Premier League Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 10 · 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Tottenham 16th · 6 pts · 7 played
VS— Compare
Brentford 6th · 10 pts · 7 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel13 kmRest days21 · 21Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Tottenham—%
Draw—%
Brentford—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (London)

Forecast from 26 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Tottenham and Brentford. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

TottenhamBrentford
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
62 Current StrengthIn forecast 75
56 AttackIn forecast 73
74 DefenceIn forecast 73
58 Form indexContext 61
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Tottenham

Attack—
Defense risk—

Brentford

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

TottenhamBrentford
0.86 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.86
1.43 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.14
1.07 xGVia Att/Def 1.73
1.35 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.39
-0.21 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
43% Scored inContext 100%
29% Clean sheetsContext 29%
14.14 ShotsContext 15.00
4.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.14
27% On target shareContext 28%
8.57 Shots in the boxContext 11.43
60% Box shareContext 76%
6% ConversionContext 12%
2.86 OffsidesContext 1.60
14.14 Shots allowedContext 15.43
3.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00
4.00 BlocksContext 4.43
2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57
63% Save rateContext 71%
61% PossessionIn forecast 45%
535 PassesContext 367
470 Accurate passesContext 283
88% Pass accuracyContext 77%
6.84 Team ratingContext 6.85
13.86 FoulsContext 14.71
13.71 Fouls sufferedContext 9.29
1.29 Yellow cardsContext 2.71
0.14 Red cardsContext 0.14
This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games
0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60
1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
1.16 xGVia Att/Def 1.56
1.18 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.74
-0.26 Goals minus xGContext +0.04
60% Scored inContext 90%
30% Clean sheetsContext 20%
14.40 ShotsContext 13.40
3.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.60
24% On target shareContext 27%
9.60 Shots in the boxContext 10.20
67% Box shareContext 74%
6% ConversionContext 12%
2.44 OffsidesContext 1.71
12.90 Shots allowedContext 17.30
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.80
3.40 BlocksContext 5.30
2.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.20
64% Save rateContext 72%
59% PossessionIn forecast 45%
510 PassesContext 369
443 Accurate passesContext 286
87% Pass accuracyContext 78%
6.85 Team ratingContext 6.83
14.20 FoulsContext 13.30
13.20 Fouls sufferedContext 8.70
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Tottenham
Rest21 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 58 · 6 pts vs 5.1 for an average club · -0.0 vs expected
  • W19 OctH · Coventry3–11.8 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Manchester United1–10.7 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.3 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Everton0–01.4 xPts
  • D5 SepA · Nottingham Forest0–00.9 xPts
Brentford
Rest21 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel13 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 61 · 6 pts vs 4.8 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Liverpool1–21.5 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Aston Villa2–21.1 xPts
  • W18 SepH · Chelsea3–01.6 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Bournemouth2–21.0 xPts
  • D5 SepH · Sunderland1–12.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Tottenham Brentford
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match21Premier League 2026-2027, 20 Mar21Premier League 2026-2027, 20 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km13 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 20 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Tottenham Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Coventry (H) 3–1, 19 Oct
31A. Kinský(G)
3A. Robertson 37M. van de Ven 4T. Adarabioyo 6J. van Hecke
16S. Tonali 14A. Gray
22O. Marmoush 10J. Maddison 20M. Kudus
19D. Solanke
Brentford Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Liverpool (H) 1–2, 17 Oct
1C. Kelleher(G)
23K. Lewis-Potter 4S. van den Berg 20K. Ajer 33M. Kayode
27V. Janelt 6Y. Yarmoliuk
19J. Anthony 8M. Jensen 11D. Ouattara
9Thiago

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Tottenham Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Brentford Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Tottenham · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.25
Conceded
1.50
Brentford · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
0-3-0
Scored
1.67
Conceded
1.67

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentTottenhamBrentford
Aston Villa L 2–3 H D 2–2 A
Points0 of 3 · 0.00 per game1 of 3 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

4 Tottenham wins4 draws2 Brentford wins
Goals per game1.50 – 1.30 Over 2.560% Both scored50% Clean sheets40% · 30%
  • 22 Aug 2026Brentford3–0Tottenham
  • 1 Jan 2026Brentford0–0Tottenham
  • 6 Dec 2025Tottenham2–0Brentford
  • 2 Feb 2025Brentford0–2Tottenham
  • 21 Sep 2024Tottenham3–1Brentford
  • 31 Jan 2024Tottenham3–2Brentford

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

TottenhamBrentfordForecast
Scored per game 0.861.86
Conceded per game 1.431.14
Match goals 2.293.00
Over 1.5 71%100%
Over 2.5 43%71%
Over 3.5 29%29%
Both teams scored 43%71%
Clean sheets 29%29%
Failed to score 57%0%
Games77
TottenhamBrentfordForecast
Scored per game 0.901.60
Conceded per game 1.301.40
Match goals 2.203.00
Over 1.5 70%100%
Over 2.5 40%70%
Over 3.5 20%30%
Both teams scored 50%70%
Clean sheets 30%20%
Failed to score 40%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

TottenhamBrentfordLeague
Corners
Corners won6.573.86
Corners conceded4.435.14
Match total11.009.009.49
Over 8.571% 5/757% 4/7
Over 9.571% 5/757% 4/7
Over 10.557% 4/743% 3/7
Cards
Cards1.433.00
Opponent cards2.291.86
Match total3.724.864.17
Over 3.543% 3/771% 5/7
Over 4.514% 1/757% 4/7
TottenhamBrentfordLeague
Corners
Corners won7.104.00
Corners conceded4.306.40
Match total11.4010.409.49
Over 8.570% 7/1070% 7/10
Over 9.570% 7/1070% 7/10
Over 10.560% 6/1060% 6/10
Cards
Cards1.902.70
Opponent cards2.302.20
Match total4.204.904.17
Over 3.560% 6/1080% 8/10
Over 4.530% 3/1060% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Tottenham7 games · scored 6 · conceded 10
1 1 0-15
16-30
2 31-45
1 2 46-60
4 61-75
4 1 76-90
Brentford7 games · scored 13 · conceded 8
2 1 0-15
16-30
4 1 31-45
3 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
3 3 76-90
Tottenham10 games · scored 9 · conceded 13
1 1 0-15
1 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 2 46-60
1 6 61-75
4 1 76-90
Brentford10 games · scored 16 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
16-30
5 1 31-45
3 4 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Premier League

View all fixtures →
Manchester United Hull City Apr 1015:00 Bournemouth Manchester City Apr 1015:00 Liverpool Newcastle Apr 1015:00 Tottenham Brentford Apr 1015:00 Chelsea Fulham Apr 1015:00 Crystal Palace Everton Apr 1015:00 Leeds Nottingham Forest Apr 1015:00 Aston Villa Brighton Apr 1015:00 Sunderland Ipswich Apr 1015:00 Coventry Arsenal Apr 1015:00