%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Chelsea	Fulham	League
Corners
Corners won	5.86	6.43
Corners conceded	5.43	4.29
Match total	11.29	10.72	9.49
Over 8.5	71% 5/7	57% 4/7
Over 9.5	71% 5/7	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.86	2.14
Opponent cards	3.00	0.86
Match total	4.86	3.00	4.17
Over 3.5	86% 6/7	43% 3/7
Over 4.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7

	Chelsea	Fulham	League
Corners
Corners won	4.80	6.80
Corners conceded	5.30	4.10
Match total	10.10	10.90	9.49
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	2.60	2.20
Opponent cards	3.10	1.20
Match total	5.70	3.40	4.17
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.