Premier League Gameweek 26 Tue, Feb 10 2026 · 19:30 Stamford Bridge, London
2–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 3.13 – 1.44
  • João Pedro 24’
  • C. Palmer 58’ (P)
  • 67’ (P) L. Nmecha
  • 73’ N. Okafor
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leeds fight back from two goals down

Chelsea entered as clear favourites and led 2–0 after 58 minutes through goals from Pedro and Palmer. But Nmecha and Okafor scored to rescue a draw for Leeds. Chelsea finished with the higher xG (3.13 vs 1.44). On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Chelsea67%
Draw ✓18%
Leeds15%

Model vs reality

Chelsea goals
2
Model 2.48 · xG 3.13
Leeds goals
2
Model 1.09 · xG 1.44
Total goals
4
Model 3.57 · xG 4.57
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 2–1 (9%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 69%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. JustinLeeds
8.2
  • RefereeRobert Jones
  • VenueStamford Bridge
  • Table before kick-offChelsea 5th · Leeds 16th

Timeline

  1. M. GustoYellow card · Foul
    8’
  2. J. AcheampongYellow card · Foul
    15’
  3. G. GudmundssonYellow card · Foul
    19’
  4. S. BornauwYellow card · Foul
    22’
  5. João Pedro 1–0Assist C. Palmer
    24’
  6. J. JustinYellow card · Foul
    45’
  7. Half time · 1–0
  8. ⇄ J. HatoFor Marc Cucurella
    46’
  9. ⇄ N. OkaforFor S. Bornauw
    55’
  10. C. Palmer (pen) 2–0
    58’
  11. ⇄ Pedro NetoFor Estêvão
    64’
  12. C. PalmerYellow card · Argument
    67’
  13. L. Nmecha (pen) 2–1
    67’
  14. N. Okafor 2–2Assist L. Nmecha
    73’
  15. ⇄ W. FofanaFor J. Acheampong
    79’
  16. ⇄ L. DelapFor Andrey Santos
    79’
  17. ⇄ D. JamesFor L. Nmecha
    82’
  18. ⇄ S. LongstaffFor B. Aaronson
    90+5’
  19. S. LongstaffYellow card · Foul
    90+6’
  20. M. CaicedoYellow card · Argument
    90+8’
  21. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Chelsea19 shots · 14 in box, 5 outside
Leeds4 shots · 2 in box, 2 outside
ChelseaLeeds
66% Possession 34%
3.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.44
2.27 Expected points (xPts) 0.58
19 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
8 Shots off target 0
7 Blocked shots 2
14 Shots inside the box 2
5 Shots outside the box 2
644 Passes 336
92% Pass accuracy 82%
4 Corners 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

16.3 Robert Sánchez(G)
36.6 Marc Cucurella ↓46’ 236.9 T. Chalobah 345.9 J. Acheampong ↓79’ 276.3 M. Gusto
177.2 Andrey Santos ↓79’ 257.2 M. Caicedo
87.9 E. Fernández 107.3 C. Palmer A 416.6 Estêvão ↓64’
207.3 João Pedro
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)6.3
  • 3Marc Cucurella↓46’6.6
  • 23T. Chalobah6.9
  • 34J. Acheampong↓79’5.9
  • 27M. Gusto6.3
  • 17Andrey Santos↓79’7.2
  • 25M. Caicedo7.2
  • 8E. Fernández7.9
  • 10C. PalmerA7.3
  • 41Estêvão↓64’6.6
  • 20João Pedro7.3

Substitutes used

  • 7Pedro Neto↑64’6.9
  • 29W. Fofana↑79’7.2
  • 9L. Delap↑79’6.5
  • 21J. Hato↑46’6.5

Unused: T. Sharman-Lowe, B. Badiashile, A. Garnacho, M. Sarr, Marc Guiu

Leeds 5-4-1

266.3 K. Darlow(G)
35.7 G. Gudmundsson 66.3 J. Rodon 156.0 J. Bijol 236.5 S. Bornauw ↓55’ 248.2★ J. Justin
116.3 B. Aaronson ↓90’ 446.9 I. Gruev 46.7 E. Ampadu 26.9 J. Bogle
147.2 L. Nmecha A↓82’
  • 26K. Darlow (G)6.3
  • 3G. Gudmundsson5.7
  • 6J. Rodon6.3
  • 15J. Bijol6.0
  • 23S. Bornauw↓55’6.5
  • 24J. Justin ★8.2
  • 11B. Aaronson↓90’6.3
  • 44I. Gruev6.9
  • 4E. Ampadu6.7
  • 2J. Bogle6.9
  • 14L. NmechaA↓82’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 7D. James↑82’6.7
  • 19N. Okafor↑55’7.2
  • 8S. Longstaff↑90’

Unused: Lucas Perri, S. Byram, J. Piroe, A. Tanaka, D. Gnonto, F. Buonanotte

Player stats

Top rated
J. JustinLeeds8.2
2nd
E. FernándezChelsea7.9
3rd
C. PalmerChelsea7.3

Chelsea

Leeds

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.